Matchup orbital

4
SEA
SEA
14-16
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME

11
MIN
MIN
13-16
Postgame · final
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
MIN wins
SEA 4 · MIN 11 (by 7)
Model verdict
✗ Missed
Picked SEA +5pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| MIN | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 |
What's next
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SEA14-16
SEA
13-16MIN
MIN

Recap · MLB
innesota Twins held off Seattle Mariners, 11–4. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
MIN +1.5 cashed (SEA lost outright). Total cleared the 9.0 OVER by 6.0.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page


Current series
SEA wins series 2-1
SEA4@
MIN11today
SEA7@
MIN1
SEA5@
MIN3Season series
MIN leads series 1-0
SEA4@
MIN11today
SEA7@
MIN1
SEA5@
MIN3
MIN@
SEAupcoming
MIN@
SEAupcoming
MIN@
SEAupcomingVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
SEA -1.5
Total
9.0
High-scoring · +0.5 vs avg
Moneyline
SEA-12255%
MIN+10250%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement
1 snapshot on file
Movement tracking online — chart appears once we have two or more snapshots logged for this game. Keep this tab open and refresh after the next ingest cycle.
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 15pp · Bottom 3rd Inning
SEA
R. Arozarena
LFBatter of the game
2-for-3 · 1 R · 1.417 OPS

L. Castillo
SPStarting pitcher
5.0 IP · 3 K · 7 ER · 7 H · 2 BB
MIN
T. Gray
3BBatter of the game
2-for-3 · 2 R · 1.417 OPS

C. Prielipp
SPStarting pitcher
5.0 IP · 5 K · 2 ER · 1 H · 3 BB
How it ended
MIN beat SEA 11-4.
Win probability
MIN vs SEA
Score progression
0 lead changes
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactKeaschall · doubled to right, Bell scored.
Garver · walked.
Clemens · homered to right (379 feet), Bell scored and Jeffers scored.
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| MIN | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | — | 11 |
Period scoring
SEA won 1 · MIN won 5
Inn 1
Inn 2
Keaschall 1
Inn 3
Clemens 3
Inn 4
Buxton 2
Inn 5
Garver 1
Inn 6
Larnach 1
Inn 7
Inn 8
Raleigh 2
Clemens 2
Inn 9
Game flow · key plays
Clemens homered to right (379 feet), Bell scored and Jeffers scored.
SEA 0·MIN 5
+15pp
Jeffers singled to right, Larnach scored, Bell to second.
SEA 0·MIN 2
+7pp
Larnach tripled to right.
SEA 0·MIN 1
+7pp
Garver walked.
SEA 0·MIN 1
−11pp
Keaschall doubled to right, Bell scored.
SEA 0·MIN 1
+12pp
Bell singled to right.
SEA 0·MIN 0
+5pp
Team stats
SEA
Away
Stat
MIN
Home
5
Hits
12
0
Errors
0
4
Runs
11
Player box score

SEA
14-16

R. Refsnyder★
RF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

C. Raleigh★
C
OPS
1.250
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
2
HR
1

J. Rodriguez★
CF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Naylor★
1B
OPS
0.250
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

R. Arozarena★
LF
OPS
1.417
H-AB
2-3
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

J.P. Crawford★
SS
OPS
0.250
H-AB
0-3
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

M. Garver★
C
OPS
1.250
H-AB
1-2
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0

C. Young★
2B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0

L. Rivas★
3B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
5-29
R
4
RBI
4
HR
1
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() R. Refsnyder★RF | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() C. Raleigh★C | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1.250 |
![]() J. Rodriguez★CF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() J. Naylor★1B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
![]() R. Arozarena★LF | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.417 |
![]() J.P. Crawford★SS | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
![]() M. Garver★C | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.250 |
![]() C. Young★2B | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() L. Rivas★3B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 5-29 | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |

L. Castillo★
SP
IP
5.0
H
7
ER
7
K
3

C. Wilcox
RP
IP
1.1
H
3
ER
1
K
1

A. Hoppe
RP
IP
1.2
H
2
ER
3
K
3
IP
8.0
H
12
ER
11
K
7
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() L. Castillo★SP | 5.0 | 7 | 7 | 3 |
![]() C. WilcoxRP | 1.1 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
![]() A. HoppeRP | 1.2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Team | 8.0 | 12 | 11 | 7 |

MIN
13-16

B. Buxton★
CF
OPS
1.400
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
2
HR
1

B. Lee★
SS
OPS
0.200
H-AB
0-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

T. Larnach★
LF
OPS
1.100
H-AB
2-4
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0

J. Bell★
1B
OPS
0.650
H-AB
1-4
R
2
RBI
0
HR
0

R. Jeffers★
C
OPS
1.100
H-AB
2-4
R
2
RBI
2
HR
0

K. Clemens★
1B
OPS
1.400
H-AB
2-5
R
1
RBI
5
HR
1

L. Keaschall★
2B
OPS
1.100
H-AB
2-4
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0

M. Wallner★
RF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

T. Gray★
3B
OPS
1.417
H-AB
2-3
R
2
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
12-36
R
11
RBI
11
HR
2
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() B. Buxton★CF | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1.400 |
![]() B. Lee★SS | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 |
![]() T. Larnach★LF | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.100 |
![]() J. Bell★1B | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.650 |
![]() R. Jeffers★C | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.100 |
![]() K. Clemens★1B | 2-5 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1.400 |
![]() L. Keaschall★2B | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.100 |
![]() M. Wallner★RF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() T. Gray★3B | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1.417 |
| Team | 12-36 | 11 | 11 | 2 | — |

C. Prielipp★
SP
IP
5.0
H
1
ER
2
K
5

A. Morris
RP
IP
3.0
H
4
ER
2
K
2

T. Rogers
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
0
IP
9.0
H
5
ER
4
K
7
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() C. Prielipp★SP | 5.0 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
![]() A. MorrisRP | 3.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
![]() T. RogersRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | 9.0 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
Betting line
SEA -1.5·O/U 9·SEA -122/MIN +102