Los Angeles Dodgers vs Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Box Score — Feb 21, 2026

FINAL+13LAD

LAD

1-0

152

LAA

0-1

Tempe Diablo Stadium · Tempe, Arizona

9,631 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.6%

ensemble · LAD favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAA win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAA win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAA win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

LAA vs LAD.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

130

projections · 93 high confidence

Strikeouts

Reid DetmersLAA
6.7± 3.8medium
Yoshinobu YamamotoLAD
6.1± 2.7medium
Jose SorianoLAA
5.6± 1.9medium

Hits

Donovan WaltonLAA
1.3± 1.0high
Freddie FreemanLAD
1.3± 1.2high
Mookie BettsLAD
1.3± 1.0high

Total bases

Donovan WaltonLAA
2.4± 1.7high
Mookie BettsLAD
2.4± 2.5high
Zach NetoLAA
2.0± 2.1high

RBIs

Donovan WaltonLAA
0.9± 1.0high
Denzer GuzmanLAA
0.8± 1.2medium
Mookie BettsLAD
0.8± 1.0high

Earned runs

Ryan JohnsonLAA
2.9± 3.4low
Jose SorianoLAA
2.7± 2.2medium
Emmet SheehanLAD
2.7± 1.8medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

LAD

league avg

LAA

.787

OPS

◀

.718

.716

.346

OBP

◀

.319

.318

5.32

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.51

3.44

Team ERA

◀

4.18

4.58

1.12

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.40

8.9

K / 9

8.5

8.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

LAD wins

LAD 15 · LAA 2 (by 13)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
LAD	3	6	1	0	0	1	0	0	4	15
LAA	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. OhtaniDH	.333	3	1	1	0	0	0	1
T. HernándezLF	1.000	3	3	3	1	0	0	0
A. PagesCF	.667	3	1	2	1	0	0	1
D. RushingC	.000	2	1	0	1	0	0	1
S. Espinal3B	1.000	1	2	1	1	0	2	0
H. KimSS	.667	3	1	2	3	0	0	1
A. Freeland2B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	2	0
R. WardLF	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
Z. EhrhardOF	.500	2	1	1	2	0	1	0
K. Hiura1B	.000	3	0	0	0	0	1	2
Z. HopeCF	.333	3	1	1	0	0	0	1
K. GeorgeCF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
G. Lockwood-PowellC	.000	1	1	0	0	0	1	1
N. Senzel3B	.500	2	0	1	1	0	1	0
J. Tibbs IIIRF	.333	3	1	1	1	0	0	1
R. Fitzgerald3B	.667	3	2	2	2	0	0	0
N. MillerSS	.000	1	0	0	1	0	2	0
J. De PaulaRF	.333	3	0	1	0	0	0	2
Team		42	15	16	14	0	11	13

Player

.333

1.000

.667

.000

1.000

.667

.000

.000

.500

.000

.333

.000

.000

.500

.333

.667

.000

.333

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Y. YamamotoSP	1.2	3	2	1	0	3	--
A. KnowlesRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	--
P. GervaseRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	--
W. MillsRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	--
A. SerwinowskiSP	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	--
C. DayRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	--
Ry. RyanRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	--
L. FoxP	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	--
A. KellyRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	--
Team	9.0	7	2	1	4	16	0

Player

1.2

0.1

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

9.0

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Z. NetoSS	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
N. Schanuel1B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Y. Moncada3B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
J. SolerDH	1.000	2	1	2	0	0	0	0
J. AdellRF	.000	2	1	0	0	0	0	1
J. LoweLF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
L. O'HoppeC	1.000	1	0	1	1	0	0	0
C. Moore2B	.500	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
B. TeodosioLF	.500	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
D. Guzman3B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	1	2
N. Kavadas1B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	1	2
J. Candelario3B	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
D. Walton3B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
E. RodriguezCF	.500	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
M. LugoLF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
O. MartinezC	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
M. QuinteroC	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
N. Madrigal3B	1.000	1	0	1	0	0	1	0
N. RadaCF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
Team		34	2	7	1	0	4	16

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. SorianoSP	0.2	3	4	4	2	2	--
R. CosteiuSP	0.1	0	0	0	1	1	--
M. FarrisRP	0.1	4	5	5	0	0	--
C. MinacciRP	0.2	1	0	0	1	2	--
S. AldegheriSP	1.1	2	1	1	2	1	--
S. AndersonRP	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	--
S. Natera Jr.RP	1.0	2	1	1	1	3	--
H. YnoaSP	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	--
N. VictorRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	--
K. KeySP	0.2	4	4	4	2	0	--
L. GarciaRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	--
Team	9.0	16	15	15	11	13	0

Team

LAD

LAA

3 sub-models, blended.

LAA vs LAD.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

3 sub-models, blended.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

LAA vs LAD.