Matchup orbital

KC

4

KC

KC

12-17

Final

Win prob

44/56

AWAY · HOME

ATH

1

ATH

ATH

15-14

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

KC wins

KC 4 · ATH 1 (by 3)

Model verdict

✗ Missed

Picked ATH +6pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team12345678910R
KC00000100034
ATH01000000001

Final play

“End of the 10th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →
Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

← Back to MLB
MLBGame · Tue, Apr 28Final
KC

KC12-17

KC

@

15-14ATH

ATH

ATH
SeriesATH wins series 2-1VegasATH -110

Recap · MLB

ansas City Royals went into Athletics and beat them, 4–1.

KC -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total stayed UNDER 9.5 by 4.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FINALFinal/10
KC
KCWIN12-174
FINAL
ATH
ATH15-141

Current series

ATH wins series 2-1

Apr 29KCKC4@ATHATH1today
Apr 30KCKC2@ATHATH5
Apr 30KCKC3@ATHATH6

Season series

KC leads series 1-0

Apr 29KCKC4@ATHATH1today
Apr 30KCKC2@ATHATH5
Apr 30KCKC3@ATHATH6
Aug 17ATHATH@KCKCupcoming
Aug 18ATHATH@KCKCupcoming
Aug 19ATHATH@KCKCupcoming
Aug 20ATHATH@KCKCupcoming

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

KC -1.5

Total

9.5

High-scoring · +1.0 vs avg

Moneyline

KCKC-11052%
ATHATH-11052%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet KC -1.5↗SpreadBet KC -1.5↗

Line movement · 2 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

9.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowKC ↔ ATH

Biggest swing: 51pp · Top 10th Inning

KCKC
S. Perez

S. Perez

C

Batter of the game

2-for-5 · 1 HR · 1.400 OPS

K. Bubic

K. Bubic

SP

Starting pitcher

5.0 IP · 6 K · 1 ER · 4 H · 4 BB

ATHATH
C. Cortes

C. Cortes

RF

Batter of the gamePerfect day

1-for-1 · 2.000 OPS

A. Civale

A. Civale

SP

Starting pitcher

5.0 IP · 3 K · 0 ER · 5 H · 1 BB

How it ended

KC beat ATH 4-1. Witt Jr.'s play in the top 10th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (51pp).

Last play

End of the 10th inning

Win probability

ATH vs KC

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9I10

Score progression

0 lead changes

KC4
ATH1

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
KCTop 6th Inning · 1-1
+15pp→ 44% WP

Perez · homered to center (425 feet).

KCBottom 8th Inning · 1-1
+15pp→ 38% WP

Gelof · struck out swinging.

KCTop 10th Inning · 4-1
+51pp→ 91% WP

Witt Jr. · homered to right center (389 feet), Loftin scored and Isbel scored.

Linescore (innings)

Team12345678910R
KC00000100034
ATH01000000001

Period scoring

KC won 2 · ATH won 1

0
0

Inn 1

0
1

Inn 2

Wilson 1

0
0

Inn 3

0
0

Inn 4

0
0

Inn 5

1
0

Inn 6

Perez 1

0
0

Inn 7

0
0

Inn 8

0
0

Inn 9

3
0

Inn 10

Jr. 3

KC
ATH

Game flow · key plays

  1. T10

    Witt Jr. homered to right center (389 feet), Loftin scored and Isbel scored.

    KC 4·ATH 1

    −51pp

  2. T10

    Garcia fouled out to catcher.

    KC 1·ATH 1

    +13pp

  3. B8

    Gelof struck out swinging.

    KC 1·ATH 1

    −15pp

  4. B8

    Cortes singled to right, Thomas to third.

    KC 1·ATH 1

    +13pp

  5. T6

    Perez homered to center (425 feet).

    KC 1·ATH 1

    −15pp

  6. B2

    Wilson singled to center, Gelof scored.

    KC 0·ATH 1

    +10pp

Team stats

KC

Away

Stat

ATH

Home

8

Hits

8

0

Errors

0

4

Runs

1

Player box score

KC

KC

12-17

4
M. Garcia

M. Garcia★

3B

OPS

0.800

H-AB

2-5

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

B. Witt Jr.

B. Witt Jr.★

SS

OPS

1.000

H-AB

1-5

R

1

RBI

3

HR

1

V. Pasquantino

V. Pasquantino★

1B

OPS

1.167

H-AB

1-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

S. Perez

S. Perez★

C

OPS

1.400

H-AB

2-5

R

1

RBI

1

HR

1

J. Caglianone

J. Caglianone★

RF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

L. Thomas

L. Thomas★

CF

OPS

1.167

H-AB

1-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

I. Collins

I. Collins★

LF

OPS

0.250

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

N. Loftin

N. Loftin★

3B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

K. Isbel

K. Isbel★

CF

OPS

0.667

H-AB

1-3

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

M. Massey

M. Massey

2B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

C. Jensen

C. Jensen

C

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-1

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

Team total

H-AB

8-36

R

4

RBI

4

HR

2

K. Bubic

K. Bubic★

SP

IP

5.0

H

4

ER

1

K

6

J. Schreiber

J. Schreiber

RP

IP

1.0

H

0

ER

0

K

0

D. Lynch IV

D. Lynch IV

RP

IP

1.0

H

1

ER

0

K

0

M. Strahm

M. Strahm

RP

IP

1.0

H

2

ER

0

K

2

N. Mears

N. Mears

RP

IP

1.0

H

0

ER

0

K

2

L. Erceg

L. Erceg

RP

IP

1.0

H

1

ER

0

K

1

Team total

IP

10.0

H

8

ER

1

K

11

Betting line

KC -1.5·O/U 9.5·KC -110/ATH -110

DraftKings · via ESPN