Matchup orbital

CHC

6

CHC

CHC

17-9

Final

Win prob

42/58

AWAY · HOME

LAD

4

LAD

LAD

17-9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

CHC wins

CHC 6 · LAD 4 (by 2)

Model verdict

✗ Missed

Picked LAD +8pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team123456789R
CHC0000003126
LAD0031000004

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

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MLBGame · Fri, Apr 24Final
CHC

CHC17-9

CHC

@

17-9LAD

LAD

LAD
SeriesLAD win series 2-1VegasLAD -156

Recap · MLB

hicago Cubs went into Los Angeles Dodgers and beat them, 6–4.

CHC +1.5 cashed (LAD lost outright). Total cleared the 9.0 OVER by 1.0.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FINALFinal
CHC
CHCWIN17-96
FINAL
LAD
LAD17-94

Current series

LAD win series 2-1

Apr 25CHCCHC6@LADLAD4today
Apr 25CHCCHC4@LADLAD12
Apr 26CHCCHC0@LADLAD6

Season series

CHC lead series 1-0

Apr 25CHCCHC6@LADLAD4today
Apr 25CHCCHC4@LADLAD12
Apr 26CHCCHC0@LADLAD6
Aug 4LADLAD@CHCCHCupcoming
Aug 5LADLAD@CHCCHCupcoming
Aug 5LADLAD@CHCCHCupcoming

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

LAD -1.5

Total

9.0

High-scoring · +0.5 vs avg

Moneyline

CHCCHC+12944%
LADLAD-15661%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet LAD -1.5↗SpreadBet LAD -1.5↗

Line movement · 3 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

9.0

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowCHC ↔ LAD

Biggest swing: 37pp · Top 9th Inning

CHCCHC
D. Swanson

D. Swanson

SS

Batter of the gamePerfect day

2-for-3 · 1 HR · 2.333 OPS

J. Taillon

J. Taillon

SP

Starting pitcher

5.0 IP · 4 K · 4 ER · 4 H · 3 BB

LADLAD
H. Kim

H. Kim

SS

Batter of the game

2-for-3 · 1 R · 1.333 OPS

E. Sheehan

E. Sheehan

SP

Starting pitcherQuality start

6.1 IP · 10 K · 1 ER · 4 H · 1 BB

How it ended

CHC beat LAD 6-4. Swanson's play in the top 9th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (37pp).

Last play

End of the 9th inning

Win probability

LAD vs CHC

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9

Score progression

0 lead changes

CHC6
LAD4

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
LADBottom 3rd Inning · 0-3
+23pp→ 87% WP

Smith · homered to right center (386 feet), Kim scored and Freeland scored.

CHCTop 8th Inning · 4-4
+24pp→ 46% WP

Bregman · homered to left center (408 feet).

CHCTop 9th Inning · 6-4
+37pp→ 93% WP

Swanson · homered to left (413 feet), Crow-Armstrong scored.

Linescore (innings)

Team123456789R
CHC0000003126
LAD0031000004

Period scoring

CHC won 3 · LAD won 2

0
0

Inn 1

0
0

Inn 2

0
3

Inn 3

Smith 3

0
1

Inn 4

Kim 1

0
0

Inn 5

0
0

Inn 6

3
0

Inn 7

Swanson 2

1
0

Inn 8

Bregman 1

2
0

Inn 9

Swanson 2

CHC
LAD

Game flow · key plays

  1. T9

    Swanson homered to left (413 feet), Crow-Armstrong scored.

    CHC 6·LAD 4

    −37pp

  2. T9

    Crow-Armstrong singled to left.

    CHC 4·LAD 4

    −9pp

  3. T8

    Bregman homered to left center (408 feet).

    CHC 4·LAD 4

    −24pp

  4. T7

    Hoerner singled to left, Swanson scored.

    CHC 3·LAD 4

    −9pp

  5. T7

    Swanson tripled to center, Ballesteros scored and Crow-Armstrong scored.

    CHC 2·LAD 4

    −10pp

  6. B3

    Smith homered to right center (386 feet), Kim scored and Freeland scored.

    CHC 0·LAD 3

    +23pp

Team stats

CHC

Away

Stat

LAD

Home

11

Hits

6

0

Errors

0

6

Runs

4

Player box score

CHC

CHC

17-9

6
N. Hoerner

N. Hoerner★

2B

OPS

0.400

H-AB

1-5

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

M. Busch

M. Busch★

1B

OPS

0.800

H-AB

2-5

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

A. Bregman

A. Bregman★

3B

OPS

1.400

H-AB

2-5

R

1

RBI

1

HR

1

I. Happ

I. Happ★

LF

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

S. Suzuki

S. Suzuki★

RF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

M. Ballesteros

M. Ballesteros★

C

OPS

1.000

H-AB

2-4

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

C. Kelly

C. Kelly★

C

OPS

0.250

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

P. Crow-Armstrong

P. Crow-Armstrong★

CF

OPS

0.833

H-AB

1-3

R

2

RBI

0

HR

0

D. Swanson

D. Swanson★

SS

OPS

2.333

H-AB

2-3

R

2

RBI

4

HR

1

Team total

H-AB

11-36

R

6

RBI

6

HR

2

J. Taillon

J. Taillon★

SP

IP

5.0

H

4

ER

4

K

4

R. Rolison

R. Rolison

RP

IP

3.0

H

2

ER

0

K

1

C. Martin

C. Martin

RP

IP

1.0

H

0

ER

0

K

1

Team total

IP

9.0

H

6

ER

4

K

6

Betting line

LAD -1.5·O/U 9·CHC +129/LAD -156

DraftKings · via ESPN