Matchup orbital

SEA

4

SEA

SEA

14-16

Final

Win prob

55/45

AWAY · HOME

MIN

11

MIN

MIN

13-16

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

MIN wins

SEA 4 · MIN 11 (by 7)

Model verdict

✗ Missed

Picked SEA +5pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team123456789R
SEA0000200204
MIN0142010311

What's next

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MLBGame · Mon, Apr 27Final
SEA

SEA14-16

SEA

@

13-16MIN

MIN

MIN
SeriesSEA wins series 2-1VegasSEA -122

Recap · MLB

innesota Twins held off Seattle Mariners, 11–4. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

MIN +1.5 cashed (SEA lost outright). Total cleared the 9.0 OVER by 6.0.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FINALFinal
SEA
SEA14-164
FINAL
MIN
MINWIN13-1611

Current series

SEA wins series 2-1

Apr 27SEASEA4@MINMIN11today
Apr 28SEASEA7@MINMIN1
Apr 29SEASEA5@MINMIN3

Season series

MIN leads series 1-0

Apr 27SEASEA4@MINMIN11today
Apr 28SEASEA7@MINMIN1
Apr 29SEASEA5@MINMIN3
Aug 1MINMIN@SEASEAupcoming
Aug 1MINMIN@SEASEAupcoming
Aug 2MINMIN@SEASEAupcoming

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

SEA -1.5

Total

9.0

High-scoring · +0.5 vs avg

Moneyline

SEASEA-12255%
MINMIN+10250%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

Line movement

1 snapshot on file

Movement tracking online — chart appears once we have two or more snapshots logged for this game. Keep this tab open and refresh after the next ingest cycle.

Headlines · top performers

Game flowSEA MIN

Biggest swing: 15pp · Bottom 3rd Inning

SEASEA
R. Arozarena

R. Arozarena

LF

Batter of the game

2-for-3 · 1 R · 1.417 OPS

L. Castillo

L. Castillo

SP

Starting pitcher

5.0 IP · 3 K · 7 ER · 7 H · 2 BB

MINMIN
T. Gray

T. Gray

3B

Batter of the game

2-for-3 · 2 R · 1.417 OPS

C. Prielipp

C. Prielipp

SP

Starting pitcher

5.0 IP · 5 K · 2 ER · 1 H · 3 BB

How it ended

MIN beat SEA 11-4.

Win probability

MIN vs SEA

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9

Score progression

0 lead changes

SEA4
MIN11

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
MINBottom 2nd Inning · 0-1
+12pp62% WP

Keaschall · doubled to right, Bell scored.

SEATop 3rd Inning · 0-1
+11pp45% WP

Garver · walked.

MINBottom 3rd Inning · 0-5
+15pp93% WP

Clemens · homered to right (379 feet), Bell scored and Jeffers scored.

Linescore (innings)

Team123456789R
SEA0000200204
MIN0142010311

Period scoring

SEA won 1 · MIN won 5

0
0

Inn 1

0
1

Inn 2

Keaschall 1

0
4

Inn 3

Clemens 3

0
2

Inn 4

Buxton 2

2
0

Inn 5

Garver 1

0
1

Inn 6

Larnach 1

0
0

Inn 7

2
3

Inn 8

Raleigh 2

Clemens 2

0

Inn 9

SEA
MIN

Game flow · key plays

  1. B3

    Clemens homered to right (379 feet), Bell scored and Jeffers scored.

    SEA 0·MIN 5

    +15pp

  2. B3

    Jeffers singled to right, Larnach scored, Bell to second.

    SEA 0·MIN 2

    +7pp

  3. B3

    Larnach tripled to right.

    SEA 0·MIN 1

    +7pp

  4. T3

    Garver walked.

    SEA 0·MIN 1

    11pp

  5. B2

    Keaschall doubled to right, Bell scored.

    SEA 0·MIN 1

    +12pp

  6. B2

    Bell singled to right.

    SEA 0·MIN 0

    +5pp

Team stats

SEA

Away

Stat

MIN

Home

5

Hits

12

0

Errors

0

4

Runs

11

Player box score

SEA

SEA

14-16

4
R. Refsnyder

R. Refsnyder

RF

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

C. Raleigh

C. Raleigh

C

OPS

1.250

H-AB

1-4

R

1

RBI

2

HR

1

J. Rodriguez

J. Rodriguez

CF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

J. Naylor

J. Naylor

1B

OPS

0.250

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

R. Arozarena

R. Arozarena

LF

OPS

1.417

H-AB

2-3

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

J.P. Crawford

J.P. Crawford

SS

OPS

0.250

H-AB

0-3

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

M. Garver

M. Garver

C

OPS

1.250

H-AB

1-2

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

C. Young

C. Young

2B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

L. Rivas

L. Rivas

3B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

Team total

H-AB

5-29

R

4

RBI

4

HR

1

L. Castillo

L. Castillo

SP

IP

5.0

H

7

ER

7

K

3

C. Wilcox

C. Wilcox

RP

IP

1.1

H

3

ER

1

K

1

A. Hoppe

A. Hoppe

RP

IP

1.2

H

2

ER

3

K

3

Team total

IP

8.0

H

12

ER

11

K

7

Betting line

SEA -1.5·O/U 9·SEA -122/MIN +102

DraftKings · via ESPN