Matchup orbital
7
KC
KC
13-19
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME
6
SEA
SEA
16-17
Postgame · final
The morning-after recap.
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
KC wins
KC 7 · SEA 6 (by 1)
Model verdict
✗ Missed
Picked SEA +10pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
Inning by inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| SEA | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Final play
“End of the 9th inning”
What's next
Tomorrow's slate is open.
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KC13-19
KC
16-17SEA
SEA
Recap · MLB
ansas City Royals went into Seattle Mariners and beat them, 7–6. It came down to the final possession.
KC +1.5 cashed (SEA lost outright). Total cleared the 7.0 OVER by 6.0.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
Current series
KC leads series 1-0
KC7@SEA6todayKC@SEAupcomingKC@SEAupcomingSeason series
KC leads series 1-0
KC7@SEA6todayKC@SEAupcomingKC@SEAupcomingSEA@KCupcomingSEA@KCupcomingSEA@KCupcomingVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
SEA -1.5
Total
7.0
Defensive · -1.5 vs avg
Moneyline
KC+11347%SEA-13658%7· 11h
Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 14 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
7.0
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 39pp · Bottom 7th Inning
KC
L. Thomas
CFBatter of the gamePerfect day
1-for-1 · 2.000 OPS
C. Ragans
SPStarting pitcher
5.1 IP · 8 K · 4 ER · 4 H · 3 BB
SEA
J. Rodriguez
CFBatter of the game2-HR game
2-for-4 · 2 HR · 2.500 OPS
B. Woo
SPStarting pitcher
6.0 IP · 2 K · 6 ER · 7 H
How it ended
KC beat SEA 7-6. Rodr's play in the bottom 7th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (39pp).
Last play
End of the 9th inning
Win probability
SEA vs KC
Score progression
0 lead changes
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactJoe · homered to left (398 feet).
Rodr · íguez homered to center (416 feet), Crawford scored.
Thomas · singled to center, Perez scored.
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| SEA | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Period scoring
KC won 3 · SEA won 2
Inn 1
Perez 2
Rodr 2
Inn 2
Inn 3
Inn 4
Inn 5
Joe 1
Inn 6
Pasquantino 1
Arozarena 1
Inn 7
Rodr 2
Inn 8
Thomas 1
Inn 9
Game flow · key plays
- T8
Thomas singled to center, Perez scored.
KC 7·SEA 6
−16pp
- T8
Perez doubled to left.
KC 6·SEA 6
−14pp
- B7
Rodríguez homered to center (416 feet), Crawford scored.
KC 6·SEA 6
+39pp
- T6
Pasquantino homered to right (404 feet).
KC 5·SEA 3
−13pp
- B5
Joe homered to left (398 feet).
KC 4·SEA 3
+14pp
- B1
Rodríguez homered to left (402 feet), Crawford scored.
KC 4·SEA 2
+14pp
Team stats
KC
Away
Stat
SEA
Home
10
Hits
6
0
Errors
1
7
Runs
6
Player box score
KC
13-19
M. Garcia★
3B
OPS
0.650
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
B. Witt Jr.★
SS
OPS
0.650
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
V. Pasquantino★
1B
OPS
1.400
H-AB
2-5
R
2
RBI
2
HR
1
S. Perez★
C
OPS
1.000
H-AB
2-4
R
2
RBI
2
HR
0
C. Jensen★
C
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
J. Caglianone★
RF
OPS
1.667
H-AB
1-3
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1
I. Collins★
LF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
M. Massey★
2B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
K. Isbel★
CF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
L. Thomas
CF
OPS
2.000
H-AB
1-1
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
H-AB
10-37
R
7
RBI
7
HR
2
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M. Garcia★3B | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.650 |
B. Witt Jr.★SS | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.650 |
V. Pasquantino★1B | 2-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1.400 |
S. Perez★C | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.000 |
C. Jensen★C | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
J. Caglianone★RF | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.667 |
I. Collins★LF | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 |
M. Massey★2B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
K. Isbel★CF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
L. ThomasCF | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2.000 |
| Team | 10-37 | 7 | 7 | 2 | — |
C. Ragans★
SP
IP
5.1
H
4
ER
4
K
8
N. Mears
RP
IP
0.2
H
0
ER
0
K
0
D. Lynch IV
RP
IP
1.0
H
2
ER
2
K
2
M. Strahm
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
2
L. Erceg
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
1
IP
9.0
H
6
ER
6
K
13
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
C. Ragans★SP | 5.1 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
N. MearsRP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
D. Lynch IVRP | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
M. StrahmRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
L. ErcegRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | 9.0 | 6 | 6 | 13 |
SEA
16-17
J.P. Crawford★
SS
OPS
0.650
H-AB
1-4
R
2
RBI
0
HR
0
C. Raleigh★
C
OPS
0.200
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
J. Rodriguez★
CF
OPS
2.500
H-AB
2-4
R
2
RBI
4
HR
2
J. Naylor★
1B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
R. Arozarena★
LF
OPS
1.250
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1
M. Garver★
C
OPS
0.500
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
C. Young★
2B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
C. Joe★
1B
OPS
2.500
H-AB
1-2
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1
L. Rivas★
3B
OPS
0.250
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
D. Canzone
RF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
6-33
R
6
RBI
6
HR
4
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
J.P. Crawford★SS | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.650 |
C. Raleigh★C | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 |
J. Rodriguez★CF | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2.500 |
J. Naylor★1B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
R. Arozarena★LF | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.250 |
M. Garver★C | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
C. Young★2B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
C. Joe★1B | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2.500 |
L. Rivas★3B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
D. CanzoneRF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 6-33 | 6 | 6 | 4 | — |
B. Woo★
SP
IP
6.0
H
7
ER
6
K
2
C. Wilcox
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
1
J. Ferrer
RP
IP
1.0
H
3
ER
1
K
1
A. Hoppe
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
3
IP
9.0
H
10
ER
7
K
7
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
B. Woo★SP | 6.0 | 7 | 6 | 2 |
C. WilcoxRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
J. FerrerRP | 1.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
A. HoppeRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Team | 9.0 | 10 | 7 | 7 |
Betting line
SEA -1.5·O/U 7·KC +113/SEA -136