Matchup orbital
6
MIL
MIL
17-14
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME
1
WSH
WSH
15-18
Postgame · final
The morning-after recap.
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
MIL wins
MIL 6 · WSH 1 (by 5)
Model verdict
✓ Hit
Picked MIL +8pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
Inning by inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| WSH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Final play
“End of the 9th inning”
What's next
Tomorrow's slate is open.
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
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MIL17-14
MIL
15-18WSH
WSH
Recap · MLB
ilwaukee Brewers went into Washington Nationals and beat them, 6–1.
MIL -1.5 cashed (won by 5). Total stayed UNDER 8.0 by 1.0.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
Current series
MIL leads series 1-0
MIL6@WSH1todayMIL@WSHMIL@WSHupcomingSeason series
WSH leads series 3-1
WSH7@MIL3WSH3@MIL1WSH8@MIL6MIL6@WSH1todayMIL@WSHMIL@WSHupcomingVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
MIL -1.5
Total
8.0
Defensive · -0.5 vs avg
Moneyline
MIL-16362%WSH+13543%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 14 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
8.0
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 7pp · Top 3rd Inning
MIL
W. Contreras
CBatter of the game
4-for-5 · 1 R · 1.600 OPS
J. Misiorowski
SPStarting pitcher
5.1 IP · 8 K · 0 ER · 2 BB
WSH
D. Lile
LFBatter of the game
1-for-3 · 0.833 OPS
J. Irvin
SPStarting pitcher
5.0 IP · 5 K · 3 ER · 6 H · 4 BB
How it ended
MIL beat WSH 6-1.
Last play
End of the 9th inning
Win probability
WSH vs MIL
Score progression
0 lead changes
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactContreras · singled to center, Hamilton scored, Turang to second.
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| WSH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Period scoring
MIL won 4 · WSH won 1
Inn 1
Contreras 1
Inn 2
Inn 3
Contreras 1
Inn 4
Inn 5
Rengifo 1
Inn 6
Inn 7
House 1
Inn 8
Contreras 2
Inn 9
Game flow · key plays
- B7
Lile doubled to left, Abrams to third.
MIL 4·WSH 0
+6pp
- T5
Black doubled to left, Contreras scored, Rengifo to third.
MIL 4·WSH 0
−5pp
- T4
Perkins grounded into fielder's choice to pitcher, Black out at home.
MIL 2·WSH 0
+5pp
- T3
Contreras singled to center, Hamilton scored, Turang to second.
MIL 2·WSH 0
−7pp
- T3
Hamilton walked.
MIL 1·WSH 0
−5pp
- T2
Rengifo walked.
MIL 1·WSH 0
−5pp
Team stats
MIL
Away
Stat
WSH
Home
12
Hits
2
0
Errors
2
6
Runs
1
Player box score
MIL
17-14
G. Mitchell★
CF
OPS
0.333
H-AB
1-6
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
B. Turang★
2B
OPS
0.650
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
W. Contreras★
C
OPS
1.600
H-AB
4-5
R
1
RBI
3
HR
0
J. Bauers★
1B
OPS
0.400
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
L. Rengifo★
3B
OPS
0.650
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
T. Black★
3B
OPS
1.333
H-AB
2-3
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
S. Frelick★
RF
OPS
0.400
H-AB
1-5
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
B. Perkins★
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-5
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
D. Hamilton★
3B
OPS
1.100
H-AB
2-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
G. Sanchez
C
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
12-41
R
6
RBI
5
HR
0
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
G. Mitchell★CF | 1-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 |
B. Turang★2B | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.650 |
W. Contreras★C | 4-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1.600 |
J. Bauers★1B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 |
L. Rengifo★3B | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.650 |
T. Black★3B | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.333 |
S. Frelick★RF | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 |
B. Perkins★LF | 0-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
D. Hamilton★3B | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.100 |
G. SanchezC | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 12-41 | 6 | 5 | 0 | — |
J. Misiorowski★
SP
IP
5.1
H
0
ER
0
K
8
A. Ashby
RP
IP
2.2
H
2
ER
1
K
4
E. McGee
SP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
1
IP
9.0
H
2
ER
1
K
13
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
J. Misiorowski★SP | 5.1 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
A. AshbyRP | 2.2 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
E. McGeeSP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | 9.0 | 2 | 1 | 13 |
WSH
15-18
J. Wood★
RF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
L. Garcia Jr.★
1B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
C. Mead★
1B
OPS
0.250
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
C. Abrams★
SS
OPS
0.250
H-AB
0-3
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
D. Lile★
LF
OPS
0.833
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
B. House★
3B
OPS
0.333
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
J. Vivas★
3B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
D. Millas★
C
OPS
0.333
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
J. Young★
CF
OPS
0.667
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
J. Tena
2B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
J. Wiemer
RF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
2-28
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
J. Wood★RF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
L. Garcia Jr.★1B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
C. Mead★1B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
C. Abrams★SS | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
D. Lile★LF | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.833 |
B. House★3B | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 |
J. Vivas★3B | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
D. Millas★C | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 |
J. Young★CF | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.667 |
J. Tena2B | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
J. WiemerRF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 2-28 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
J. Irvin★
SP
IP
5.0
H
6
ER
3
K
5
C. Perez
RP
IP
2.0
H
2
ER
0
K
0
A. Granillo
RP
IP
1.0
H
3
ER
0
K
1
P. Schultz
RP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
0
K
1
IP
9.0
H
12
ER
3
K
7
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
J. Irvin★SP | 5.0 | 6 | 3 | 5 |
C. PerezRP | 2.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
A. GranilloRP | 1.0 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
P. SchultzRP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | 9.0 | 12 | 3 | 7 |
Betting line
MIL -1.5·O/U 8·MIL -163/WSH +135