Matchup orbital

SEA

5

SEA

SEA

16-16

Final

Win prob

58/42

AWAY · HOME

MIN

3

MIN

MIN

13-18

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

SEA wins

SEA 5 · MIN 3 (by 2)

Model verdict

✓ Hit

Picked SEA +8pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team123456789R
SEA0010001035
MIN0002000103

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

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MLBGame · Wed, Apr 29Final
SEA

SEA16-16

SEA

@

13-18MIN

MIN

MIN
SeriesSEA wins series 2-1VegasSEA -136

Recap · MLB

eattle Mariners went into Minnesota Twins and beat them, 5–3.

SEA -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total pushed exactly on 8.0.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FINALFinal
SEA
SEAWIN16-165
FINAL
MIN
MIN13-183

Current series

SEA wins series 2-1

Apr 27SEASEA4@MINMIN11
Apr 28SEASEA7@MINMIN1
Apr 29SEASEA5@MINMIN3today

Season series

SEA leads series 2-1

Apr 27SEASEA4@MINMIN11
Apr 28SEASEA7@MINMIN1
Apr 29SEASEA5@MINMIN3today
Aug 1MINMIN@SEASEAupcoming
Aug 1MINMIN@SEASEAupcoming
Aug 2MINMIN@SEASEAupcoming

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

SEA -1.5

Total

8.0

Defensive · -0.5 vs avg

Moneyline

SEASEA-13658%
MINMIN+11347%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet SEA -1.5↗SpreadBet SEA -1.5↗

Line movement · 2 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

8.0

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowSEA ↔ MIN

Biggest swing: 49pp · Top 9th Inning

SEASEA
J.P. Crawford

J.P. Crawford

SS

Batter of the gamePerfect day

2-for-3 · 1 HR · 2.467 OPS

G. Kirby

G. Kirby

SP

Starting pitcher

5.2 IP · 5 K · 2 ER · 8 H · 2 BB

MINMIN
V. Caratini

V. Caratini

C

Batter of the gamePerfect day

1-for-1 · 2.000 OPS

T. Bradley

T. Bradley

SP

Starting pitcher

7.0 IP · 7 K · 2 ER · 4 H · 2 BB

How it ended

SEA beat MIN 5-3. Young's play in the top 9th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (49pp).

Last play

End of the 9th inning

Win probability

MIN vs SEA

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9

Score progression

2 lead changes

SEA5
MIN3

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
MINBottom 4th Inning · 1-2
+24pp→ 69% WP

Lee · singled to right, Clemens scored and Jeffers scored, Keaschall to second.

MINBottom 8th Inning · 2-3
+28pp→ 85% WP

Caratini · singled to left, Outman scored.

SEATop 9th Inning · 4-3
+49pp→ 81% WP

Young · singled to center, Arozarena scored and Rivas scored.

Linescore (innings)

Team123456789R
SEA0010001035
MIN0002000103

Period scoring

SEA won 3 · MIN won 2

0
0

Inn 1

0
0

Inn 2

1
0

Inn 3

Crawford 1

0
2

Inn 4

Lee 2

0
0

Inn 5

0
0

Inn 6

1
0

Inn 7

Young 1

0
1

Inn 8

Caratini 1

3
0

Inn 9

Young 2

SEA
MIN

Game flow · key plays

  1. T9

    Young singled to center, Arozarena scored and Rivas scored.

    SEA 4·MIN 3

    −49pp

  2. T9

    Canzone singled to right, Arozarena to third.

    SEA 2·MIN 3

    −17pp

  3. B8

    Caratini singled to left, Outman scored.

    SEA 2·MIN 3

    +28pp

  4. T7

    Young doubled to center, Canzone scored.

    SEA 2·MIN 2

    −20pp

  5. B4

    Lee singled to right, Clemens scored and Jeffers scored, Keaschall to second.

    SEA 1·MIN 2

    +24pp

  6. T3

    Crawford homered to right (374 feet).

    SEA 1·MIN 0

    −13pp

Team stats

SEA

Away

Stat

MIN

Home

7

Hits

12

0

Errors

0

5

Runs

3

Player box score

SEA

SEA

16-16

5
J.P. Crawford

J.P. Crawford★

SS

OPS

2.467

H-AB

2-3

R

1

RBI

1

HR

1

C. Raleigh

C. Raleigh★

C

OPS

0.250

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

J. Rodriguez

J. Rodriguez★

CF

OPS

0.400

H-AB

1-5

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

J. Naylor

J. Naylor★

1B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

R. Arozarena

R. Arozarena★

LF

OPS

0.250

H-AB

0-3

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

L. Raley

L. Raley★

RF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

D. Canzone

D. Canzone★

RF

OPS

1.000

H-AB

2-4

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

C. Young

C. Young★

2B

OPS

1.000

H-AB

2-4

R

1

RBI

3

HR

0

W. Wilson

W. Wilson★

3B

OPS

0.250

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

Team total

H-AB

7-33

R

5

RBI

5

HR

1

G. Kirby

G. Kirby★

SP

IP

5.2

H

8

ER

2

K

5

E. Bazardo

E. Bazardo

RP

IP

0.2

H

1

ER

0

K

0

J. Ferrer

J. Ferrer

RP

IP

0.2

H

0

ER

0

K

1

G. Speier

G. Speier

RP

IP

0.2

H

3

ER

1

K

2

C. Criswell

C. Criswell

RP

IP

0.1

H

0

ER

0

K

0

A. Munoz

A. Munoz

RP

IP

1.0

H

0

ER

0

K

2

Team total

IP

9.0

H

12

ER

3

K

10

Betting line

SEA -1.5·O/U 8·SEA -136/MIN +113

DraftKings · via ESPN