Chicago Cubs vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Box Score — Apr 24, 2026

FINAL+2CHC

CHC

17-9

LAD

17-9

Dodger Stadium · Los Angeles, California

53,733 attended

Line movement

50 snapshots

LAD spread

-1.5

open -1.5

Total

O/U 9.0

open O/U 9.0

LAD no-vig %

58.3%

open 58.3%

Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = LAD favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.

Logged before first pitch · graded in public

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

57.7%

ensemble · LAD favored

Elo Static
57.6%
P(LAD win)
33%
weight
Elo Pitching
57.4%
P(LAD win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
57.2%
P(LAD win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.16 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

99% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

LAD vs CHC.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

125

projections · 89 high confidence

Strikeouts

Yoshinobu YamamotoLAD
6.4± 3.0low
Emmet SheehanLAD
5.7± 3.9low
Roki SasakiLAD
5.5± 3.1low

Hits

Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHC
1.6± 1.1high
Tommy EdmanLAD
1.4± 1.8low
Seiya SuzukiCHC
1.2± 0.8high

Total bases

Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHC
3.4± 2.5high
Shohei OhtaniLAD
2.4± 2.1high
Seiya SuzukiCHC
2.0± 1.6high

RBIs

Seiya SuzukiCHC
0.8± 1.3high
Carson KellyCHC
0.7± 1.9high
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHC
0.7± 0.8high

Earned runs

Edward CabreraCHC
3.4± 2.6low
Shota ImanagaCHC
3.1± 3.4medium
Colin ReaCHC
2.9± 2.4medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

CHC

league avg

LAD

.738

OPS

.718

▶

.779

.337

OBP

.319

▶

.343

4.75

Runs / G

4.50

▶

5.15

4.28

Team ERA

4.18

▶

3.43

1.24

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.10

7.9

K / 9

8.5

▶

9.0

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

CHC wins

CHC 6 · LAD 4 (by 2)

Model verdict

✗ Missed

Picked LAD +8pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
CHC	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1	2	6
LAD	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	4

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. Hoerner2B	.299	5	0	1	1	0	0	0
M. Busch1B	.208	5	0	2	0	0	0	2
A. Bregman3B	.266	5	1	2	1	1	0	2
I. HappLF	.250	4	0	1	0	0	0	2
S. SuzukiRF	.294	4	0	0	0	0	0	1
M. BallesterosDH	.400	4	1	2	0	0	0	2
C. KellyC	.318	3	0	0	0	0	1	2
P. Crow-ArmstrongCF	.245	3	2	1	0	0	1	1
D. SwansonSS	.209	3	2	2	4	1	0	1
M. ShawRF	.305	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		36	6	11	6	2	2	13

Player

.299

.208

.266

.250

.294

.400

.318

.245

.209

.305

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. TaillonSP	5.0	4	4	4	3	4	85
R. RolisonRP	3.0	2	0	0	0	1	35
C. MartinRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14
Team	9.0	6	4	4	3	6	134

Player

J. TaillonSP

5.0

R. RolisonRP

3.0

C. MartinRP

1.0

Team

9.0

134

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. OhtaniDH	.237	3	0	0	0	0	1	3
F. Freeman1B	.284	4	0	0	0	0	0	0
W. SmithC	.266	4	1	1	3	1	0	1
K. TuckerRF	.237	3	0	0	0	0	1	0
T. HernándezLF	.233	4	0	0	0	0	0	2
M. Muncy3B	.292	4	1	1	0	0	0	0
A. PagesCF	.333	4	0	1	0	0	0	0
H. KimSS	.351	3	1	2	1	0	0	0
A. Freeland2B	.222	2	1	1	0	0	1	0
Team		31	4	6	4	1	3	6

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
E. SheehanSP	6.1	4	1	1	1	10	101
A. VesiaRP	0.2	2	2	2	1	1	20
B. TreinenRP	1.0	3	1	1	0	2	17
T. ScottRP	0.2	2	2	2	0	0	17
E. HenriquezRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team	9.0	11	6	6	2	13	156

Team

CHC

LAD

3 sub-models, blended.

LAD vs CHC.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

LAD vs CHC.

3 sub-models, blended.