Matchup orbital
2
CLE
CLE
15-14
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME
4
TOR
TOR
12-15
Postgame · final
The morning-after recap.
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
TOR wins
CLE 2 · TOR 4 (by 2)
Model verdict
✓ Hit
Picked TOR +3pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
Inning by inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| TOR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
What's next
Tomorrow's slate is open.
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
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CLE15-14
CLE
12-15TOR
TOR
Recap · MLB
oronto Blue Jays held off Cleveland Guardians, 4–2.
TOR +1.5 cashed (CLE lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 8.0 by 2.0.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
Current series
TOR wins series 2-1
CLE8@TOR6CLE3@TOR5CLE2@TOR4todaySeason series
TOR leads series 2-1
CLE8@TOR6CLE3@TOR5CLE2@TOR4todayTOR@CLEupcomingTOR@CLEupcomingTOR@CLEupcomingVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
CLE -1.5
Total
8.0
Defensive · -0.5 vs avg
Moneyline
CLE+10449%TOR-12656%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 2 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
8.0
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 18pp · Bottom 6th Inning
CLE
C. DeLauter
RFBatter of the gamePerfect day
1-for-1 · 2.000 OPS
S. Cecconi
SPStarting pitcher
5.2 IP · 5 K · 4 ER · 6 H · 1 BB
TOR
J. Sanchez
LFBatter of the game
1-for-3 · 1 HR · 1.667 OPS
P. Corbin
SPStarting pitcher
4.2 IP · 4 K · 2 ER · 6 H · 2 BB
How it ended
TOR beat CLE 4-2. Biggest WP swing of the night came in the bottom 6th inning (18pp).
Win probability
TOR vs CLE
Score progression
0 lead changes
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactGuerrero Jr. · singled to left, Clement scored, Varsho to third.
Kwan · grounded into double play, second to shortstop to first, Rocchio out at second, Hedges to third.
Sánchez homered to right (355 feet), Guerrero Jr. scored.
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| TOR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | — | 4 |
Period scoring
CLE won 1 · TOR won 2
Inn 1
Jr. 1
Inn 2
Inn 3
Inn 4
Inn 5
Rocchio 1
Inn 6
Inn 7
Inn 8
Inn 9
Game flow · key plays
- B6
Sánchez homered to right (355 feet), Guerrero Jr. scored.
CLE 2·TOR 4
+18pp
- T5
Martínez doubled to left, Hedges scored.
CLE 2·TOR 2
−14pp
- T5
Kwan grounded into double play, second to shortstop to first, Rocchio out at second, Hedges to third.
CLE 1·TOR 2
+15pp
- T5
Rocchio singled to center, Brito scored, Hedges to second.
CLE 1·TOR 2
−10pp
- T5
Hedges singled to center, Brito to third.
CLE 0·TOR 2
−10pp
- B1
Guerrero Jr. singled to left, Clement scored, Varsho to third.
CLE 0·TOR 1
+10pp
Team stats
CLE
Away
Stat
TOR
Home
8
Hits
6
0
Errors
1
2
Runs
4
Player box score
CLE
15-14
S. Kwan★
CF
OPS
0.400
H-AB
1-5
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
A. Martinez★
LF
OPS
0.800
H-AB
2-5
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
J. Ramirez★
3B
OPS
0.250
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
R. Hoskins★
1B
OPS
0.667
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
D. Fry★
RF
OPS
0.333
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
D. Schneemann★
CF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
J. Brito★
2B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
A. Hedges★
C
OPS
0.667
H-AB
1-3
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
B. Rocchio★
SS
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
G. Valera
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
C. DeLauter
RF
OPS
2.000
H-AB
1-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
8-33
R
2
RBI
2
HR
0
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
S. Kwan★CF | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 |
A. Martinez★LF | 2-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.800 |
J. Ramirez★3B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
R. Hoskins★1B | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.667 |
D. Fry★RF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 |
D. Schneemann★CF | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
J. Brito★2B | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
A. Hedges★C | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.667 |
B. Rocchio★SS | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 |
G. ValeraLF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
C. DeLauterRF | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.000 |
| Team | 8-33 | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
S. Cecconi★
SP
IP
5.2
H
6
ER
4
K
5
T. Herrin
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
1
C. Holderman
RP
IP
1.1
H
0
ER
0
K
2
IP
8.0
H
6
ER
4
K
8
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
S. Cecconi★SP | 5.2 | 6 | 4 | 5 |
T. HerrinRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
C. HoldermanRP | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Team | 8.0 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
TOR
12-15
E. Clement★
2B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
D. Varsho★
CF
OPS
0.250
H-AB
0-3
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
V. Guerrero Jr.★
1B
OPS
1.500
H-AB
3-4
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0
J. Sanchez★
LF
OPS
1.667
H-AB
1-3
R
1
RBI
3
HR
1
K. Okamoto★
3B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
L. Sosa★
2B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
Y. Pinango★
LF
OPS
1.000
H-AB
1-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
D. Schneider★
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
B. Valenzuela★
C
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
M. Straw
RF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
6-29
R
4
RBI
4
HR
1
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
E. Clement★2B | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
D. Varsho★CF | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
V. Guerrero Jr.★1B | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.500 |
J. Sanchez★LF | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1.667 |
K. Okamoto★3B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
L. Sosa★2B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
Y. Pinango★LF | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
D. Schneider★LF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
B. Valenzuela★C | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
M. StrawRF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 6-29 | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
P. Corbin★
SP
IP
4.2
H
6
ER
2
K
4
B. Fisher
RP
IP
1.1
H
1
ER
0
K
2
T. Rogers
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
1
J. Hoffman
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
1
L. Varland
RP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
0
K
2
IP
9.0
H
8
ER
2
K
10
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
P. Corbin★SP | 4.2 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
B. FisherRP | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
T. RogersRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
J. HoffmanRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
L. VarlandRP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Team | 9.0 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
Betting line
CLE -1.5·O/U 8·CLE +104/TOR -126