Matchup orbital

2
LAA
LAA
12-19
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME

5
CHW
CHW
13-17
Postgame · final
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
CHW wins
LAA 2 · CHW 5 (by 3)
Model verdict
✓ Hit
Picked CHW +5pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| CHW | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
What's next
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
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LAA12-19
LAA
13-17CHW
CHW

Recap · MLB
hicago White Sox held off Los Angeles Angels, 5–2.
CHW +1.5 cashed (LAA lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 7.5 by 0.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page


Current series
CHW win series 3-0
LAA7@
CHW8
LAA2@
CHW5today
LAA2@
CHW3Season series
CHW lead series 2-0
LAA7@
CHW8
LAA2@
CHW5today
LAA2@
CHW3
CHW@
LAAupcoming
CHW@
LAAupcoming
CHW@
LAAupcomingVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
LAA -1.5
Total
7.5
Defensive · -1.0 vs avg
Moneyline
LAA-13758%
CHW+11447%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 2 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
7.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 26pp · Bottom 4th Inning
LAA
M. Trout
CFBatter of the game
1-for-2 · 1.250 OPS

J. Soriano
SPStarting pitcher
5.0 IP · 6 K · 3 ER · 6 H · 3 BB
CHW
D. Romo
CBatter of the game2-HR game
2-for-3 · 2 HR · 3.333 OPS

D. Martin
SPStarting pitcher
5.2 IP · 7 K · 1 ER · 7 H · 1 BB
How it ended
CHW beat LAA 5-2. Romo's play in the bottom 4th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (26pp).
Win probability
CHW vs LAA
Score progression
0 lead changes
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactMontgomery · homered to right (384 feet).
Adell · singled to center, Schanuel scored.
Romo · homered to right (377 feet), Antonacci scored.
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| CHW | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | 5 |
Period scoring
LAA won 1 · CHW won 4
Inn 1
Inn 2
Montgomery 1
Inn 3
Inn 4
Adell 1
Romo 2
Inn 5
Inn 6
Romo 1
Inn 7
Antonacci 1
Inn 8
Lowe 1
Inn 9
Game flow · key plays
Romo homered to center (397 feet).
LAA 1·CHW 4
+8pp
Schanuel grounded out to first.
LAA 1·CHW 3
+6pp
Romo homered to right (377 feet), Antonacci scored.
LAA 1·CHW 3
+26pp
Adell singled to center, Schanuel scored.
LAA 1·CHW 1
−12pp
Schanuel doubled to right.
LAA 0·CHW 1
−5pp
Montgomery homered to right (384 feet).
LAA 0·CHW 1
+12pp
Team stats
LAA
Away
Stat
CHW
Home
9
Hits
9
0
Errors
0
2
Runs
5
Player box score

LAA
12-19

Z. Neto★
SS
OPS
0.400
H-AB
1-5
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

M. Trout★
CF
OPS
1.250
H-AB
1-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

Y. Moncada★
3B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Soler★
RF
OPS
0.833
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

N. Schanuel★
1B
OPS
1.000
H-AB
2-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Adell★
RF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0

J. Lowe★
LF
OPS
1.250
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1

S. Rivero★
C
OPS
1.000
H-AB
2-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

A. Frazier★
2B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

V. Grissom
2B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

O. Peraza
2B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
9-35
R
2
RBI
2
HR
1
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Z. Neto★SS | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 |
![]() M. Trout★CF | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.250 |
![]() Y. Moncada★3B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() J. Soler★RF | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.833 |
![]() N. Schanuel★1B | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
![]() J. Adell★RF | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() J. Lowe★LF | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.250 |
![]() S. Rivero★C | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
![]() A. Frazier★2B | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() V. Grissom2B | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() O. Peraza2B | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 9-35 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |

J. Soriano★
SP
IP
5.0
H
6
ER
3
K
6

B. Suter
RP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
1
K
1

J. Lucchesi
RP
IP
0.1
H
2
ER
1
K
1

J. Fermin
RP
IP
1.2
H
0
ER
0
K
1
IP
8.0
H
9
ER
5
K
9
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() J. Soriano★SP | 5.0 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
![]() B. SuterRP | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
![]() J. LucchesiRP | 0.1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
![]() J. FerminRP | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | 8.0 | 9 | 5 | 9 |

CHW
13-17

A. Benintendi★
LF
OPS
0.833
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

M. Murakami★
1B
OPS
0.400
H-AB
1-5
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

M. Vargas★
3B
OPS
1.250
H-AB
1-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

C. Montgomery★
SS
OPS
1.750
H-AB
2-4
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1

E. Pereira★
RF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

S. Antonacci★
LF
OPS
0.667
H-AB
1-3
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0

T. Peters★
CF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

D. Romo★
C
OPS
3.333
H-AB
2-3
R
2
RBI
3
HR
2

L. Acuna★
CF
OPS
0.833
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

D. Hill
RF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

A. Hays
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

C. Meidroth
2B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
9-32
R
5
RBI
5
HR
3
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() A. Benintendi★LF | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.833 |
![]() M. Murakami★1B | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 |
![]() M. Vargas★3B | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.250 |
![]() C. Montgomery★SS | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.750 |
![]() E. Pereira★RF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() S. Antonacci★LF | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.667 |
![]() T. Peters★CF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() D. Romo★C | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3.333 |
![]() L. Acuna★CF | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.833 |
![]() D. HillRF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() A. HaysLF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() C. Meidroth2B | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 9-32 | 5 | 5 | 3 | — |

D. Martin★
SP
IP
5.2
H
7
ER
1
K
7

S. Newcomb
RP
IP
1.1
H
1
ER
0
K
3

J. Leasure
RP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
1
K
2

S. Dominguez
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
1
IP
9.0
H
9
ER
2
K
13
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() D. Martin★SP | 5.2 | 7 | 1 | 7 |
![]() S. NewcombRP | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
![]() J. LeasureRP | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
![]() S. DominguezRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | 9.0 | 9 | 2 | 13 |
Betting line
LAA -1.5·O/U 7.5·LAA -137/CHW +114