Matchup orbital

COL

13

COL

COL

14-17

Final

Win prob

33/67

AWAY · HOME

CIN

2

CIN

CIN

19-11

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

COL wins

COL 13 · CIN 2 (by 11)

Model verdict

✗ Missed

Picked CIN +17pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team123456789R
COL30101030513
CIN0000000022

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

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MLBGame · Wed, Apr 29Final
COL

COL14-17

COL

@

19-11CIN

CIN

CIN
SeriesCIN wins series 2-1VegasCIN -167

Recap · MLB

olorado Rockies went into Cincinnati Reds and beat them, 13–2. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

COL +1.5 cashed (CIN lost outright). Total cleared the 9.5 OVER by 5.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FINALFinal
COL
COLWIN14-1713
FINAL
CIN
CIN19-112

Current series

CIN wins series 2-1

Apr 28COLCOL2@CINCIN7
Apr 29COLCOL13@CINCIN2today
Apr 30COLCOL4@CINCIN6

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Apr 28COLCOL2@CINCIN7
Apr 29COLCOL13@CINCIN2today
Apr 30COLCOL4@CINCIN6
Jul 18CINCIN@COLCOLupcoming
Jul 18CINCIN@COLCOLupcoming
Jul 19CINCIN@COLCOLupcoming

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CIN -1.5

Total

9.5

High-scoring · +1.0 vs avg

Moneyline

COLCOL+13842%
CINCIN-16763%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CIN -1.5↗SpreadBet CIN -1.5↗

Line movement · 2 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

9.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowCOL ↔ CIN

Biggest swing: 25pp · Top 1st Inning

COLCOL
H. Goodman

H. Goodman

C

Batter of the game2-HR game

3-for-4 · 2 HR · 3.050 OPS

T. Sugano

T. Sugano

SP

Starting pitcher

5.1 IP · 2 K · 0 ER · 4 H · 3 BB

CINCIN
W. Benson

W. Benson

RF

Batter of the gamePerfect day

1-for-1 · 1 HR · 5.000 OPS

B. Williamson

B. Williamson

SP

Starting pitcher

3.0 IP · 4 K · 4 ER · 4 H · 4 BB

How it ended

COL beat CIN 13-2. Sullivan's play in the top 1st inning drove the biggest swing of the night (25pp).

Last play

End of the 9th inning

Win probability

CIN vs COL

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9

Score progression

0 lead changes

COL13
CIN2

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
COLTop 1st Inning · 3-0
+25pp→ 72% WP

Sullivan · doubled to right, Castro scored, Doyle scored and Goodman scored, Sullivan to third.

CINBottom 2nd Inning · 3-0
+7pp→ 32% WP

Lowe · walked.

COLTop 3rd Inning · 4-0
+9pp→ 88% WP

Castro · doubled to center, Doyle scored, Rumfield to third.

Linescore (innings)

Team123456789R
COL30101030513
CIN0000000022

Period scoring

COL won 5 · CIN won 0

3
0

Inn 1

Sullivan 3

0
0

Inn 2

1
0

Inn 3

Castro 1

0
0

Inn 4

1
0

Inn 5

Goodman 1

0
0

Inn 6

3
0

Inn 7

Goodman 2

0
0

Inn 8

5
2

Inn 9

Tovar 2

Benson 2

COL
CIN

Game flow · key plays

  1. B6

    Lowe flied out to left.

    COL 5·CIN 0

    −7pp

  2. T3

    Castro doubled to center, Doyle scored, Rumfield to third.

    COL 4·CIN 0

    −9pp

  3. B2

    Bleday lined out to center.

    COL 3·CIN 0

    −5pp

  4. B2

    Lowe walked.

    COL 3·CIN 0

    +7pp

  5. T2

    Tovar walked.

    COL 3·CIN 0

    −6pp

  6. T1

    Sullivan doubled to right, Castro scored, Doyle scored and Goodman scored, Sullivan to third.

    COL 3·CIN 0

    −25pp

Team stats

COL

Away

Stat

CIN

Home

15

Hits

10

0

Errors

0

13

Runs

2

Player box score

COL

COL

14-17

13
J. Beck

J. Beck★

LF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-6

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

B. Doyle

B. Doyle★

CF

OPS

0.900

H-AB

2-5

R

2

RBI

1

HR

0

T. Rumfield

T. Rumfield★

1B

OPS

0.667

H-AB

2-6

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

H. Goodman

H. Goodman★

C

OPS

3.050

H-AB

3-4

R

4

RBI

3

HR

2

W. Castro

W. Castro★

2B

OPS

1.100

H-AB

2-4

R

2

RBI

1

HR

0

B. Sullivan

B. Sullivan★

C

OPS

1.550

H-AB

3-4

R

1

RBI

3

HR

0

K. Karros

K. Karros★

3B

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

R

1

RBI

1

HR

0

E. Tovar

E. Tovar★

SS

OPS

0.650

H-AB

1-4

R

1

RBI

2

HR

0

M. Moniak

M. Moniak★

LF

OPS

0.833

H-AB

1-3

R

1

RBI

1

HR

0

Team total

H-AB

15-40

R

13

RBI

13

HR

2

T. Sugano

T. Sugano★

SP

IP

5.1

H

4

ER

0

K

2

B. Bernardino

B. Bernardino

RP

IP

1.2

H

1

ER

0

K

1

J. Mejia

J. Mejia

RP

IP

1.0

H

1

ER

0

K

3

J. Herget

J. Herget

RP

IP

1.0

H

4

ER

2

K

3

Team total

IP

9.0

H

10

ER

2

K

9

Betting line

CIN -1.5·O/U 9.5·COL +138/CIN -167

DraftKings · via ESPN