MLB game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

Matchup orbital

TOR

15-17

Final

Win prob

57/43

AWAY · HOME

MIN

14-19

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

TOR wins

TOR 7 · MIN 3 (by 4)

Model verdict

✓ Hit

Picked TOR +7pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
TOR	0	2	0	2	2	0	1	0	0	7
MIN	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	3

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

← Back to MLB

MLBGame · Fri, May 1Final

TOR15-17

TOR

14-19MIN

MIN

SeriesSeries tied 1-1VegasMIN -110

Recap · MLB

oronto Blue Jays went into Minnesota Twins and beat them, 7–3.

TOR -1.5 cashed (won by 4). Total cleared the 8.5 OVER by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FINALFinal

TORWIN15-177

FINAL

MIN14-193

Current series

Series tied 1-1

Apr 30

TOR1@

MIN7

May 2

TOR7@

MIN3today

May 2

TOR@

MIN

May 3

TOR@

MINupcoming

Season series

MIN leads series 3-2

Apr 10

MIN4@

TOR10

Apr 11

MIN7@

TOR4

Apr 12

MIN8@

TOR2

Apr 30

TOR1@

MIN7

May 2

TOR7@

MIN3today

May 2

TOR@

MIN

May 3

TOR@

MINupcoming

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

TOR -1.5

Total

8.5

Standard · 0.0 vs avg

Moneyline

TOR-11052%

MIN-11052%

2· 11h

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet TOR -1.5↗SpreadBet TOR -1.5↗

Line movement · 14 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

8.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowTOR ↔ MIN

Biggest swing: 21pp · Bottom 3rd Inning

TOR

K. Okamoto

Batter of the game2-HR game

2-for-4 · 2 HR · 2.600 OPS

P. Corbin

Starting pitcher

5.1 IP · 4 K · 2 ER · 6 H · 1 BB

MIN

B. Buxton

Batter of the game

2-for-4 · 1 HR · 1.850 OPS

S. Woods Richardson

Starting pitcher

4.2 IP · 2 K · 4 ER · 9 H · 1 BB

How it ended

TOR beat MIN 7-3. Buxton's play in the bottom 3rd inning drove the biggest swing of the night (21pp).

Last play

End of the 9th inning

Win probability

MIN vs TOR

Score progression

0 lead changes

TOR7

MIN3

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact

TORTop 2nd Inning · 2-0

+19pp→ 67% WP

Pinango · grounded into fielder's choice to first, Varsho scored, Sosa scored, Pinango to second on throwing error by first baseman Bell.

MINBottom 3rd Inning · 2-2

+21pp→ 58% WP

Buxton · homered to left (364 feet), Lee scored.

TORTop 5th Inning · 6-2

+15pp→ 88% WP

Okamoto · homered to left (374 feet), Guerrero Jr. scored.

Linescore (innings)

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
TOR	0	2	0	2	2	0	1	0	0	7
MIN	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	3

Period scoring

TOR won 3 · MIN won 1

Inn 1

Inn 2

Pinango 2

Inn 3

Buxton 2

Inn 4

Okamoto 1

Inn 5

Okamoto 2

Inn 6

Inn 7

Pinango 1

Jeffers 1

Inn 8

Inn 9

TOR

MIN

Game flow · key plays

T5
Okamoto homered to left (374 feet), Guerrero Jr. scored.
TOR 6·MIN 2
−15pp
T4
Pinango singled to center, Sosa scored, Pinango to second.
TOR 4·MIN 2
−11pp
T4
Okamoto homered to left (390 feet).
TOR 3·MIN 2
−15pp
B3
Buxton homered to left (364 feet), Lee scored.
TOR 2·MIN 2
+21pp
T2
Pinango grounded into fielder's choice to first, Varsho scored, Sosa scored, Pinango to second on throwing error by first baseman Bell.
TOR 2·MIN 0
−19pp
T1
Sánchez grounded into double play, shortstop to first, Springer out at second.
TOR 0·MIN 0
+8pp

Team stats

TOR

Away

Stat

MIN

Home

Hits

Errors

Runs

Player box score

TOR

15-17

G. Springer★

OPS

0.400

H-AB

1-5

RBI

J. Sanchez★

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-5

RBI

V. Guerrero Jr.★

OPS

0.200

H-AB

0-4

RBI

K. Okamoto★

OPS

2.600

H-AB

2-4

RBI

D. Varsho★

OPS

0.400

H-AB

1-5

RBI

L. Sosa★

OPS

1.500

H-AB

3-4

RBI

Y. Pinango★

OPS

1.500

H-AB

3-4

RBI

A. Gimenez★

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

RBI

T. Heineman★

OPS

0.667

H-AB

1-3

RBI

Team total

H-AB

11-38

RBI

Player	H-AB	R	RBI	HR	OPS
G. Springer★DH	1-5	0	0	0	0.400
J. Sanchez★LF	0-5	0	0	0	0.000
V. Guerrero Jr.★1B	0-4	1	0	0	0.200
K. Okamoto★3B	2-4	3	3	2	2.600
D. Varsho★CF	1-5	1	0	0	0.400
L. Sosa★2B	3-4	2	0	0	1.500
Y. Pinango★LF	3-4	0	2	0	1.500
A. Gimenez★SS	0-4	0	0	0	0.000
T. Heineman★C	1-3	0	0	0	0.667

Team	11-38	7	5	2	—

P. Corbin★

5.1

B. Fisher

0.2

J. Hoffman

1.0

T. Rogers

1.0

L. Varland

1.0

Team total

9.0

Player	IP	H	ER	K
P. Corbin★SP	5.1	6	2	4
B. FisherRP	0.2	0	0	1
J. HoffmanRP	1.0	3	1	1
T. RogersRP	1.0	0	0	2
L. VarlandRP	1.0	1	0	2
Team	9.0	10	3	10

MIN

14-19

B. Buxton★

OPS

1.850

H-AB

2-4

RBI

A. Martin★

OPS

1.200

H-AB

3-5

RBI

R. Jeffers★

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

RBI

J. Bell★

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

RBI

V. Caratini★

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-3

RBI

L. Keaschall★

OPS

0.250

H-AB

0-3

RBI

R. Lewis★

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

RBI

B. Lee★

OPS

1.000

H-AB

2-4

RBI

J. Outman★

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

RBI

Team total

H-AB

10-35

RBI

Player	H-AB	R	RBI	HR	OPS
B. Buxton★CF	2-4	1	2	1	1.850
A. Martin★LF	3-5	0	0	0	1.200
R. Jeffers★C	1-4	0	1	0	0.500
J. Bell★1B	1-4	0	0	0	0.500
V. Caratini★C	0-3	0	0	0	0.000
L. Keaschall★2B	0-3	0	0	0	0.250
R. Lewis★3B	0-4	0	0	0	0.000
B. Lee★SS	2-4	2	0	0	1.000
J. Outman★CF	1-4	0	0	0	0.500
Team	10-35	3	3	1	—

S. Woods Richardson★

4.2

T. Rogers

1.0

E. Orze

2.1

L. Garcia

1.0

Team total

9.0

Player	IP	H	ER	K
S. Woods Richardson★SP	4.2	9	4	2
T. RogersRP	1.0	1	0	0
E. OrzeRP	2.1	1	1	1
L. GarciaRP	1.0	0	0	0
Team	9.0	11	5	3

Betting line

TOR -1.5·O/U 8.5·TOR -110/MIN -110

DraftKings · via ESPN