Matchup orbital

STL

11

STL

STL

16-13

Final

Win prob

45/55

AWAY · HOME

PIT

7

PIT

PIT

16-14

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

STL wins

STL 11 · PIT 7 (by 4)

Model verdict

✗ Missed

Picked PIT +5pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team123456789R
STL01203032011
PIT0000030317

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

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MLBGame · Tue, Apr 28Final
STL

STL16-13

STL

@

16-14PIT

PIT

PIT
SeriesSTL wins series 4-0VegasPIT -161

Recap · MLB

t. Louis Cardinals went into Pittsburgh Pirates and beat them, 11–7.

STL +1.5 cashed (PIT lost outright). Total cleared the 8.5 OVER by 9.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FINALFinal
STL
STLWIN16-1311
FINAL
PIT
PIT16-147

Current series

STL wins series 4-0

Apr 27STLSTL4@PITPIT2
Apr 28STLSTL11@PITPIT7today
Apr 29STLSTL5@PITPIT4
Apr 30STLSTL10@PITPIT5

Season series

STL leads series 2-0

Apr 27STLSTL4@PITPIT2
Apr 28STLSTL11@PITPIT7today
Apr 29STLSTL5@PITPIT4
Apr 30STLSTL10@PITPIT5
May 19PITPIT@STLSTLupcoming
May 20PITPIT@STLSTLupcoming
May 21PITPIT@STLSTLupcoming
Aug 29PITPIT@STLSTLupcoming
Aug 29PITPIT@STLSTLupcoming
Aug 30PITPIT@STLSTLupcoming
Sep 22STLSTL@PITPITupcoming
Sep 23STLSTL@PITPITupcoming
Sep 24STLSTL@PITPITupcoming

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

PIT -1.5

Total

8.5

Standard · 0.0 vs avg

Moneyline

STLSTL+13343%
PITPIT-16162%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet PIT -1.5↗SpreadBet PIT -1.5↗

Line movement · 2 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

8.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowSTL ↔ PIT

Biggest swing: 15pp · Top 2nd Inning

STLSTL
I. Herrera

I. Herrera

C

Batter of the game

1-for-2 · 3 R · 1.300 OPS

K. Leahy

K. Leahy

SP

Starting pitcher

5.1 IP · 7 K · 3 ER · 9 H

PITPIT
R. O'Hearn

R. O'Hearn

RF

Batter of the game

2-for-4 · 1 HR · 1.750 OPS

B. Ashcraft

B. Ashcraft

SP

Starting pitcher

4.1 IP · 7 K · 6 ER · 6 H · 3 BB

How it ended

STL beat PIT 11-7.

Last play

End of the 9th inning

Win probability

PIT vs STL

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9

Score progression

0 lead changes

STL11
PIT7

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
STLTop 2nd Inning · 1-0
+15pp→ 49% WP

Gorman · homered to right (413 feet).

STLTop 3rd Inning · 2-0
+13pp→ 64% WP

Scott II · homered to right (415 feet).

STLBottom 4th Inning · 3-0
+10pp→ 80% WP

O'Hearn · grounded into double play, shortstop to first, Reynolds out at second.

Linescore (innings)

Team123456789R
STL01203032011
PIT0000030317

Period scoring

STL won 4 · PIT won 3

0
0

Inn 1

1
0

Inn 2

Gorman 1

2
0

Inn 3

II 1

0
0

Inn 4

3
0

Inn 5

Burleson 1

0
3

Inn 6

O'Hearn 2

3
0

Inn 7

Walker 1

2
3

Inn 8

Burleson 2

Gonzales 2

0
1

Inn 9

Griffin 1

STL
PIT

Game flow · key plays

  1. B6

    O'Hearn homered to right center (398 feet), Reynolds scored.

    STL 6·PIT 3

    +8pp

  2. T5

    Burleson hit a ground rule double, Wetherholt scored, Herrera to third.

    STL 4·PIT 0

    −7pp

  3. B4

    O'Hearn grounded into double play, shortstop to first, Reynolds out at second.

    STL 3·PIT 0

    −10pp

  4. T3

    Walker singled to left, Wetherholt scored.

    STL 3·PIT 0

    −9pp

  5. T3

    Scott II homered to right (415 feet).

    STL 2·PIT 0

    −13pp

  6. T2

    Gorman homered to right (413 feet).

    STL 1·PIT 0

    −15pp

Team stats

STL

Away

Stat

PIT

Home

12

Hits

13

0

Errors

2

11

Runs

7

Player box score

STL

STL

16-13

11
J. Wetherholt

J. Wetherholt★

2B

OPS

0.833

H-AB

1-3

R

3

RBI

0

HR

0

I. Herrera

I. Herrera★

C

OPS

1.300

H-AB

1-2

R

3

RBI

0

HR

0

A. Burleson

A. Burleson★

1B

OPS

1.100

H-AB

2-4

R

2

RBI

3

HR

0

J. Walker

J. Walker★

RF

OPS

1.000

H-AB

2-4

R

1

RBI

3

HR

0

N. Gorman

N. Gorman★

3B

OPS

1.250

H-AB

1-4

R

1

RBI

3

HR

1

M. Winn

M. Winn★

SS

OPS

0.800

H-AB

2-5

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

N. Church

N. Church★

LF

OPS

0.400

H-AB

1-5

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

P. Pages

P. Pages★

C

OPS

0.400

H-AB

1-5

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

V. Scott II

V. Scott II★

CF

OPS

1.000

H-AB

1-5

R

1

RBI

1

HR

1

Team total

H-AB

12-37

R

11

RBI

11

HR

2

K. Leahy

K. Leahy★

SP

IP

5.1

H

9

ER

3

K

7

G. Graceffo

G. Graceffo

RP

IP

1.2

H

0

ER

0

K

0

J. Bruihl

J. Bruihl

RP

IP

1.0

H

3

ER

2

K

1

M. Svanson

M. Svanson

RP

IP

1.0

H

1

ER

1

K

3

Team total

IP

9.0

H

13

ER

6

K

11

Betting line

PIT -1.5·O/U 8.5·STL +133/PIT -161

DraftKings · via ESPN