Matchup orbital

KC

2

KC

KC

12-18

Final

Win prob

42/58

AWAY · HOME

ATH

5

ATH

ATH

16-14

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

ATH wins

KC 2 · ATH 5 (by 3)

Model verdict

✓ Hit

Picked ATH +8pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team123456789R
KC1000000012
ATH010301005

What's next

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MLBGame · Wed, Apr 29Final
KC

KC12-18

KC

@

16-14ATH

ATH

ATH
SeriesATH wins series 2-1VegasATH -120

Recap · MLB

thletics held off Kansas City Royals, 5–2.

ATH +1.5 cashed (KC lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 9.5 by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FINALFinal
KC
KC12-182
FINAL
ATH
ATHWIN16-145

Current series

ATH wins series 2-1

Apr 29KCKC4@ATHATH1
Apr 30KCKC2@ATHATH5today
Apr 30KCKC3@ATHATH6

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Apr 29KCKC4@ATHATH1
Apr 30KCKC2@ATHATH5today
Apr 30KCKC3@ATHATH6
Aug 17ATHATH@KCKCupcoming
Aug 18ATHATH@KCKCupcoming
Aug 19ATHATH@KCKCupcoming
Aug 20ATHATH@KCKCupcoming

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

KC -1.5

Total

9.5

High-scoring · +1.0 vs avg

Moneyline

KCKC+10050%
ATHATH-12055%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet KC -1.5↗SpreadBet KC -1.5↗

Line movement · 2 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

9.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowKC ↔ ATH

Biggest swing: 20pp · Bottom 4th Inning

KCKC
L. Thomas

L. Thomas

CF

Batter of the game

1-for-2 · 1.167 OPS

M. Wacha

M. Wacha

SP

Starting pitcher

5.0 IP · 5 K · 4 ER · 8 H · 4 BB

ATHATH
C. Cortes

C. Cortes

RF

Batter of the game

2-for-3 · 1.417 OPS

L. Severino

L. Severino

SP

Starting pitcherQuality start

7.0 IP · 8 K · 1 ER · 4 H · 2 BB

How it ended

ATH beat KC 5-2. Butler's play in the bottom 4th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (20pp).

Win probability

ATH vs KC

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9

Score progression

0 lead changes

KC2
ATH5

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
ATHBottom 2nd Inning · 1-1
+11pp→ 60% WP

McNeil · doubled to right, Wilson scored.

ATHBottom 4th Inning · 1-4
+20pp→ 86% WP

Butler · homered to right center (404 feet), Wilson scored and McNeil scored.

Linescore (innings)

Team123456789R
KC1000000012
ATH01030100—5

Period scoring

KC won 1 · ATH won 3

1
0

Inn 1

Perez 1

0
1

Inn 2

McNeil 1

0
0

Inn 3

0
3

Inn 4

Butler 3

0
0

Inn 5

0
1

Inn 6

Kurtz 1

0
0

Inn 7

0
0

Inn 8

1

Inn 9

Massey 1

KC
ATH

Game flow · key plays

  1. B4

    Butler homered to right center (404 feet), Wilson scored and McNeil scored.

    KC 1·ATH 4

    +20pp

  2. B4

    McNeil singled to center, Wilson to second.

    KC 1·ATH 1

    +5pp

  3. B3

    Rooker struck out swinging.

    KC 1·ATH 1

    −5pp

  4. B2

    Gelof struck out swinging.

    KC 1·ATH 1

    −10pp

  5. B2

    McNeil doubled to right, Wilson scored.

    KC 1·ATH 1

    +11pp

  6. B2

    Wilson doubled to center.

    KC 1·ATH 0

    +9pp

Team stats

KC

Away

Stat

ATH

Home

6

Hits

11

1

Errors

0

2

Runs

5

Player box score

KC

KC

12-18

2
M. Garcia

M. Garcia★

3B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

B. Witt Jr.

B. Witt Jr.★

SS

OPS

1.000

H-AB

2-4

R

2

RBI

0

HR

0

C. Jensen

C. Jensen★

C

OPS

0.833

H-AB

1-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

S. Perez

S. Perez★

C

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

M. Massey

M. Massey★

2B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

I. Collins

I. Collins★

LF

OPS

0.250

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

J. Caglianone

J. Caglianone★

RF

OPS

0.250

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

L. Thomas

L. Thomas★

CF

OPS

1.167

H-AB

1-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

K. Isbel

K. Isbel★

CF

OPS

0.667

H-AB

1-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

Team total

H-AB

6-29

R

2

RBI

2

HR

0

M. Wacha

M. Wacha★

SP

IP

5.0

H

8

ER

4

K

5

L. Avila

L. Avila

RP

IP

1.0

H

2

ER

1

K

2

A. Lange

A. Lange

RP

IP

1.0

H

0

ER

0

K

0

M. Black

M. Black

RP

IP

1.0

H

1

ER

0

K

0

Team total

IP

8.0

H

11

ER

5

K

7

Betting line

KC -1.5·O/U 9.5·KC +100/ATH -120

DraftKings · via ESPN