Matchup orbital
2
COL
COL
13-17
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME
7
CIN
CIN
19-10
Postgame · final
The morning-after recap.
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
CIN wins
COL 2 · CIN 7 (by 5)
Model verdict
✓ Hit
Picked CIN +19pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
Inning by inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| CIN | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
What's next
Tomorrow's slate is open.
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
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COL13-17
COL
19-10CIN
CIN
Recap · MLB
incinnati Reds held off Colorado Rockies, 7–2.
CIN -1.5 cashed (won by 5). Total cleared the 8.5 OVER by 0.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
Current series
CIN wins series 2-1
COL2@CIN7todayCOL13@CIN2COL4@CIN6Season series
CIN leads series 1-0
COL2@CIN7todayCOL13@CIN2COL4@CIN6CIN@COLupcomingCIN@COLupcomingCIN@COLupcomingVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
CIN -1.5
Total
8.5
Standard · 0.0 vs avg
Moneyline
COL+16338%CIN-19967%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 3 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
8.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 16pp · Bottom 7th Inning
COL
E. Julien
2BBatter of the gamePerfect day
3-for-4 · 1 HR · 2.300 OPS
K. Freeland
SPStarting pitcher
5.0 IP · 4 K · 4 ER · 5 H · 1 BB
CIN
E. De La Cruz
SSBatter of the gamePerfect day
3-for-4 · 1 HR · 2.250 OPS
C. Burns
SPStarting pitcher
6.0 IP · 9 K · 2 ER · 7 H · 1 BB
How it ended
CIN beat COL 7-2.
Win probability
CIN vs COL
Score progression
0 lead changes
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactSteer · homered to left center (411 feet), De La Cruz scored.
Johnston · doubled to center, Freeman to third.
Lowe · singled to left.
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| CIN | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | — | 7 |
Period scoring
COL won 1 · CIN won 2
Inn 1
Steer 2
Inn 2
Inn 3
Julien 1
Cruz 1
Inn 4
Inn 5
Julien 1
Inn 6
Inn 7
Inn 8
Cruz 2
Inn 9
Game flow · key plays
- B7
Lowe singled to left.
COL 2·CIN 4
+16pp
- T7
Moniak singled to right, Julien to third.
COL 2·CIN 4
−8pp
- T6
Karros struck out swinging.
COL 2·CIN 4
+8pp
- T6
Johnston doubled to center, Freeman to third.
COL 2·CIN 4
−10pp
- B1
Steer homered to left center (411 feet), De La Cruz scored.
COL 0·CIN 3
+10pp
- B1
De La Cruz reached on infield single to first, Myers scored.
COL 0·CIN 1
+7pp
Team stats
COL
Away
Stat
CIN
Home
11
Hits
11
0
Errors
1
2
Runs
7
Player box score
COL
13-17
E. Julien★
2B
OPS
2.300
H-AB
3-4
R
1
RBI
2
HR
1
M. Moniak★
LF
OPS
0.400
H-AB
1-5
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H. Goodman★
C
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-5
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
T. Rumfield★
1B
OPS
1.000
H-AB
2-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
T. Freeman★
RF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
T. Johnston★
RF
OPS
0.833
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
K. Karros★
3B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
E. Tovar★
SS
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
J. McCarthy★
LF
OPS
0.667
H-AB
1-3
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
J. Beck
LF
OPS
2.000
H-AB
1-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
11-37
R
2
RBI
2
HR
1
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
E. Julien★2B | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2.300 |
M. Moniak★LF | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 |
H. Goodman★C | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
T. Rumfield★1B | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
T. Freeman★RF | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
T. Johnston★RF | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.833 |
K. Karros★3B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
E. Tovar★SS | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
J. McCarthy★LF | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.667 |
J. BeckLF | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.000 |
| Team | 11-37 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
K. Freeland★
SP
IP
5.0
H
5
ER
4
K
4
T. Gordon
RP
IP
3.0
H
6
ER
3
K
3
IP
8.0
H
11
ER
7
K
7
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
K. Freeland★SP | 5.0 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
T. GordonRP | 3.0 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Team | 8.0 | 11 | 7 | 7 |
CIN
19-10
D. Myers★
CF
OPS
1.417
H-AB
2-3
R
3
RBI
0
HR
0
M. McLain★
2B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
E. De La Cruz★
SS
OPS
2.250
H-AB
3-4
R
2
RBI
4
HR
1
S. Stewart★
1B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
S. Steer★
LF
OPS
1.250
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
2
HR
1
N. Lowe★
1B
OPS
1.000
H-AB
2-4
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
T. Stephenson★
C
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
R. Hinds★
RF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
K. Hayes★
3B
OPS
0.667
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
T. Friedl
CF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
11-34
R
7
RBI
7
HR
2
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
D. Myers★CF | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1.417 |
M. McLain★2B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
E. De La Cruz★SS | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2.250 |
S. Stewart★1B | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
S. Steer★LF | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1.250 |
N. Lowe★1B | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.000 |
T. Stephenson★C | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
R. Hinds★RF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
K. Hayes★3B | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.667 |
T. FriedlCF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 11-34 | 7 | 7 | 2 | — |
C. Burns★
SP
IP
6.0
H
7
ER
2
K
9
G. Ashcraft
RP
IP
1.0
H
2
ER
0
K
0
T. Santillan
RP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
0
K
1
B. Burke
RP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
0
K
2
IP
9.0
H
11
ER
2
K
12
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
C. Burns★SP | 6.0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
G. AshcraftRP | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
T. SantillanRP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
B. BurkeRP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Team | 9.0 | 11 | 2 | 12 |
Betting line
CIN -1.5·O/U 8.5·COL +163/CIN -199