Matchup orbital
0
BOS
BOS
12-18
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME
3
TOR
TOR
13-16
Postgame · final
The morning-after recap.
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
TOR wins
BOS 0 · TOR 3 (by 3)
Model verdict
✓ Hit
Picked TOR +5pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
Inning by inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| TOR | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
What's next
Tomorrow's slate is open.
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.
BOS12-18
BOS
13-16TOR
TOR
Recap · MLB
oronto Blue Jays held off Boston Red Sox, 3–0.
TOR +1.5 cashed (BOS lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 7.5 by 4.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
Current series
TOR wins series 2-1
BOS5@TOR0BOS0@TOR3todayBOS1@TOR8Season series
Series tied 1-1
BOS5@TOR0BOS0@TOR3todayBOS1@TOR8TOR@BOSupcomingTOR@BOSupcomingTOR@BOSupcomingTOR@BOSupcomingTOR@BOSupcomingTOR@BOSupcomingBOS@TORupcomingBOS@TORupcomingBOS@TORupcomingBOS@TORupcomingVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
BOS -1.5
Total
7.5
Defensive · -1.0 vs avg
Moneyline
BOS-10551%TOR-11553%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 2 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
7.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 19pp · Top 4th Inning
BOS
M. Yoshida
LFBatter of the game
1-for-3 · 0.667 OPS
P. Tolle
SPStarting pitcher
4.2 IP · 4 K · 3 ER · 3 H · 4 BB
TOR
V. Guerrero Jr.
1BBatter of the game
2-for-3 · 1 R · 1.333 OPS
T. Yesavage
SPStarting pitcher
5.1 IP · 3 K · 0 ER · 4 H
How it ended
TOR beat BOS 3-0. Abreu's play in the top 4th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (19pp).
Win probability
TOR vs BOS
Score progression
0 lead changes
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactAbreu · struck out swinging.
Guerrero Jr. · singled to center, Straw scored, Clement to second.
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| TOR | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 3 |
Period scoring
BOS won 0 · TOR won 2
Inn 1
Inn 2
Inn 3
Okamoto 2
Inn 4
Inn 5
Jr. 1
Inn 6
Inn 7
Inn 8
Inn 9
Game flow · key plays
- B5
Guerrero Jr. singled to center, Straw scored, Clement to second.
BOS 0·TOR 3
+7pp
- T4
Abreu struck out swinging.
BOS 0·TOR 2
+19pp
- B3
Clement popped out to second.
BOS 0·TOR 0
−4pp
- B3
Giménez singled to center.
BOS 0·TOR 0
+4pp
- T2
Story reached on bunt single to pitcher.
BOS 0·TOR 0
−6pp
- T1
Contreras doubled to left.
BOS 0·TOR 0
−5pp
Team stats
BOS
Away
Stat
TOR
Home
4
Hits
6
0
Errors
0
0
Runs
3
Player box score
BOS
12-18
J. Duran★
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
W. Contreras★
1B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
R. Anthony★
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
W. Abreu★
RF
OPS
0.250
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
T. Story★
SS
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
M. Yoshida★
LF
OPS
0.667
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
C. Narvaez★
C
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
M. Mayer★
2B
OPS
0.667
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
C. Durbin★
3B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
4-31
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
J. Duran★LF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
W. Contreras★1B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
R. Anthony★LF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
W. Abreu★RF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
T. Story★SS | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
M. Yoshida★LF | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.667 |
C. Narvaez★C | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
M. Mayer★2B | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.667 |
C. Durbin★3B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 4-31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
P. Tolle★
SP
IP
4.2
H
3
ER
3
K
4
Z. Kelly
RP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
0
K
2
T. Samaniego
RP
IP
0.2
H
1
ER
0
K
0
R. Watson
RP
IP
1.2
H
1
ER
0
K
1
IP
8.0
H
6
ER
3
K
7
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
P. Tolle★SP | 4.2 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Z. KellyRP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
T. SamaniegoRP | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
R. WatsonRP | 1.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | 8.0 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
TOR
13-16
M. Straw★
RF
OPS
0.833
H-AB
1-3
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
E. Clement★
2B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
V. Guerrero Jr.★
1B
OPS
1.333
H-AB
2-3
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0
K. Okamoto★
3B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
2
HR
0
D. Varsho★
CF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
E. Jimenez★
DH
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
D. Schneider★
LF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
T. Heineman★
C
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
A. Gimenez★
SS
OPS
0.667
H-AB
1-3
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
J. Sanchez
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
6-28
R
3
RBI
3
HR
0
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M. Straw★RF | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.833 |
E. Clement★2B | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
V. Guerrero Jr.★1B | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.333 |
K. Okamoto★3B | 1-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.500 |
D. Varsho★CF | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
E. Jimenez★DH | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
D. Schneider★LF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
T. Heineman★C | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
A. Gimenez★SS | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.667 |
J. SanchezLF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 6-28 | 3 | 3 | 0 | — |
T. Yesavage★
SP
IP
5.1
H
4
ER
0
K
3
M. Fluharty
RP
IP
0.2
H
0
ER
0
K
0
J. Hoffman
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
2
T. Rogers
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
1
L. Varland
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
3
IP
9.0
H
4
ER
0
K
9
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
T. Yesavage★SP | 5.1 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
M. FluhartyRP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
J. HoffmanRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
T. RogersRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
L. VarlandRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Team | 9.0 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
Betting line
BOS -1.5·O/U 7.5·BOS -105/TOR -115