Matchup orbital

3
CLE
CLE
15-13
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME

5
TOR
TOR
11-15
Postgame · final
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
TOR wins
CLE 3 · TOR 5 (by 2)
Model verdict
✓ Hit
Picked TOR +4pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| TOR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
What's next
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CLE15-13
CLE
11-15TOR
TOR

Recap · MLB
oronto Blue Jays held off Cleveland Guardians, 5–3.
TOR -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total cleared the 7.0 OVER by 1.0.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page


Current series
TOR wins series 2-1
CLE8@
TOR6
CLE3@
TOR5today
CLE2@
TOR4Season series
Series tied 1-1
CLE8@
TOR6
CLE3@
TOR5today
CLE2@
TOR4
TOR@
CLEupcoming
TOR@
CLEupcoming
TOR@
CLEupcomingVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
TOR -1.5
Total
7.0
Defensive · -1.5 vs avg
Moneyline
CLE+12345%
TOR-14960%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 3 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
7.0
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 17pp · Bottom 6th Inning
CLE
K. Manzardo
1BBatter of the gamePerfect day
1-for-1 · 2.000 OPS

J. Cantillo
SPStarting pitcher
5.0 IP · 4 K · 1 ER · 6 H · 1 BB
TOR
K. Okamoto
3BBatter of the gamePerfect day
2-for-3 · 1 HR · 2.417 OPS

K. Gausman
SPStarting pitcher
6.2 IP · 3 K · 2 ER · 6 H
How it ended
TOR beat CLE 5-3.
Win probability
TOR vs CLE
Score progression
0 lead changes
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactOkamoto · homered to center (425 feet).
Gim · énez doubled to left, Okamoto scored and Varsho scored.
Manzardo · doubled to left, Hoskins scored, Valera to third.
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| TOR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | — | 5 |
Period scoring
CLE won 1 · TOR won 2
Inn 1
Inn 2
Inn 3
Rocchio 1
Inn 4
Okamoto 1
Inn 5
Inn 6
Gim 2
Inn 7
Fry 1
Okamoto 1
Inn 8
Inn 9
Manzardo 1
Game flow · key plays
Naylor struck out swinging.
CLE 3·TOR 5
+13pp
Manzardo doubled to left, Hoskins scored, Valera to third.
CLE 3·TOR 5
−14pp
Giménez doubled to left, Okamoto scored and Varsho scored.
CLE 1·TOR 4
+17pp
Varsho grounded into fielder's choice to second, Guerrero Jr. scored on fielding error by second baseman Brito, Okamoto third.
CLE 1·TOR 2
+14pp
Okamoto singled to left, Guerrero Jr. to third.
CLE 1·TOR 1
+11pp
Okamoto homered to center (425 feet).
CLE 1·TOR 1
+14pp
Team stats
CLE
Away
Stat
TOR
Home
9
Hits
9
1
Errors
0
3
Runs
5
Player box score

CLE
15-13

A. Martinez★
LF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

C. DeLauter★
RF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Ramirez★
3B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

R. Hoskins★
1B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

G. Valera★
LF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

D. Fry★
RF
OPS
1.667
H-AB
1-3
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1

J. Brito★
2B
OPS
0.833
H-AB
1-3
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

B. Naylor★
C
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

B. Rocchio★
SS
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0

K. Manzardo
1B
OPS
2.000
H-AB
1-1
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
H-AB
9-35
R
3
RBI
3
HR
1
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() A. Martinez★LF | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() C. DeLauter★RF | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() J. Ramirez★3B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() R. Hoskins★1B | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() G. Valera★LF | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() D. Fry★RF | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.667 |
![]() J. Brito★2B | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.833 |
![]() B. Naylor★C | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() B. Rocchio★SS | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() K. Manzardo1B | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2.000 |
| Team | 9-35 | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |

J. Cantillo★
SP
IP
5.0
H
6
ER
1
K
4

M. Festa
RP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
0
K
3

P. Pallette
RP
IP
1.0
H
2
ER
1
K
1

C. Brogdon
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
2
IP
8.0
H
9
ER
2
K
10
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() J. Cantillo★SP | 5.0 | 6 | 1 | 4 |
![]() M. FestaRP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
![]() P. PalletteRP | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
![]() C. BrogdonRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Team | 8.0 | 9 | 2 | 10 |

TOR
11-15

M. Straw★
RF
OPS
0.800
H-AB
2-5
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

E. Clement★
2B
OPS
1.000
H-AB
2-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

V. Guerrero Jr.★
1B
OPS
0.833
H-AB
1-3
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

K. Okamoto★
3B
OPS
2.417
H-AB
2-3
R
2
RBI
2
HR
1

E. Jimenez★
DH
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

D. Varsho★
CF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

D. Schneider★
LF
OPS
0.250
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

A. Gimenez★
SS
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
2
HR
0

T. Heineman★
C
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Sanchez
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
9-34
R
5
RBI
4
HR
1
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() M. Straw★RF | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.800 |
![]() E. Clement★2B | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
![]() V. Guerrero Jr.★1B | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.833 |
![]() K. Okamoto★3B | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2.417 |
![]() E. Jimenez★DH | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() D. Varsho★CF | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() D. Schneider★LF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
![]() A. Gimenez★SS | 1-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() T. Heineman★C | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() J. SanchezLF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 9-34 | 5 | 4 | 1 | — |

K. Gausman★
SP
IP
6.2
H
6
ER
2
K
3

M. Fluharty
RP
IP
0.1
H
0
ER
0
K
1

T. Rogers
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
1

L. Varland
RP
IP
1.0
H
3
ER
1
K
2
IP
9.0
H
9
ER
3
K
7
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() K. Gausman★SP | 6.2 | 6 | 2 | 3 |
![]() M. FluhartyRP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() T. RogersRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() L. VarlandRP | 1.0 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Team | 9.0 | 9 | 3 | 7 |
Betting line
TOR -1.5·O/U 7·CLE +123/TOR -149