Matchup orbital

SEA

3

SEA

SEA

12-15

Final

Win prob

50/50

AWAY · HOME

STL

2

STL

STL

14-11

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

SEA wins

SEA 3 · STL 2 (by 1)

Model verdict

✗ Missed

Picked STL +0pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team123456789R
SEA0101010003
STL0002000002

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

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MLBGame · Fri, Apr 24Final
SEA

SEA12-15

SEA

@

14-11STL

STL

STL
SeriesSEA wins series 3-0VegasSEA -149

Recap · MLB

eattle Mariners went into St. Louis Cardinals and beat them, 3–2. It came down to the final possession.

STL +1.5 cashed (SEA won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 8.0 by 3.0.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FINALFinal
SEA
SEAWIN12-153
FINAL
STL
STL14-112

Current series

SEA wins series 3-0

Apr 25SEASEA3@STLSTL2today
Apr 25SEASEA11@STLSTL9
Apr 26SEASEA3@STLSTL2

Season series

SEA leads series 1-0

Apr 25SEASEA3@STLSTL2today
Apr 25SEASEA11@STLSTL9
Apr 26SEASEA3@STLSTL2

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

SEA -1.5

Total

8.0

Defensive · -0.5 vs avg

Moneyline

SEASEA-14960%
STLSTL+12345%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet SEA -1.5↗SpreadBet SEA -1.5↗

Line movement · 2 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

8.0

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowSEA ↔ STL

Biggest swing: 24pp · Top 9th Inning

SEASEA
J. Naylor

J. Naylor

1B

Batter of the game

1-for-3 · 1 HR · 1.833 OPS

G. Kirby

G. Kirby

SP

Starting pitcher

6.0 IP · 2 K · 2 ER · 5 H · 1 BB

STLSTL
N. Gorman

N. Gorman

3B

Batter of the game

2-for-4 · 1 R · 1.000 OPS

A. Pallante

A. Pallante

SP

Starting pitcher

5.1 IP · 8 K · 3 ER · 4 H · 3 BB

How it ended

SEA beat STL 3-2. Canzone's play in the top 9th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (24pp).

Last play

End of the 9th inning

Win probability

STL vs SEA

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9

Score progression

0 lead changes

SEA3
STL2

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
STLBottom 4th Inning · 2-2
+24pp→ 53% WP

Winn · singled to right, Walker scored and Gorman scored, Winn to second.

SEATop 6th Inning · 3-2
+17pp→ 66% WP

Naylor · homered to right center (418 feet).

SEATop 9th Inning · 3-2
+24pp→ 83% WP

Canzone · grounded out to second.

Linescore (innings)

Team123456789R
SEA0101010003
STL0002000002

Period scoring

SEA won 2 · STL won 1

0
0

Inn 1

1
0

Inn 2

Young 1

0
0

Inn 3

1
2

Inn 4

Canzone 1

Winn 2

0
0

Inn 5

1
0

Inn 6

Naylor 1

0
0

Inn 7

0
0

Inn 8

0
0

Inn 9

SEA
STL

Game flow · key plays

  1. T9

    Canzone grounded out to second.

    SEA 3·STL 2

    −24pp

  2. B8

    Burleson struck out swinging.

    SEA 3·STL 2

    −14pp

  3. B8

    Herrera singled to left, Wetherholt to second.

    SEA 3·STL 2

    +12pp

  4. B8

    Wetherholt singled to right.

    SEA 3·STL 2

    +13pp

  5. T6

    Naylor homered to right center (418 feet).

    SEA 3·STL 2

    −17pp

  6. B4

    Winn singled to right, Walker scored and Gorman scored, Winn to second.

    SEA 2·STL 2

    +24pp

Team stats

SEA

Away

Stat

STL

Home

4

Hits

8

0

Errors

0

3

Runs

2

Player box score

SEA

SEA

12-15

3
J.P. Crawford

J.P. Crawford★

SS

OPS

0.333

H-AB

0-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

C. Raleigh

C. Raleigh★

C

OPS

0.250

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

J. Rodriguez

J. Rodriguez★

CF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

J. Naylor

J. Naylor★

1B

OPS

1.833

H-AB

1-3

R

2

RBI

1

HR

1

R. Arozarena

R. Arozarena★

LF

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

L. Raley

L. Raley★

RF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

D. Canzone

D. Canzone★

RF

OPS

0.833

H-AB

1-3

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

C. Young

C. Young★

2B

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

L. Rivas

L. Rivas★

3B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

R. Refsnyder

R. Refsnyder

RF

OPS

0.500

H-AB

0-1

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

Team total

H-AB

4-30

R

3

RBI

3

HR

1

G. Kirby

G. Kirby★

SP

IP

6.0

H

5

ER

2

K

2

M. Brash

M. Brash

RP

IP

1.0

H

0

ER

0

K

0

G. Speier

G. Speier

RP

IP

0.1

H

2

ER

0

K

1

E. Bazardo

E. Bazardo

RP

IP

0.2

H

0

ER

0

K

0

A. Munoz

A. Munoz

RP

IP

1.0

H

1

ER

0

K

2

Team total

IP

9.0

H

8

ER

2

K

5

Betting line

SEA -1.5·O/U 8·SEA -149/STL +123

DraftKings · via ESPN