Matchup orbital

8
CHW
CHW
15-17
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME

2
SD
SD
19-12
Postgame · final
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
CHW wins
CHW 8 · SD 2 (by 6)
Model verdict
✗ Missed
Picked SD +14pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHW | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| SD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Final play
“End of the 9th inning”
What's next
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CHW15-17
CHW
19-12SD
SD

Recap · MLB
hicago White Sox went into San Diego Padres and beat them, 8–2. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
CHW +1.5 cashed (SD lost outright). Total cleared the 8.0 OVER by 2.0.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page


Current series
CHW lead series 1-0
CHW8@
SD2today
CHW@
SDupcoming
CHW@
SDupcomingSeason series
CHW lead series 1-0
CHW8@
SD2today
CHW@
SDupcoming
CHW@
SDupcomingVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
SD -1.5
Total
8.0
Defensive · -0.5 vs avg
Moneyline
CHW+12445%
SD-14960%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 15 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
8.0
-0.5 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 20pp · Top 2nd Inning
CHW
M. Murakami
1BBatter of the game
1-for-3 · 1 HR · 1.933 OPS

N. Schultz
SPStarting pitcherQuality start
6.0 IP · 2 K · 0 ER · 2 H · 3 BB
SD
F. Tatis Jr.
RFBatter of the gamePerfect day
3-for-3 · 1 R · 2.000 OPS

G. Marquez
SPStarting pitcher
5.0 IP · 2 K · 7 ER · 5 H · 5 BB
How it ended
CHW beat SD 8-2. Murakami's play in the top 2nd inning drove the biggest swing of the night (20pp).
Last play
End of the 9th inning
Win probability
SD vs CHW
Score progression
0 lead changes
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactMeidroth · doubled to right, Montgomery to third.
Murakami · homered to right center (413 feet), Peters scored and Romo scored.
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHW | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| SD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Period scoring
CHW won 2 · SD won 1
Inn 1
Inn 2
Murakami 3
Inn 3
Inn 4
Inn 5
Montgomery 1
Inn 6
Inn 7
Inn 8
Peters 1
Andujar 1
Inn 9
Game flow · key plays
Murakami homered to right center (413 feet), Peters scored and Romo scored.
CHW 6·SD 0
−20pp
Romo walked, Peters to second, Hays to third.
CHW 2·SD 0
−7pp
Antonacci singled to right, Montgomery scored, Meidroth to third.
CHW 1·SD 0
−8pp
Meidroth doubled to right, Montgomery to third.
CHW 0·SD 0
−11pp
Montgomery walked.
CHW 0·SD 0
−4pp
France grounded out to second.
CHW 0·SD 0
−6pp
Team stats
CHW
Away
Stat
SD
Home
8
Hits
6
0
Errors
0
8
Runs
2
Player box score

CHW
15-17

A. Benintendi★
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0

M. Murakami★
1B
OPS
1.933
H-AB
1-3
R
1
RBI
3
HR
1

M. Vargas★
3B
OPS
0.400
H-AB
1-5
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

C. Montgomery★
SS
OPS
1.833
H-AB
1-3
R
2
RBI
1
HR
1

C. Meidroth★
2B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

S. Antonacci★
LF
OPS
1.000
H-AB
2-4
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0

A. Hays★
LF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0

T. Peters★
CF
OPS
0.833
H-AB
1-3
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0

D. Romo★
C
OPS
0.750
H-AB
0-1
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

L. Acuna
CF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
8-32
R
8
RBI
8
HR
2
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() A. Benintendi★LF | 0-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() M. Murakami★1B | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1.933 |
![]() M. Vargas★3B | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 |
![]() C. Montgomery★SS | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.833 |
![]() C. Meidroth★2B | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() S. Antonacci★LF | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.000 |
![]() A. Hays★LF | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() T. Peters★CF | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.833 |
![]() D. Romo★C | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.750 |
![]() L. AcunaCF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 8-32 | 8 | 8 | 2 | — |

N. Schultz★
SP
IP
6.0
H
2
ER
0
K
2

T. Davis
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
1

O. Bido
RP
IP
1.0
H
3
ER
2
K
1

J. Hicks
RP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
0
K
1
IP
9.0
H
6
ER
2
K
5
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() N. Schultz★SP | 6.0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
![]() T. DavisRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() O. BidoRP | 1.0 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
![]() J. HicksRP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | 9.0 | 6 | 2 | 5 |

SD
19-12

R. Laureano★
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

F. Tatis Jr.★
RF
OPS
2.000
H-AB
3-3
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

M. Andujar★
3B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0

M. Machado★
3B
OPS
0.833
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0

X. Bogaerts★
SS
OPS
0.250
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

T. France★
1B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

N. Castellanos★
RF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

F. Fermin★
C
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

B. Johnson★
RF
OPS
0.250
H-AB
0-3
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
6-32
R
2
RBI
2
HR
0
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() R. Laureano★LF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() F. Tatis Jr.★RF | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2.000 |
![]() M. Andujar★3B | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() M. Machado★3B | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.833 |
![]() X. Bogaerts★SS | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
![]() T. France★1B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() N. Castellanos★RF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() F. Fermin★C | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() B. Johnson★RF | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
| Team | 6-32 | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |

G. Marquez★
SP
IP
5.0
H
5
ER
7
K
2

W. Peralta
RP
IP
2.0
H
0
ER
0
K
2

R. Marinaccio
RP
IP
2.0
H
3
ER
1
K
1
IP
9.0
H
8
ER
8
K
5
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() G. Marquez★SP | 5.0 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
![]() W. PeraltaRP | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
![]() R. MarinaccioRP | 2.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Team | 9.0 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
Betting line
SD -1.5·O/U 8·CHW +124/SD -149