Matchup orbital

STL

4

STL

STL

15-13

Final

Win prob

44/56

AWAY · HOME

PIT

2

PIT

PIT

16-13

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

STL wins

STL 4 · PIT 2 (by 2)

Model verdict

✗ Missed

Picked PIT +6pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team123456789R
STL0000000044
PIT1100000002

Final play

End of the 9th inning

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

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← Back to MLB
MLBGame · Mon, Apr 27Final
STL

STL15-13

STL

@

16-13PIT

PIT

PIT
SeriesSTL wins series 4-0VegasPIT -118

Recap · MLB

t. Louis Cardinals went into Pittsburgh Pirates and beat them, 4–2.

STL -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total stayed UNDER 8.0 by 2.0.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FINALFinal
STL
STLWIN15-134
FINAL
PIT
PIT16-132

Current series

STL wins series 4-0

Apr 27STLSTL4@PITPIT2today
Apr 28STLSTL11@PITPIT7
Apr 29STLSTL5@PITPIT4
Apr 30STLSTL10@PITPIT5

Season series

STL leads series 1-0

Apr 27STLSTL4@PITPIT2today
Apr 28STLSTL11@PITPIT7
Apr 29STLSTL5@PITPIT4
Apr 30STLSTL10@PITPIT5
May 19PITPIT@STLSTLupcoming
May 20PITPIT@STLSTLupcoming
May 21PITPIT@STLSTLupcoming
Aug 29PITPIT@STLSTLupcoming
Aug 29PITPIT@STLSTLupcoming
Aug 30PITPIT@STLSTLupcoming
Sep 22STLSTL@PITPITupcoming
Sep 23STLSTL@PITPITupcoming
Sep 24STLSTL@PITPITupcoming

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

STL -1.5

Total

8.0

Defensive · -0.5 vs avg

Moneyline

STLSTL-10250%
PITPIT-11854%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

Line movement · 2 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

8.0

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowSTL PIT

Biggest swing: 34pp · Top 9th Inning

STLSTL
J. Fermin

J. Fermin

LF

Batter of the gamePerfect day

2-for-2 · 2.000 OPS

D. May

D. May

SP

Starting pitcher

6.0 IP · 2 K · 2 ER · 7 H · 2 BB

PITPIT
N. Gonzales

N. Gonzales

3B

Batter of the game

3-for-4 · 1 R · 1.500 OPS

W. Dotel

W. Dotel

RP

Top reliever

4.0 IP · 3 K · 0 ER

How it ended

STL beat PIT 4-2. Wetherholt's play in the top 9th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (34pp).

Last play

End of the 9th inning

Win probability

PIT vs STL

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9

Score progression

0 lead changes

STL4
PIT2

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
PITTop 8th Inning · 0-2
+11pp95% WP

Winn · grounded into double play, second to shortstop to first, Fermín out at second.

STLTop 9th Inning · 2-2
+34pp41% WP

Wetherholt · homered to right center (408 feet).

STLTop 9th Inning · 4-2
+27pp95% WP

Ferm · ín doubled to left, Scott II scored and Burleson scored, Walker to third.

Linescore (innings)

Team123456789R
STL0000000044
PIT1100000002

Period scoring

STL won 1 · PIT won 2

0
1

Inn 1

O'Hearn 1

0
1

Inn 2

Mangum 1

0
0

Inn 3

0
0

Inn 4

0
0

Inn 5

0
0

Inn 6

0
0

Inn 7

0
0

Inn 8

4
0

Inn 9

Ferm 2

STL
PIT

Game flow · key plays

  1. T9

    Fermín doubled to left, Scott II scored and Burleson scored, Walker to third.

    STL 4·PIT 2

    27pp

  2. T9

    Walker walked, Burleson to second, Scott II to third.

    STL 2·PIT 2

    13pp

  3. T9

    Herrera walked.

    STL 2·PIT 2

    8pp

  4. T9

    Wetherholt homered to right center (408 feet).

    STL 2·PIT 2

    34pp

  5. T8

    Winn grounded into double play, second to shortstop to first, Fermín out at second.

    STL 0·PIT 2

    +11pp

  6. B1

    O'Hearn singled to right, Lowe scored.

    STL 0·PIT 1

    +8pp

Team stats

STL

Away

Stat

PIT

Home

6

Hits

8

0

Errors

0

4

Runs

2

Player box score

STL

STL

15-13

4
J. Wetherholt

J. Wetherholt

2B

OPS

1.250

H-AB

1-4

R

1

RBI

1

HR

1

I. Herrera

I. Herrera

C

OPS

0.250

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

A. Burleson

A. Burleson

1B

OPS

1.000

H-AB

2-4

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

J. Walker

J. Walker

RF

OPS

0.250

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

N. Gorman

N. Gorman

3B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

M. Winn

M. Winn

SS

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

N. Church

N. Church

LF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

T. Saggese

T. Saggese

LF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

P. Pages

P. Pages

C

OPS

1.667

H-AB

1-3

R

1

RBI

1

HR

1

J. Fermin

J. Fermin

LF

OPS

2.000

H-AB

2-2

R

0

RBI

2

HR

0

Team total

H-AB

6-32

R

4

RBI

4

HR

2

D. May

D. May

SP

IP

6.0

H

7

ER

2

K

2

R. Fernandez

R. Fernandez

RP

IP

2.0

H

0

ER

0

K

4

G. Soriano

G. Soriano

RP

IP

1.0

H

1

ER

0

K

1

Team total

IP

9.0

H

8

ER

2

K

7

Betting line

STL -1.5·O/U 8·STL -102/PIT -118

DraftKings · via ESPN