Matchup orbital

PHI

6

PHI

PHI

13-19

Final

Win prob

47/53

AWAY · HOME

MIA

5

MIA

MIA

15-17

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

PHI wins

PHI 6 · MIA 5 (by 1)

Model verdict

✗ Missed

Picked MIA +3pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team123456789R
PHI0002004006
MIA1000000315

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

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Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

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MLBGame · Fri, May 1Final
PHI

PHI13-19

PHI

@

15-17MIA

MIA

MIA
SeriesPHI leads series 1-0VegasPHI -115

Recap · MLB

hiladelphia Phillies went into Miami Marlins and beat them, 6–5. It came down to the final possession.

MIA +1.5 cashed (PHI won by 1). Total cleared the 7.5 OVER by 3.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FINALFinal
PHI
PHIWIN13-196
FINAL
MIA
MIA15-175

Current series

PHI leads series 1-0

May 1PHIPHI6@MIAMIA5today
May 2PHIPHI@MIAMIAupcoming
May 3PHIPHI@MIAMIAupcoming
May 4PHIPHI@MIAMIAupcoming

Season series

PHI leads series 1-0

May 1PHIPHI6@MIAMIA5today
May 2PHIPHI@MIAMIAupcoming
May 3PHIPHI@MIAMIAupcoming
May 4PHIPHI@MIAMIAupcoming
Jun 15MIAMIA@PHIPHIupcoming
Jun 16MIAMIA@PHIPHIupcoming
Jun 17MIAMIA@PHIPHIupcoming
Jul 27PHIPHI@MIAMIAupcoming
Jul 28PHIPHI@MIAMIAupcoming
Jul 29PHIPHI@MIAMIAupcoming
Aug 17MIAMIA@PHIPHIupcoming
Aug 18MIAMIA@PHIPHIupcoming
Aug 19MIAMIA@PHIPHIupcoming

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

PHI -1.5

Total

7.5

Defensive · -1.0 vs avg

Moneyline

PHIPHI-11553%
MIAMIA-10551%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet PHI -1.5↗SpreadBet PHI -1.5↗

Line movement · 15 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

7.5

-0.5 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowPHI ↔ MIA

Biggest swing: 16pp · Top 7th Inning

PHIPHI
B. Stott

B. Stott

2B

Batter of the game

1-for-3 · 1 HR · 1.833 OPS

Z. Wheeler

Z. Wheeler

SP

Starting pitcherQuality start

6.0 IP · 8 K · 1 ER · 3 H · 2 BB

MIAMIA
C. Norby

C. Norby

1B

Batter of the gamePerfect day

1-for-1 · 2.000 OPS

E. Perez

E. Perez

SP

Starting pitcher

5.0 IP · 6 K · 2 ER · 4 H · 2 BB

How it ended

PHI beat MIA 6-5.

Last play

End of the 9th inning

Win probability

MIA vs PHI

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9

Score progression

0 lead changes

PHI6
MIA5

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
MIABottom 1st Inning · 0-1
+12pp→ 63% WP

Edwards · doubled to right, Lopez scored.

PHITop 4th Inning · 2-1
+16pp→ 65% WP

Crawford · doubled to right, Stott scored, Bohm to third.

PHITop 7th Inning · 6-1
+16pp→ 97% WP

Stott · homered to right center (386 feet), Marsh scored and Sosa scored.

Linescore (innings)

Team123456789R
PHI0002004006
MIA1000000315

Period scoring

PHI won 2 · MIA won 3

0
1

Inn 1

Edwards 1

0
0

Inn 2

0
0

Inn 3

2
0

Inn 4

Bohm 1

0
0

Inn 5

0
0

Inn 6

4
0

Inn 7

Stott 3

0
3

Inn 8

Lopez 1

0
1

Inn 9

Lopez 1

PHI
MIA

Game flow · key plays

  1. B8

    Morel struck out looking.

    PHI 6·MIA 4

    −12pp

  2. T7

    Stott homered to right center (386 feet), Marsh scored and Sosa scored.

    PHI 6·MIA 1

    −16pp

  3. T7

    Sosa singled to right, Harper scored, Marsh to third.

    PHI 3·MIA 1

    −14pp

  4. T4

    Crawford doubled to right, Stott scored, Bohm to third.

    PHI 2·MIA 1

    −16pp

  5. T4

    Bohm singled to center, Marsh scored, Stott to third.

    PHI 1·MIA 1

    −14pp

  6. B1

    Edwards doubled to right, Lopez scored.

    PHI 0·MIA 1

    +12pp

Team stats

PHI

Away

Stat

MIA

Home

9

Hits

8

0

Errors

1

6

Runs

5

Player box score

PHI

PHI

13-19

6
K. Schwarber

K. Schwarber★

LF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-5

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

B. Harper

B. Harper★

1B

OPS

0.650

H-AB

1-4

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

A. Garcia

A. Garcia★

RF

OPS

0.400

H-AB

1-5

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

B. Marsh

B. Marsh★

LF

OPS

0.667

H-AB

1-3

R

2

RBI

0

HR

0

E. Sosa

E. Sosa★

2B

OPS

1.000

H-AB

2-4

R

1

RBI

1

HR

0

B. Stott

B. Stott★

2B

OPS

1.833

H-AB

1-3

R

2

RBI

3

HR

1

A. Bohm

A. Bohm★

3B

OPS

1.000

H-AB

2-4

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

J. Crawford

J. Crawford★

CF

OPS

0.833

H-AB

1-3

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

R. Marchan

R. Marchan★

C

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

D. Moore

D. Moore

CF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-1

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

Team total

H-AB

9-36

R

6

RBI

6

HR

1

Z. Wheeler

Z. Wheeler★

SP

IP

6.0

H

3

ER

1

K

8

O. Kerkering

O. Kerkering

RP

IP

1.0

H

0

ER

0

K

1

J. Bowlan

J. Bowlan

RP

IP

0.2

H

2

ER

3

K

0

J. Alvarado

J. Alvarado

RP

IP

0.1

H

2

ER

0

K

1

B. Keller

B. Keller

RP

IP

1.0

H

1

ER

1

K

2

Team total

IP

9.0

H

8

ER

5

K

12

Betting line

PHI -1.5·O/U 7.5·PHI -115/MIA -105

DraftKings · via ESPN