Matchup orbital

2
WSH
WSH
13-16
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME

1
CHW
CHW
11-17
Postgame · final
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
WSH wins
WSH 2 · CHW 1 (by 1)
Model verdict
✗ Missed
Picked CHW +3pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| CHW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Final play
“End of the 10th inning”
What's next
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
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WSH13-16
WSH
11-17CHW
CHW

Recap · MLB
ashington Nationals went into Chicago White Sox and beat them, 2–1. It came down to the final possession.
CHW +1.5 cashed (WSH won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 7.5 by 4.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page


Current series
WSH wins series 2-1
WSH4@
CHW5
WSH6@
CHW3
WSH2@
CHW1todaySeason series
WSH wins series 2-1
WSH4@
CHW5
WSH6@
CHW3
WSH2@
CHW1todayVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
WSH -1.5
Total
7.5
Defensive · -1.0 vs avg
Moneyline
WSH+10250%
CHW-12255%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 3 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
7.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 22pp · Top 10th Inning
WSH
J. Tena
2BBatter of the gamePerfect day
1-for-1 · 1 HR · 5.000 OPS

F. Griffin
SPStarting pitcherGem
7.0 IP · 8 K · 0 ER · 2 H · 2 BB
CHW
T. Peters
CFBatter of the gamePerfect day
1-for-1 · 2.000 OPS

S. Burke
SPTop relieverGem
7.1 IP · 4 K · 0 ER · 3 H
How it ended
WSH beat CHW 2-1. Tena's play in the top 10th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (22pp).
Last play
End of the 10th inning
Win probability
CHW vs WSH
Score progression
0 lead changes
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactMead · fouled out to first.
Hill · struck out looking.
Tena · homered to right center (403 feet).
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| CHW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Period scoring
WSH won 1 · CHW won 0
Inn 1
Inn 2
Inn 3
Inn 4
Inn 5
Inn 6
Inn 7
Inn 8
Inn 9
Inn 10
Abrams 1
Peters 1
Game flow · key plays
Meidroth struck out looking.
WSH 2·CHW 1
−12pp
Peters singled to center, Hill scored.
WSH 2·CHW 1
+13pp
Tena homered to right center (403 feet).
WSH 2·CHW 0
−22pp
Hill struck out looking.
WSH 0·CHW 0
−15pp
Lile popped out to second.
WSH 0·CHW 0
+16pp
Mead fouled out to first.
WSH 0·CHW 0
+19pp
Team stats
WSH
Away
Stat
CHW
Home
4
Hits
4
1
Errors
0
2
Runs
1
Player box score

WSH
13-16

J. Wood★
RF
OPS
0.833
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

C. Mead★
1B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

D. Lile★
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

B. House★
3B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

C. Abrams★
SS
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0

J. Young★
CF
OPS
0.667
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

L. Garcia Jr.★
1B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

N. Nunez★
2B
OPS
0.667
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

D. Millas★
C
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Vivas
3B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Tena
2B
OPS
5.000
H-AB
1-1
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1
H-AB
4-32
R
2
RBI
2
HR
1
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() J. Wood★RF | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.833 |
![]() C. Mead★1B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() D. Lile★LF | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() B. House★3B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() C. Abrams★SS | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() J. Young★CF | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.667 |
![]() L. Garcia Jr.★1B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() N. Nunez★2B | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.667 |
![]() D. Millas★C | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() J. Vivas3B | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() J. Tena2B | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5.000 |
| Team | 4-32 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |

F. Griffin★
SP
IP
7.0
H
2
ER
0
K
8

G. Varland
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
1

R. Lovelady
RP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
0
K
2

P. Schultz
RP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
0
K
2
IP
10.0
H
4
ER
0
K
13
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() F. Griffin★SP | 7.0 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
![]() G. VarlandRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() R. LoveladyRP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
![]() P. SchultzRP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Team | 10.0 | 4 | 0 | 13 |

CHW
11-17

C. Meidroth★
2B
OPS
0.400
H-AB
1-5
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

M. Vargas★
3B
OPS
0.200
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

M. Murakami★
1B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

E. Pereira★
RF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

C. Montgomery★
SS
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

T. Murray★
LF
OPS
0.833
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

D. Hill★
RF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

D. Romo★
C
OPS
0.250
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

L. Acuna★
CF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

A. Benintendi
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

T. Peters
CF
OPS
2.000
H-AB
1-1
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
H-AB
4-33
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() C. Meidroth★2B | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 |
![]() M. Vargas★3B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 |
![]() M. Murakami★1B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() E. Pereira★RF | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() C. Montgomery★SS | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() T. Murray★LF | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.833 |
![]() D. Hill★RF | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() D. Romo★C | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
![]() L. Acuna★CF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() A. BenintendiLF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() T. PetersCF | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2.000 |
| Team | 4-33 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |

B. Hudson★
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
1

S. Burke
SP
IP
7.1
H
3
ER
0
K
4

S. Newcomb
RP
IP
0.2
H
0
ER
0
K
0

S. Dominguez
RP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
1
K
0
IP
10.0
H
4
ER
1
K
5
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() B. Hudson★RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() S. BurkeSP | 7.1 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
![]() S. NewcombRP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() S. DominguezRP | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Team | 10.0 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Betting line
WSH -1.5·O/U 7.5·WSH +102/CHW -122