Washington Nationals vs Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Box Score — Apr 26, 2026

FINAL+1WSH

WSH

13-16

CHW

11-17

Rate Field · Chicago, Illinois

24,259 attended

Line movement

42 snapshots

CHW spread

+1.5

open +1.5

Total

O/U 7.5

open O/U 7.5

CHW no-vig %

52.6%

open 52.6%

Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = CHW favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.

Logged before first pitch · graded in public

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

52.8%

ensemble · CHW favored

Elo Static
52.7%
P(CHW win)
33%
weight
Elo Pitching
53.9%
P(CHW win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
51.9%
P(CHW win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.82 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

95% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

CHW vs WSH.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

127

projections · 87 high confidence

Strikeouts

Davis MartinCHW
6.0± 2.8medium
Sean BurkeCHW
5.8± 1.8medium
Foster GriffinWSH
5.8± 2.3medium

Hits

Nasim NunezWSH
1.2± 0.7high
Sam AntonacciCHW
1.1± 0.7high
CJ AbramsWSH
1.1± 0.9high

Total bases

CJ AbramsWSH
2.1± 2.0high
James WoodWSH
2.1± 2.3high
Colson MontgomeryCHW
1.9± 3.1high

RBIs

Dylan CrewsWSH
0.8± 0.8high
Andrew BenintendiCHW
0.7± 1.2high
Colson MontgomeryCHW
0.7± 1.3high

Earned runs

Miles MikolasWSH
2.5± 2.5medium
Zack LittellWSH
2.5± 1.9medium
Erick FeddeCHW
2.4± 2.7medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

WSH

league avg

CHW

.744

OPS

◀

.718

.729

.321

OBP

.319

5.32

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.66

4.59

Team ERA

4.18

▶

4.42

1.38

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.34

7.7

K / 9

8.5

▶

8.4

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

WSH wins

WSH 2 · CHW 1 (by 1)

Model verdict

✗ Missed

Picked CHW +3pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R
WSH	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2
CHW	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1

Final play

“End of the 10th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. WoodRF	.243	3	0	1	0	0	1	2
C. Mead1B	.175	4	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. LileLF	.278	4	1	0	0	0	0	1
B. House3B	.235	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. AbramsSS	.268	3	0	0	1	0	0	0
J. YoungCF	.244	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
L. Garcia Jr.1B	.253	4	0	0	0	0	0	1
N. Nunez2B	.200	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
D. MillasC	.149	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Vivas3B	.286	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. TenaDH	.277	1	1	1	1	1	0	0
J. WiemerRF	.320	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		32	2	4	2	1	1	5

Player

.243

.175

.278

.235

.268

.244

.253

.200

.149

.286

.277

.320

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
F. GriffinSP	7.0	2	0	0	2	8	95
G. VarlandRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	10
R. LoveladyRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	14
P. SchultzRP	1.0	1	1	0	0	2	17
Team	10.0	4	1	0	3	13	136

Player

7.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

10.0

136

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. Meidroth2B	.263	5	0	1	0	0	0	1
M. Vargas3B	.204	4	0	0	0	0	1	2
M. Murakami1B	.232	4	0	0	0	0	0	2
E. PereiraRF	.276	4	0	1	0	0	0	2
C. MontgomerySS	.224	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
T. MurrayLF	.214	3	0	1	0	0	1	1
D. HillRF	.235	3	1	0	0	0	0	2
D. RomoC	.000	3	0	0	0	0	1	1
L. AcunaCF	.179	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
S. AntonacciLF	.233	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. BenintendiDH	.207	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
T. PetersCF	.267	1	0	1	1	0	0	0
Team		33	1	4	1	0	3	13

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. HudsonRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	8
S. BurkeSP	7.1	3	0	0	0	4	76
S. NewcombRP	0.2	0	0	0	1	0	10
S. DominguezRP	1.0	1	2	1	0	0	18
Team	10.0	4	2	1	1	5	112

Team

WSH

CHW

3 sub-models, blended.

CHW vs WSH.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

CHW vs WSH.

3 sub-models, blended.