Matchup orbital

PHI

8

PHI

PHI

9-18

Final

Win prob

38/62

AWAY · HOME

ATL

5

ATL

ATL

19-9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

PHI wins

PHI 8 · ATL 5 (by 3)

Model verdict

✗ Missed

Picked ATL +12pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team12345678910R
PHI10011001048
ATL00020200015

Final play

“End of the 10th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

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Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

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MLBGame · Sat, Apr 25Final
PHI

PHI9-18

PHI

@

19-9ATL

ATL

ATL
SeriesATL wins series 2-1VegasATL -127

Recap · MLB

hiladelphia Phillies went into Atlanta Braves and beat them, 8–5.

PHI +1.5 cashed (ATL lost outright). Total cleared the 8.5 OVER by 4.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FINALFinal/10
PHI
PHIWIN9-188
FINAL
ATL
ATL19-95

Current series

ATL wins series 2-1

Apr 24PHIPHI3@ATLATL5
Apr 25PHIPHI8@ATLATL5today
Apr 26PHIPHI2@ATLATL6

Season series

ATL leads series 4-1

Apr 17ATLATL9@PHIPHI0
Apr 18ATLATL3@PHIPHI1
Apr 19ATLATL4@PHIPHI2
Apr 24PHIPHI3@ATLATL5
Apr 25PHIPHI8@ATLATL5today
Apr 26PHIPHI2@ATLATL6
Sep 4ATLATL@PHIPHIupcoming
Sep 5ATLATL@PHIPHIupcoming
Sep 6ATLATL@PHIPHIupcoming
Sep 7ATLATL@PHIPHIupcoming
Sep 11PHIPHI@ATLATLupcoming
Sep 12PHIPHI@ATLATLupcoming
Sep 13PHIPHI@ATLATLupcoming

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

ATL -1.5

Total

8.5

Standard · 0.0 vs avg

Moneyline

PHIPHI+10549%
ATLATL-12756%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet ATL -1.5↗SpreadBet ATL -1.5↗

Line movement · 3 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

8.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowPHI ↔ ATL

Biggest swing: 20pp · Top 8th Inning

PHIPHI
B. Harper

B. Harper

1B

Batter of the game

2-for-3 · 2 R · 1.417 OPS

Z. Wheeler

Z. Wheeler

SP

Starting pitcher

5.0 IP · 6 K · 2 ER · 3 H · 3 BB

ATLATL
M. Olson

M. Olson

1B

Batter of the game

2-for-3 · 2 R · 1.467 OPS

B. Elder

B. Elder

SP

Starting pitcher

7.0 IP · 2 K · 3 ER · 6 H · 1 BB

How it ended

PHI beat ATL 8-5. Schwarber's play in the top 8th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (20pp).

Last play

End of the 10th inning

Win probability

ATL vs PHI

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9I10

Score progression

0 lead changes

PHI8
ATL5

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
ATLBottom 6th Inning · 3-3
+15pp→ 74% WP

Albies · doubled to center, Olson scored.

PHITop 8th Inning · 3-4
+20pp→ 39% WP

Schwarber · tripled to center.

PHITop 10th Inning · 6-4
+19pp→ 87% WP

Harper · singled to left, Stubbs scored and Turner scored, Schwarber to second.

Linescore (innings)

Team12345678910R
PHI10011001048
ATL00020200015

Period scoring

PHI won 4 · ATL won 2

1
0

Inn 1

Garc 1

0
0

Inn 2

0
0

Inn 3

1
2

Inn 4

Stott 1

II 1

1
0

Inn 5

Harper 1

0
2

Inn 6

Albies 1

0
0

Inn 7

1
0

Inn 8

Harper 1

0
0

Inn 9

4
1

Inn 10

Harper 2

Baldwin 1

PHI
ATL

Game flow · key plays

  1. T10

    Harper singled to left, Stubbs scored and Turner scored, Schwarber to second.

    PHI 6·ATL 4

    −19pp

  2. T10

    Schwarber walked, Turner to second, Stubbs to third.

    PHI 4·ATL 4

    −18pp

  3. T8

    Schwarber tripled to center.

    PHI 3·ATL 4

    −20pp

  4. B6

    Albies doubled to center, Olson scored.

    PHI 3·ATL 3

    +15pp

  5. B4

    Riley doubled to left, Olson scored, Albies to third.

    PHI 2·ATL 2

    +15pp

  6. T4

    Stott tripled to first, Marsh scored.

    PHI 2·ATL 0

    −14pp

Team stats

PHI

Away

Stat

ATL

Home

11

Hits

9

0

Errors

0

8

Runs

5

Player box score

PHI

PHI

9-18

8
T. Turner

T. Turner★

SS

OPS

0.650

H-AB

1-4

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

K. Schwarber

K. Schwarber★

LF

OPS

0.650

H-AB

1-4

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

B. Harper

B. Harper★

1B

OPS

1.417

H-AB

2-3

R

2

RBI

4

HR

0

A. Garcia

A. Garcia★

RF

OPS

0.400

H-AB

1-5

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

B. Marsh

B. Marsh★

LF

OPS

0.800

H-AB

2-5

R

1

RBI

2

HR

0

B. Stott

B. Stott★

2B

OPS

0.800

H-AB

2-5

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

A. Bohm

A. Bohm★

3B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-5

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

J. Crawford

J. Crawford★

CF

OPS

0.400

H-AB

1-5

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

R. Marchan

R. Marchan★

C

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

Team total

H-AB

11-40

R

8

RBI

8

HR

0

Z. Wheeler

Z. Wheeler★

SP

IP

5.0

H

3

ER

2

K

6

O. Kerkering

O. Kerkering

RP

IP

1.1

H

0

ER

0

K

1

J. Alvarado

J. Alvarado

RP

IP

1.1

H

1

ER

0

K

0

B. Keller

B. Keller

RP

IP

1.1

H

0

ER

0

K

1

K. Backhus

K. Backhus

RP

IP

1.0

H

2

ER

0

K

0

Team total

IP

10.0

H

9

ER

4

K

8

Betting line

ATL -1.5·O/U 8.5·PHI +105/ATL -127

DraftKings · via ESPN