Matchup orbital

STL

10

STL

STL

18-13

Final

Win prob

48/52

AWAY · HOME

PIT

5

PIT

PIT

16-16

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

STL wins

STL 10 · PIT 5 (by 5)

Model verdict

✗ Missed

Picked PIT +2pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team123456789R
STL30101005010
PIT0001201015

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

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Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

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← Back to MLB
MLBGame · Thu, Apr 30Final
STL

STL18-13

STL

@

16-16PIT

PIT

PIT
SeriesSTL wins series 4-0VegasPIT -232

Recap · MLB

t. Louis Cardinals went into Pittsburgh Pirates and beat them, 10–5.

STL +1.5 cashed (PIT lost outright). Total cleared the 7.0 OVER by 8.0.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FINALFinal
STL
STLWIN18-1310
FINAL
PIT
PIT16-165

Current series

STL wins series 4-0

Apr 27STLSTL4@PITPIT2
Apr 28STLSTL11@PITPIT7
Apr 29STLSTL5@PITPIT4
Apr 30STLSTL10@PITPIT5today

Season series

STL leads series 4-0

Apr 27STLSTL4@PITPIT2
Apr 28STLSTL11@PITPIT7
Apr 29STLSTL5@PITPIT4
Apr 30STLSTL10@PITPIT5today
May 19PITPIT@STLSTLupcoming
May 20PITPIT@STLSTLupcoming
May 21PITPIT@STLSTLupcoming
Aug 29PITPIT@STLSTLupcoming
Aug 29PITPIT@STLSTLupcoming
Aug 30PITPIT@STLSTLupcoming
Sep 22STLSTL@PITPITupcoming
Sep 23STLSTL@PITPITupcoming
Sep 24STLSTL@PITPITupcoming

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

PIT -1.5

Total

7.0

Defensive · -1.5 vs avg

Moneyline

STLSTL+18935%
PITPIT-23270%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet PIT -1.5↗SpreadBet PIT -1.5↗

Line movement · 3 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

7.0

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowSTL ↔ PIT

Biggest swing: 19pp · Top 1st Inning

STLSTL
J. Wetherholt

J. Wetherholt

2B

Batter of the game

2-for-4 · 1 HR · 1.850 OPS

H. Dobbins

H. Dobbins

SP

Starting pitcher

4.1 IP · 4 K · 3 ER · 2 H · 5 BB

PITPIT
B. Lowe

B. Lowe

2B

Batter of the game

2-for-5 · 1 HR · 1.400 OPS

P. Skenes

P. Skenes

SP

Starting pitcher

5.0 IP · 9 K · 4 ER · 8 H

How it ended

STL beat PIT 10-5. Walker's play in the top 1st inning drove the biggest swing of the night (19pp).

Last play

End of the 9th inning

Win probability

PIT vs STL

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9

Score progression

0 lead changes

STL10
PIT5

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
STLTop 1st Inning · 3-0
+19pp→ 61% WP

Walker · homered to left (383 feet), Herrera scored.

PITBottom 5th Inning · 5-3
+16pp→ 32% WP

Reynolds · doubled to left, Cruz scored and Mangum scored.

PITBottom 7th Inning · 5-4
+15pp→ 32% WP

Lowe · homered to right (416 feet).

Linescore (innings)

Team123456789R
STL30101005010
PIT0001201015

Period scoring

STL won 3 · PIT won 4

3
0

Inn 1

Walker 2

0
0

Inn 2

1
0

Inn 3

Gorman 1

0
1

Inn 4

Horwitz 1

1
2

Inn 5

Burleson 1

Reynolds 2

0
0

Inn 6

0
1

Inn 7

Lowe 1

5
0

Inn 8

Church 2

0
1

Inn 9

Lowe 1

STL
PIT

Game flow · key plays

  1. T8

    Church doubled to center, Gorman scored and Winn scored.

    STL 7·PIT 4

    −10pp

  2. T8

    Winn singled to right, Winn to second, Gorman to third.

    STL 5·PIT 4

    −9pp

  3. B7

    Lowe homered to right (416 feet).

    STL 5·PIT 4

    +15pp

  4. B5

    Reynolds doubled to left, Cruz scored and Mangum scored.

    STL 5·PIT 3

    +16pp

  5. T5

    Wetherholt reached on infield single to first.

    STL 4·PIT 1

    −12pp

  6. T1

    Walker homered to left (383 feet), Herrera scored.

    STL 3·PIT 0

    −19pp

Team stats

STL

Away

Stat

PIT

Home

14

Hits

7

1

Errors

1

10

Runs

5

Player box score

STL

STL

18-13

10
J. Wetherholt

J. Wetherholt★

2B

OPS

1.850

H-AB

2-4

R

2

RBI

1

HR

1

I. Herrera

I. Herrera★

C

OPS

0.650

H-AB

1-4

R

2

RBI

0

HR

0

A. Burleson

A. Burleson★

1B

OPS

1.200

H-AB

3-5

R

1

RBI

3

HR

0

J. Walker

J. Walker★

RF

OPS

1.400

H-AB

2-5

R

1

RBI

3

HR

1

N. Gorman

N. Gorman★

3B

OPS

0.800

H-AB

2-5

R

1

RBI

1

HR

0

M. Winn

M. Winn★

SS

OPS

0.400

H-AB

1-5

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

N. Church

N. Church★

LF

OPS

0.400

H-AB

1-5

R

1

RBI

2

HR

0

P. Pages

P. Pages★

C

OPS

0.800

H-AB

2-5

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

V. Scott II

V. Scott II★

CF

OPS

0.333

H-AB

0-2

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

Team total

H-AB

14-40

R

10

RBI

10

HR

2

H. Dobbins

H. Dobbins★

SP

IP

4.1

H

2

ER

3

K

4

J. Bruihl

J. Bruihl

RP

IP

0.2

H

1

ER

0

K

0

G. Graceffo

G. Graceffo

RP

IP

1.1

H

0

ER

0

K

1

J. Romero

J. Romero

RP

IP

0.2

H

1

ER

1

K

2

R. Stanek

R. Stanek

RP

IP

1.0

H

1

ER

0

K

1

M. Svanson

M. Svanson

RP

IP

1.0

H

2

ER

1

K

0

Team total

IP

9.0

H

7

ER

5

K

8

Betting line

PIT -1.5·O/U 7·STL +189/PIT -232

DraftKings · via ESPN