Matchup orbital
8
NYY
NYY
18-9
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME
3
HOU
HOU
10-18
Postgame · final
The morning-after recap.
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
NYY wins
NYY 8 · HOU 3 (by 5)
Model verdict
✓ Hit
Picked NYY +10pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
Inning by inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYY | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 |
| HOU | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
Final play
“End of the 9th inning”
What's next
Tomorrow's slate is open.
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
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NYY18-9
NYY
10-18HOU
HOU
Recap · MLB
ew York Yankees went into Houston Astros and beat them, 8–3.
NYY -1.5 cashed (won by 5). Total cleared the 9.5 OVER by 1.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
Current series
NYY win series 2-1
NYY12@HOU4NYY8@HOU3todayNYY4@HOU7Season series
NYY lead series 2-0
NYY12@HOU4NYY8@HOU3todayNYY4@HOU7HOU@NYYupcomingHOU@NYYupcomingHOU@NYYupcomingVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
NYY -1.5
Total
9.5
High-scoring · +1.0 vs avg
Moneyline
NYY-15661%HOU+12944%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 2 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
9.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 19pp · Top 7th Inning
NYY
A. Wells
CBatter of the gamePerfect day
2-for-3 · 1 HR · 2.467 OPS
R. Weathers
SPStarting pitcher
5.1 IP · 4 K · 2 ER · 6 H
HOU
C. Correa
SSBatter of the gamePerfect day
2-for-3 · 1 HR · 2.417 OPS
M. Burrows
SPStarting pitcher
5.0 IP · 8 K · 2 ER · 5 H · 3 BB
How it ended
NYY beat HOU 8-3. Wells's play in the top 7th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (19pp).
Last play
End of the 9th inning
Win probability
HOU vs NYY
Score progression
0 lead changes
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactCaballero · homered to left center (357 feet).
Correa · homered to left center (391 feet).
Wells · homered to right (343 feet).
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYY | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 |
| HOU | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
Period scoring
NYY won 5 · HOU won 2
Inn 1
Paredes 1
Inn 2
Inn 3
Grisham 1
Inn 4
Inn 5
Caballero 1
Inn 6
Correa 1
Inn 7
Wells 1
Inn 8
Rice 1
Inn 9
Wells 1
Walker 1
Game flow · key plays
- T7
Bellinger walked, Grisham scored, Judge to second, Rice to third.
NYY 4·HOU 2
−12pp
- T7
Wells homered to right (343 feet).
NYY 3·HOU 2
−19pp
- B6
Correa homered to left center (391 feet).
NYY 2·HOU 2
+17pp
- B5
Smith grounded out to second.
NYY 2·HOU 1
−11pp
- T5
Caballero homered to left center (357 feet).
NYY 2·HOU 1
−15pp
- B1
Correa doubled to center.
NYY 0·HOU 0
+10pp
Team stats
NYY
Away
Stat
HOU
Home
12
Hits
7
0
Errors
0
8
Runs
3
Player box score
NYY
18-9
T. Grisham★
CF
OPS
1.933
H-AB
1-3
R
2
RBI
1
HR
1
B. Rice★
1B
OPS
1.500
H-AB
3-4
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0
A. Judge★
RF
OPS
0.400
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
C. Bellinger★
LF
OPS
0.600
H-AB
0-2
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0
J. Chisholm Jr.★
2B
OPS
0.200
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
A. Rosario★
3B
OPS
0.400
H-AB
1-5
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
A. Wells★
C
OPS
2.467
H-AB
2-3
R
1
RBI
2
HR
1
R. McMahon★
3B
OPS
0.800
H-AB
2-5
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0
J. Caballero★
SS
OPS
1.800
H-AB
3-5
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1
H-AB
12-34
R
8
RBI
8
HR
3
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
T. Grisham★CF | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.933 |
B. Rice★1B | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.500 |
A. Judge★RF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 |
C. Bellinger★LF | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.600 |
J. Chisholm Jr.★2B | 0-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.200 |
A. Rosario★3B | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 |
A. Wells★C | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2.467 |
R. McMahon★3B | 2-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.800 |
J. Caballero★SS | 3-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.800 |
| Team | 12-34 | 8 | 8 | 3 | — |
R. Weathers★
SP
IP
5.1
H
6
ER
2
K
4
F. Cruz
RP
IP
0.2
H
0
ER
0
K
2
J. Bird
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
1
C. Doval
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
1
T. Hill
RP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
1
K
1
IP
9.0
H
7
ER
3
K
9
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
R. Weathers★SP | 5.1 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
F. CruzRP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
J. BirdRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
C. DovalRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
T. HillRP | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Team | 9.0 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
HOU
10-18
C. Correa★
SS
OPS
2.417
H-AB
2-3
R
2
RBI
1
HR
1
Y. Alvarez★
LF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
I. Paredes★
3B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
J. Altuve★
2B
OPS
0.250
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
C. Walker★
1B
OPS
1.250
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1
Y. Diaz★
C
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
C. Smith★
RF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
C. Vazquez★
C
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
B. Matthews★
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
7-33
R
3
RBI
3
HR
2
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
C. Correa★SS | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2.417 |
Y. Alvarez★LF | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
I. Paredes★3B | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 |
J. Altuve★2B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
C. Walker★1B | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.250 |
Y. Diaz★C | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
C. Smith★RF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
C. Vazquez★C | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
B. Matthews★LF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 7-33 | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
M. Burrows★
SP
IP
5.0
H
5
ER
2
K
8
S. Okert
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
0
K. Teng
RP
IP
0.1
H
2
ER
1
K
0
B. Sousa
RP
IP
0.1
H
1
ER
2
K
0
A. Blubaugh
RP
IP
1.1
H
1
ER
1
K
0
J. Murray
RP
IP
1.0
H
3
ER
2
K
0
IP
9.0
H
12
ER
8
K
8
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
M. Burrows★SP | 5.0 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
S. OkertRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
K. TengRP | 0.1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
B. SousaRP | 0.1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
A. BlubaughRP | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
J. MurrayRP | 1.0 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Team | 9.0 | 12 | 8 | 8 |
Betting line
NYY -1.5·O/U 9.5·NYY -156/HOU +129