Matchup orbital

STL

5

STL

STL

17-13

Final

Win prob

46/54

AWAY · HOME

PIT

4

PIT

PIT

16-15

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

STL wins

STL 5 · PIT 4 (by 1)

Model verdict

✗ Missed

Picked PIT +4pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team123456789R
STL0010202005
PIT0000102104

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

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Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

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MLBGame · Wed, Apr 29Final
STL

STL17-13

STL

@

16-15PIT

PIT

PIT
SeriesSTL wins series 4-0VegasPIT -137

Recap · MLB

t. Louis Cardinals went into Pittsburgh Pirates and beat them, 5–4. It came down to the final possession.

STL +1.5 cashed (PIT lost outright). Total cleared the 8.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FINALFinal
STL
STLWIN17-135
FINAL
PIT
PIT16-154

Current series

STL wins series 4-0

Apr 27STLSTL4@PITPIT2
Apr 28STLSTL11@PITPIT7
Apr 29STLSTL5@PITPIT4today
Apr 30STLSTL10@PITPIT5

Season series

STL leads series 3-0

Apr 27STLSTL4@PITPIT2
Apr 28STLSTL11@PITPIT7
Apr 29STLSTL5@PITPIT4today
Apr 30STLSTL10@PITPIT5
May 19PITPIT@STLSTLupcoming
May 20PITPIT@STLSTLupcoming
May 21PITPIT@STLSTLupcoming
Aug 29PITPIT@STLSTLupcoming
Aug 29PITPIT@STLSTLupcoming
Aug 30PITPIT@STLSTLupcoming
Sep 22STLSTL@PITPITupcoming
Sep 23STLSTL@PITPITupcoming
Sep 24STLSTL@PITPITupcoming

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

PIT -1.5

Total

8.5

Standard · 0.0 vs avg

Moneyline

STLSTL+11447%
PITPIT-13758%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet PIT -1.5↗SpreadBet PIT -1.5↗

Line movement · 2 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

8.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowSTL ↔ PIT

Biggest swing: 22pp · Top 5th Inning

STLSTL
A. Burleson

A. Burleson

1B

Batter of the game

1-for-4 · 1 HR · 1.400 OPS

A. Pallante

A. Pallante

SP

Starting pitcherQuality start

6.0 IP · 6 K · 1 ER · 5 H

PITPIT
S. Horwitz

S. Horwitz

1B

Batter of the game

1-for-3 · 1 HR · 1.833 OPS

B. Chandler

B. Chandler

SP

Starting pitcher

5.0 IP · 6 K · 3 ER · 3 H · 4 BB

How it ended

STL beat PIT 5-4. Burleson's play in the top 5th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (22pp).

Last play

End of the 9th inning

Win probability

PIT vs STL

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9

Score progression

0 lead changes

STL5
PIT4

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
STLTop 5th Inning · 3-0
+22pp→ 78% WP

Burleson · homered to left center (411 feet), Herrera scored.

PITBottom 7th Inning · 5-3
+19pp→ 38% WP

Yorke · singled to center, Bart scored and Griffin scored, Cruz to third.

PITBottom 8th Inning · 5-3
+15pp→ 41% WP

Mangum · grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Cook safe at second on fielding error by shortstop Winn, Gonzales to third.

Linescore (innings)

Team123456789R
STL0010202005
PIT0000102104

Period scoring

STL won 2 · PIT won 1

0
0

Inn 1

0
0

Inn 2

1
0

Inn 3

Wetherholt 1

0
0

Inn 4

2
1

Inn 5

Burleson 2

Horwitz 1

0
0

Inn 6

2
2

Inn 7

Herrera 1

Yorke 2

0
1

Inn 8

Cruz 1

0
0

Inn 9

STL
PIT

Game flow · key plays

  1. B9

    Ozuna struck out swinging.

    STL 5·PIT 4

    −13pp

  2. B8

    Mangum grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Cook safe at second on fielding error by shortstop Winn, Gonzales to third.

    STL 5·PIT 3

    +15pp

  3. B7

    Ozuna grounded out to third.

    STL 5·PIT 3

    −14pp

  4. B7

    O'Hearn struck out swinging.

    STL 5·PIT 3

    −14pp

  5. B7

    Yorke singled to center, Bart scored and Griffin scored, Cruz to third.

    STL 5·PIT 3

    +19pp

  6. T5

    Burleson homered to left center (411 feet), Herrera scored.

    STL 3·PIT 0

    −22pp

Team stats

STL

Away

Stat

PIT

Home

6

Hits

9

2

Errors

0

5

Runs

4

Player box score

STL

STL

17-13

5
J. Wetherholt

J. Wetherholt★

2B

OPS

0.800

H-AB

2-5

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

I. Herrera

I. Herrera★

C

OPS

1.100

H-AB

2-4

R

2

RBI

1

HR

0

A. Burleson

A. Burleson★

1B

OPS

1.400

H-AB

1-4

R

1

RBI

2

HR

1

J. Walker

J. Walker★

RF

OPS

0.400

H-AB

1-5

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

N. Gorman

N. Gorman★

3B

OPS

0.250

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

M. Winn

M. Winn★

SS

OPS

0.500

H-AB

0-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

N. Church

N. Church★

LF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

R. Urias

R. Urias★

3B

OPS

0.250

H-AB

0-3

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

V. Scott II

V. Scott II★

CF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-3

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

Team total

H-AB

6-33

R

5

RBI

5

HR

1

A. Pallante

A. Pallante★

SP

IP

6.0

H

5

ER

1

K

6

R. Stanek

R. Stanek

RP

IP

0.1

H

1

ER

2

K

0

J. Romero

J. Romero

RP

IP

0.2

H

1

ER

0

K

1

G. Soriano

G. Soriano

RP

IP

1.0

H

1

ER

0

K

1

R. O'Brien

R. O'Brien

RP

IP

1.0

H

1

ER

0

K

1

Team total

IP

9.0

H

9

ER

3

K

9

Betting line

PIT -1.5·O/U 8.5·STL +114/PIT -137

DraftKings · via ESPN