Matchup orbital

BAL

2

BAL

BAL

15-17

Final

Win prob

34/66

AWAY · HOME

NYY

7

NYY

NYY

21-11

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

NYY wins

BAL 2 · NYY 7 (by 5)

Model verdict

✓ Hit

Picked NYY +16pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team123456789R
BAL0100001002
NYY140000117

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →
Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

← Back to MLB
MLBGame · Fri, May 1Final
BAL

BAL15-17

BAL

@

21-11NYY

NYY

NYY
SeriesNYY lead series 1-0VegasNYY -186

Recap · MLB

ew York Yankees held off Baltimore Orioles, 7–2.

NYY -1.5 cashed (won by 5). Total pushed exactly on 9.0.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FINALFinal
BAL
BAL15-172
FINAL
NYY
NYYWIN21-117

Current series

NYY lead series 1-0

May 1BALBAL2@NYYNYY7today
May 2BALBAL@NYYNYY
May 3BALBAL@NYYNYYupcoming
May 4BALBAL@NYYNYYupcoming

Season series

NYY lead series 1-0

May 1BALBAL2@NYYNYY7today
May 2BALBAL@NYYNYY
May 3BALBAL@NYYNYYupcoming
May 4BALBAL@NYYNYYupcoming
May 11NYYNYY@BALBALupcoming
May 12NYYNYY@BALBALupcoming
May 13NYYNYY@BALBALupcoming
Aug 18NYYNYY@BALBALupcoming
Aug 19NYYNYY@BALBALupcoming
Aug 20NYYNYY@BALBALupcoming
Sep 25BALBAL@NYYNYYupcoming
Sep 26BALBAL@NYYNYYupcoming
Sep 27BALBAL@NYYNYYupcoming

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NYY -1.5

Total

9.0

High-scoring · +0.5 vs avg

Moneyline

BALBAL+15340%
NYYNYY-18665%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NYY -1.5↗SpreadBet NYY -1.5↗

Line movement · 14 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

9.0

+0.5 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowBAL ↔ NYY

Biggest swing: 18pp · Bottom 2nd Inning

BALBAL
P. Alonso

P. Alonso

1B

Batter of the gamePerfect day

1-for-2 · 1 HR · 2.750 OPS

C. Povich

C. Povich

SP

Starting pitcher

4.0 IP · 4 K · 5 ER · 7 H · 2 BB

NYYNYY
A. Judge

A. Judge

RF

Batter of the game

2-for-3 · 2 R · 1.467 OPS

W. Warren

W. Warren

SP

Starting pitcherQuality start

6.1 IP · 9 K · 1 ER · 3 H · 1 BB

How it ended

NYY beat BAL 7-2. Rice's play in the bottom 2nd inning drove the biggest swing of the night (18pp).

Win probability

NYY vs BAL

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9

Score progression

0 lead changes

BAL2
NYY7

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
NYYBottom 1st Inning · 0-1
+10pp→ 71% WP

Bellinger · doubled to right, Judge scored, Bellinger to third.

NYYBottom 2nd Inning · 1-2
+10pp→ 71% WP

Caballero · homered to left (397 feet).

NYYBottom 2nd Inning · 1-5
+18pp→ 91% WP

Rice · homered to right center (380 feet), Grisham scored and Goldschmidt scored.

Linescore (innings)

Team123456789R
BAL0100001002
NYY14000011—7

Period scoring

BAL won 0 · NYY won 3

0
1

Inn 1

Bellinger 1

1
4

Inn 2

Alonso 1

Rice 3

0
0

Inn 3

0
0

Inn 4

0
0

Inn 5

0
0

Inn 6

1
1

Inn 7

Beavers 1

Rosario 1

0
1

Inn 8

Judge 1

0

Inn 9

BAL
NYY

Game flow · key plays

  1. B7

    Rosario singled to center, Judge scored, Bellinger to second.

    BAL 2·NYY 6

    +3pp

  2. T7

    Basallo singled to center, Alonso to second, Basallo to second, Alonso safe at third on fielding error by center fielder Grisham.

    BAL 1·NYY 5

    −3pp

  3. B2

    Rice homered to right center (380 feet), Grisham scored and Goldschmidt scored.

    BAL 1·NYY 5

    +18pp

  4. B2

    Caballero homered to left (397 feet).

    BAL 1·NYY 2

    +10pp

  5. T2

    Alonso homered to right (367 feet).

    BAL 1·NYY 1

    −10pp

  6. B1

    Bellinger doubled to right, Judge scored, Bellinger to third.

    BAL 0·NYY 1

    +10pp

Team stats

BAL

Away

Stat

NYY

Home

3

Hits

11

0

Errors

1

2

Runs

7

Player box score

BAL

BAL

15-17

2
G. Henderson

G. Henderson★

SS

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

T. Ward

T. Ward★

LF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

A. Rutschman

A. Rutschman★

C

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

P. Alonso

P. Alonso★

1B

OPS

2.750

H-AB

1-2

R

2

RBI

1

HR

1

S. Basallo

S. Basallo★

C

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

D. Beavers

D. Beavers★

RF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

L. Taveras

L. Taveras★

CF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

C. Mayo

C. Mayo★

3B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

B. Alexander

B. Alexander★

3B

OPS

0.667

H-AB

1-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

C. Cowser

C. Cowser

RF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-1

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

Team total

H-AB

3-30

R

2

RBI

2

HR

1

C. Povich

C. Povich★

SP

IP

4.0

H

7

ER

5

K

4

A. Suarez

A. Suarez

RP

IP

2.2

H

1

ER

1

K

3

T. Wells

T. Wells

RP

IP

1.1

H

3

ER

1

K

1

Team total

IP

8.0

H

11

ER

7

K

8

Betting line

NYY -1.5·O/U 9·BAL +153/NYY -186

DraftKings · via ESPN