Matchup orbital

TB

1

TB

TB

18-12

Final

Win prob

46/54

AWAY · HOME

CLE

3

CLE

CLE

16-16

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

CLE wins

TB 1 · CLE 3 (by 2)

Model verdict

✓ Hit

Picked CLE +4pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team123456789R
TB0000001001
CLE001020003

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

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← Back to MLB
MLBGame · Wed, Apr 29Final
TB

TB18-12

TB

@

16-16CLE

CLE

CLE
SeriesTB wins series 2-1VegasCLE -119

Recap · MLB

leveland Guardians held off Tampa Bay Rays, 3–1.

CLE +1.5 cashed (TB lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FINALFinal
TB
TB18-121
FINAL
CLE
CLEWIN16-163

Current series

TB wins series 2-1

Apr 27TBTB3@CLECLE2
Apr 28TBTB1@CLECLE0
Apr 29TBTB1@CLECLE3today

Season series

TB leads series 2-1

Apr 27TBTB3@CLECLE2
Apr 28TBTB1@CLECLE0
Apr 29TBTB1@CLECLE3today
Jul 24CLECLE@TBTBupcoming
Jul 25CLECLE@TBTBupcoming
Jul 26CLECLE@TBTBupcoming

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

TB -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

TBTB-10150%
CLECLE-11954%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet TB -1.5↗SpreadBet TB -1.5↗

Line movement

0 snapshots on file

Movement tracking online — chart appears once we have two or more snapshots logged for this game. Keep this tab open and refresh after the next ingest cycle.

Headlines · top performers

Game flowTB ↔ CLE

Biggest swing: 10pp · Bottom 8th Inning

TBTB
C. Simpson

C. Simpson

LF

Batter of the game

2-for-4 · 1.000 OPS

D. Rasmussen

D. Rasmussen

SP

Starting pitcher

5.0 IP · 6 K · 2 ER · 6 H · 1 BB

CLECLE
B. Rocchio

B. Rocchio

SS

Batter of the game

3-for-4 · 2 R · 1.500 OPS

G. Williams

G. Williams

SP

Starting pitcherGem

7.2 IP · 9 K · 0 ER · 5 H

How it ended

CLE beat TB 3-1.

Win probability

CLE vs TB

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9

Score progression

0 lead changes

TB1
CLE3

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
CLEBottom 5th Inning · 0-1
+8pp→ 86% WP

Kwan · doubled to right, Rocchio to third.

TBTop 7th Inning · 1-3
+8pp→ 16% WP

Fraley · grounded into fielder's choice to second, Díaz scored on error, Fraley second.

CLEBottom 8th Inning · 1-3
+10pp→ 94% WP

Bazzana · popped out to shortstop.

Linescore (innings)

Team123456789R
TB0000001001
CLE00102000—3

Period scoring

TB won 1 · CLE won 2

0
0

Inn 1

0
0

Inn 2

0
1

Inn 3

Manzardo 1

0
0

Inn 4

0
2

Inn 5

DeLauter 2

0
0

Inn 6

1
0

Inn 7

Fraley 1

0
0

Inn 8

0

Inn 9

TB
CLE

Game flow · key plays

  1. T9

    Fraley struck out swinging.

    TB 1·CLE 3

    +6pp

  2. T9

    Díaz singled to left.

    TB 1·CLE 3

    −7pp

  3. B8

    Bazzana popped out to shortstop.

    TB 1·CLE 3

    +10pp

  4. T7

    Fraley grounded into fielder's choice to second, Díaz scored on error, Fraley second.

    TB 1·CLE 3

    −8pp

  5. B5

    DeLauter singled to center, Rocchio scored and Kwan scored.

    TB 0·CLE 3

    +6pp

  6. B5

    Kwan doubled to right, Rocchio to third.

    TB 0·CLE 1

    +8pp

Team stats

TB

Away

Stat

CLE

Home

6

Hits

9

1

Errors

1

1

Runs

3

Player box score

TB

TB

18-12

1
C. Simpson

C. Simpson★

LF

OPS

1.000

H-AB

2-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

J. Caminero

J. Caminero★

3B

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

J. Aranda

J. Aranda★

1B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

Y. Diaz

Y. Diaz★

1B

OPS

1.000

H-AB

2-4

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

J. Fraley

J. Fraley★

RF

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

C. Mullins

C. Mullins★

CF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

R. Palacios

R. Palacios★

2B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

H. Feduccia

H. Feduccia★

C

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

T. Walls

T. Walls★

SS

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

Team total

H-AB

6-33

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

D. Rasmussen

D. Rasmussen★

SP

IP

5.0

H

6

ER

2

K

6

C. Legumina

C. Legumina

RP

IP

1.0

H

1

ER

0

K

0

Y. Gomez

Y. Gomez

RP

IP

2.0

H

2

ER

0

K

1

Team total

IP

8.0

H

9

ER

2

K

7

Betting line

TB -1.5·O/U 6.5·TB -101/CLE -119

DraftKings · via ESPN