Matchup orbital

TB

1

TB

TB

18-11

Final

Win prob

47/53

AWAY · HOME

CLE

0

CLE

CLE

15-16

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

TB wins

TB 1 · CLE 0 (by 1)

Model verdict

✗ Missed

Picked CLE +3pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team123456789R
TB0000100001
CLE0000000000

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

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MLBGame · Tue, Apr 28Final
TB

TB18-11

TB

@

15-16CLE

CLE

CLE
SeriesTB wins series 2-1VegasCLE -131

Recap · MLB

ampa Bay Rays went into Cleveland Guardians and beat them, 1–0. It came down to the final possession.

TB +1.5 cashed (CLE lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 7.5 by 6.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FINALFinal
TB
TBWIN18-111
FINAL
CLE
CLE15-160

Current series

TB wins series 2-1

Apr 27TBTB3@CLECLE2
Apr 28TBTB1@CLECLE0today
Apr 29TBTB1@CLECLE3

Season series

TB leads series 2-0

Apr 27TBTB3@CLECLE2
Apr 28TBTB1@CLECLE0today
Apr 29TBTB1@CLECLE3
Jul 24CLECLE@TBTBupcoming
Jul 25CLECLE@TBTBupcoming
Jul 26CLECLE@TBTBupcoming

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CLE -1.5

Total

7.5

Defensive · -1.0 vs avg

Moneyline

TBTB+10948%
CLECLE-13157%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CLE -1.5↗SpreadBet CLE -1.5↗

Line movement

1 snapshot on file

Movement tracking online — chart appears once we have two or more snapshots logged for this game. Keep this tab open and refresh after the next ingest cycle.

Headlines · top performers

Game flowTB ↔ CLE

Biggest swing: 19pp · Top 9th Inning

TBTB
J. Fraley

J. Fraley

RF

Batter of the game

1-for-3 · 0.833 OPS

N. Martinez

N. Martinez

SP

Starting pitcherGem

7.0 IP · 4 K · 0 ER · 3 H · 1 BB

CLECLE
S. Kwan

S. Kwan

CF

Batter of the game

1-for-3 · 0.833 OPS

T. Bibee

T. Bibee

SP

Starting pitcher

5.0 IP · 6 K · 1 ER · 4 H · 3 BB

How it ended

TB beat CLE 1-0. Fortes's play in the top 9th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (19pp).

Last play

End of the 9th inning

Win probability

CLE vs TB

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9

Score progression

0 lead changes

TB1
CLE0

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
TBTop 5th Inning · 1-0
+14pp→ 61% WP

Aranda · singled to right, Walls scored, Williamson to second.

TBTop 9th Inning · 1-0
+19pp→ 79% WP

Fortes · lined out to center.

TBBottom 9th Inning · 1-0
+16pp→ 100% WP

Valera · struck out swinging.

Linescore (innings)

Team123456789R
TB0000100001
CLE0000000000

Period scoring

TB won 1 · CLE won 0

0
0

Inn 1

0
0

Inn 2

0
0

Inn 3

0
0

Inn 4

1
0

Inn 5

Aranda 1

0
0

Inn 6

0
0

Inn 7

0
0

Inn 8

0
0

Inn 9

TB
CLE

Game flow · key plays

  1. B9

    Valera struck out swinging.

    TB 1·CLE 0

    −16pp

  2. T9

    Fortes lined out to center.

    TB 1·CLE 0

    −19pp

  3. B8

    DeLauter struck out swinging.

    TB 1·CLE 0

    −19pp

  4. B8

    Hoskins walked, Bazzana to second.

    TB 1·CLE 0

    +13pp

  5. B5

    Schneemann singled to center.

    TB 1·CLE 0

    +10pp

  6. T5

    Aranda singled to right, Walls scored, Williamson to second.

    TB 1·CLE 0

    −14pp

Team stats

TB

Away

Stat

CLE

Home

5

Hits

4

0

Errors

1

1

Runs

0

Player box score

TB

TB

18-11

1
C. Simpson

C. Simpson★

LF

OPS

0.650

H-AB

1-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

J. Caminero

J. Caminero★

3B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-1

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

J. Aranda

J. Aranda★

1B

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

Y. Diaz

Y. Diaz★

1B

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

J. Fraley

J. Fraley★

RF

OPS

0.833

H-AB

1-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

C. Mullins

C. Mullins★

CF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

N. Fortes

N. Fortes★

C

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

R. Palacios

R. Palacios★

2B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

T. Walls

T. Walls★

SS

OPS

0.750

H-AB

0-1

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

B. Williamson

B. Williamson

2B

OPS

0.667

H-AB

1-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

Team total

H-AB

5-32

R

1

RBI

1

HR

0

N. Martinez

N. Martinez★

SP

IP

7.0

H

3

ER

0

K

4

I. Seymour

I. Seymour

RP

IP

0.2

H

0

ER

0

K

1

K. Kelly

K. Kelly

RP

IP

0.1

H

0

ER

0

K

0

C. Sulser

C. Sulser

RP

IP

1.0

H

1

ER

0

K

2

Team total

IP

9.0

H

4

ER

0

K

7

Betting line

CLE -1.5·O/U 7.5·TB +109/CLE -131

DraftKings · via ESPN