Matchup orbital

KC

3

KC

KC

12-19

Final

Win prob

41/59

AWAY · HOME

ATH

6

ATH

ATH

17-14

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

ATH wins

KC 3 · ATH 6 (by 3)

Model verdict

✓ Hit

Picked ATH +9pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team123456789R
KC1100000103
ATH140000106

What's next

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MLBGame · Thu, Apr 30Final
KC

KC12-19

KC

@

17-14ATH

ATH

ATH
SeriesATH wins series 2-1VegasATH -126

Recap · MLB

thletics held off Kansas City Royals, 6–3.

ATH +1.5 cashed (KC lost outright). Total pushed exactly on 9.0.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FINALFinal
KC
KC12-193
FINAL
ATH
ATHWIN17-146

Current series

ATH wins series 2-1

Apr 29KCKC4@ATHATH1
Apr 30KCKC2@ATHATH5
Apr 30KCKC3@ATHATH6today

Season series

ATH leads series 2-1

Apr 29KCKC4@ATHATH1
Apr 30KCKC2@ATHATH5
Apr 30KCKC3@ATHATH6today
Aug 17ATHATH@KCKCupcoming
Aug 18ATHATH@KCKCupcoming
Aug 19ATHATH@KCKCupcoming
Aug 20ATHATH@KCKCupcoming

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

KC -1.5

Total

9.0

High-scoring · +0.5 vs avg

Moneyline

KCKC+10449%
ATHATH-12656%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

Line movement

1 snapshot on file

Movement tracking online — chart appears once we have two or more snapshots logged for this game. Keep this tab open and refresh after the next ingest cycle.

Headlines · top performers

Game flowKC ATH

Biggest swing: 16pp · Bottom 2nd Inning

KCKC
J. Caglianone

J. Caglianone

RF

Batter of the gamePerfect day

1-for-1 · 2.000 OPS

N. Cameron

N. Cameron

SP

Starting pitcher

5.1 IP · 5 K · 4 ER · 9 H · 2 BB

ATHATH
S. Langeliers

S. Langeliers

C

Batter of the game

3-for-4 · 2 R · 1.500 OPS

J. Springs

J. Springs

SP

Starting pitcher

3.0 IP · 4 K · 2 ER · 5 H · 1 BB

How it ended

ATH beat KC 6-3.

Win probability

ATH vs KC

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9

Score progression

0 lead changes

KC3
ATH6

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
ATHBottom 1st Inning · 1-0
+10pp65% WP

Langeliers · doubled to left, Wilson to third.

KCTop 2nd Inning · 2-1
+11pp53% WP

Garcia · homered to left center (395 feet).

ATHBottom 2nd Inning · 2-2
+16pp68% WP

Langeliers · doubled to left, Butler scored, Wilson to third.

Linescore (innings)

Team123456789R
KC1100000103
ATH140000106

Period scoring

KC won 1 · ATH won 2

1
1

Inn 1

Marte 1

Hernaiz 1

1
4

Inn 2

Garcia 1

Kurtz 2

0
0

Inn 3

0
0

Inn 4

0
0

Inn 5

0
0

Inn 6

0
1

Inn 7

Hernaiz 1

1
0

Inn 8

0

Inn 9

KC
ATH

Game flow · key plays

  1. B2

    Kurtz doubled to center, Langeliers scored and Wilson scored.

    KC 2·ATH 4

    +12pp

  2. B2

    Langeliers doubled to left, Butler scored, Wilson to third.

    KC 2·ATH 2

    +16pp

  3. T2

    Garcia homered to left center (395 feet).

    KC 2·ATH 1

    11pp

  4. B1

    Hernaiz reached on infield single to shortstop, Wilson scored, Thomas to second, Langeliers to third.

    KC 1·ATH 1

    +9pp

  5. B1

    Langeliers doubled to left, Wilson to third.

    KC 1·ATH 0

    +10pp

  6. T1

    Marte singled to right, Garcia scored, Loftin to second, Perez to third.

    KC 1·ATH 0

    10pp

Team stats

KC

Away

Stat

ATH

Home

10

Hits

11

1

Errors

0

3

Runs

6

Player box score

KC

KC

12-19

3
M. Garcia

M. Garcia

3B

OPS

1.800

H-AB

3-5

R

2

RBI

1

HR

1

B. Witt Jr.

B. Witt Jr.

SS

OPS

0.400

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

L. Thomas

L. Thomas

CF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

S. Perez

S. Perez

C

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

N. Loftin

N. Loftin

3B

OPS

0.333

H-AB

0-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

S. Marte

S. Marte

RF

OPS

1.500

H-AB

3-4

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

C. Jensen

C. Jensen

C

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

I. Collins

I. Collins

LF

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

E. Diaz

E. Diaz

C

OPS

1.250

H-AB

1-4

R

1

RBI

1

HR

1

J. Caglianone

J. Caglianone

RF

OPS

2.000

H-AB

1-1

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

M. Massey

M. Massey

2B

OPS

0.500

H-AB

0-1

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

V. Pasquantino

V. Pasquantino

1B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-1

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

Team total

H-AB

10-36

R

3

RBI

3

HR

2

N. Cameron

N. Cameron

SP

IP

5.1

H

9

ER

4

K

5

J. Schreiber

J. Schreiber

RP

IP

1.2

H

2

ER

1

K

0

A. Lange

A. Lange

RP

IP

1.0

H

0

ER

0

K

0

Team total

IP

8.0

H

11

ER

5

K

5

Betting line

KC -1.5·O/U 9·KC +104/ATH -126

DraftKings · via ESPN