Matchup orbital

CHC

4

CHC

CHC

17-10

Final

Win prob

41/59

AWAY · HOME

LAD

12

LAD

LAD

18-9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

LAD wins

CHC 4 · LAD 12 (by 8)

Model verdict

✓ Hit

Picked LAD +9pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team123456789R
CHC0111100004
LAD0026040012

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

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MLBGame · Sat, Apr 25Final
CHC

CHC17-10

CHC

@

18-9LAD

LAD

LAD
SeriesLAD win series 2-1VegasLAD -132

Recap · MLB

os Angeles Dodgers held off Chicago Cubs, 12–4. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

LAD -1.5 cashed (won by 8). Total cleared the 9.5 OVER by 6.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FINALFinal
CHC
CHC17-104
FINAL
LAD
LADWIN18-912

Current series

LAD win series 2-1

Apr 25CHCCHC6@LADLAD4
Apr 25CHCCHC4@LADLAD12today
Apr 26CHCCHC0@LADLAD6

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Apr 25CHCCHC6@LADLAD4
Apr 25CHCCHC4@LADLAD12today
Apr 26CHCCHC0@LADLAD6
Aug 4LADLAD@CHCCHCupcoming
Aug 5LADLAD@CHCCHCupcoming
Aug 5LADLAD@CHCCHCupcoming

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

LAD -1.5

Total

9.5

High-scoring · +1.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CHCCHC+10948%
LADLAD-13257%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet LAD -1.5↗SpreadBet LAD -1.5↗

Line movement · 3 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

9.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowCHC ↔ LAD

Biggest swing: 18pp · Bottom 3rd Inning

CHCCHC
S. Suzuki

S. Suzuki

RF

Batter of the gamePerfect day

3-for-4 · 1 HR · 2.250 OPS

C. Rea

C. Rea

SP

Starting pitcher

3.1 IP · 4 K · 6 ER · 6 H · 4 BB

LADLAD
M. Muncy

M. Muncy

3B

Batter of the gamePerfect day

1-for-1 · 1 HR · 5.000 OPS

R. Sasaki

R. Sasaki

SP

Starting pitcher

5.0 IP · 5 K · 4 ER · 7 H · 1 BB

How it ended

LAD beat CHC 12-4. Muncy's play in the bottom 3rd inning drove the biggest swing of the night (18pp).

Win probability

LAD vs CHC

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9

Score progression

0 lead changes

CHC4
LAD12

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
LADBottom 3rd Inning · 2-2
+18pp→ 54% WP

Muncy · homered to right center (387 feet), Ohtani scored.

LADBottom 4th Inning · 3-3
+16pp→ 60% WP

Freeland · doubled to left, Kim scored.

LADBottom 4th Inning · 3-6
+16pp→ 87% WP

T. Hern · ández singled to center, Freeman scored and Ohtani scored, Espinal to third.

Linescore (innings)

Team123456789R
CHC0111100004
LAD00260400—12

Period scoring

CHC won 2 · LAD won 3

0
0

Inn 1

1
0

Inn 2

Suzuki 1

1
2

Inn 3

Busch 1

Muncy 2

1
6

Inn 4

Ballesteros 1

Hern 2

1
0

Inn 5

Amaya 1

0
4

Inn 6

Pages 2

0
0

Inn 7

0
0

Inn 8

0

Inn 9

CHC
LAD

Game flow · key plays

  1. B4

    T. Hernández singled to center, Freeman scored and Ohtani scored, Espinal to third.

    CHC 3·LAD 6

    +16pp

  2. B4

    Freeland doubled to left, Kim scored.

    CHC 3·LAD 3

    +16pp

  3. T4

    Ballesteros homered to right center (374 feet).

    CHC 3·LAD 2

    −13pp

  4. B3

    Muncy homered to right center (387 feet), Ohtani scored.

    CHC 2·LAD 2

    +18pp

  5. T2

    Suzuki homered to left center (404 feet).

    CHC 1·LAD 0

    −11pp

  6. B1

    Ohtani singled to left.

    CHC 0·LAD 0

    +10pp

Team stats

CHC

Away

Stat

LAD

Home

9

Hits

14

0

Errors

1

4

Runs

12

Player box score

CHC

CHC

17-10

4
N. Hoerner

N. Hoerner★

2B

OPS

1.333

H-AB

2-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

M. Busch

M. Busch★

1B

OPS

0.400

H-AB

1-5

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

A. Bregman

A. Bregman★

3B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

I. Happ

I. Happ★

LF

OPS

0.333

H-AB

0-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

S. Suzuki

S. Suzuki★

RF

OPS

2.250

H-AB

3-4

R

1

RBI

1

HR

1

M. Ballesteros

M. Ballesteros★

C

OPS

1.833

H-AB

1-3

R

1

RBI

1

HR

1

D. Swanson

D. Swanson★

SS

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

P. Crow-Armstrong

P. Crow-Armstrong★

CF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

M. Amaya

M. Amaya★

C

OPS

1.667

H-AB

1-3

R

2

RBI

1

HR

1

N. Lopez

N. Lopez

3B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

M. Conforto

M. Conforto

RF

OPS

2.000

H-AB

1-1

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

M. Shaw

M. Shaw

RF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-1

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

Team total

H-AB

9-35

R

4

RBI

4

HR

3

C. Rea

C. Rea★

SP

IP

3.1

H

6

ER

6

K

4

J. Assad

J. Assad

SP

IP

2.1

H

7

ER

6

K

2

V. Velasquez

V. Velasquez

SP

IP

2.1

H

1

ER

0

K

1

Team total

IP

8.0

H

14

ER

12

K

7

Betting line

LAD -1.5·O/U 9.5·CHC +109/LAD -132

DraftKings · via ESPN