Matchup orbital
2
MIN
MIN
12-14
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME
6
TB
TB
14-11
Postgame · final
The morning-after recap.
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
TB wins
MIN 2 · TB 6 (by 4)
Model verdict
✓ Hit
Picked TB +8pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
Inning by inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| TB | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
What's next
Tomorrow's slate is open.
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.
MIN12-14
MIN
14-11TB
TB
Recap · MLB
ampa Bay Rays held off Minnesota Twins, 6–2.
TB -1.5 cashed (won by 4). Total cleared the 7.5 OVER by 0.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
Current series
TB wins series 3-0
MIN2@TB6todayMIN1@TB6MIN2@TB4Season series
TB leads series 3-1
TB4@MIN10TB7@MIN1TB4@MIN1MIN2@TB6todayMIN1@TB6MIN2@TB4Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
TB -1.5
Total
7.5
Defensive · -1.0 vs avg
Moneyline
MIN+11946%TB-14359%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 2 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
7.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 13pp · Bottom 4th Inning
MIN
B. Lee
SSBatter of the gamePerfect day
3-for-4 · 1 HR · 2.250 OPS
T. Bradley
SPStarting pitcher
6.1 IP · 3 K · 6 ER · 7 H · 3 BB
TB
J. Caminero
3BBatter of the game2-HR game
2-for-4 · 2 HR · 2.500 OPS
D. Rasmussen
SPStarting pitcherQuality start
6.0 IP · 6 K · 1 ER · 5 H · 1 BB
How it ended
TB beat MIN 6-2.
Win probability
TB vs MIN
Score progression
0 lead changes
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactCaminero · homered to center (450 feet).
Martin · doubled to left, Larnach to third.
Aranda · homered to right (402 feet).
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| TB | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | — | 6 |
Period scoring
MIN won 1 · TB won 5
Inn 1
Caminero 1
Inn 2
Inn 3
Simpson 1
Inn 4
Aranda 1
Inn 5
Lee 1
Inn 6
Aranda 1
Inn 7
Caminero 2
Inn 8
Inn 9
Lewis 1
Game flow · key plays
- T5
Lee homered to right (383 feet).
MIN 1·TB 3
−7pp
- B4
Aranda homered to right (402 feet).
MIN 0·TB 3
+13pp
- T4
Clemens struck out swinging.
MIN 0·TB 2
+9pp
- T4
Martin doubled to left, Larnach to third.
MIN 0·TB 2
−12pp
- B3
Fortes doubled to left.
MIN 0·TB 1
+7pp
- B1
Caminero homered to center (450 feet).
MIN 0·TB 1
+11pp
Team stats
MIN
Away
Stat
TB
Home
9
Hits
7
0
Errors
0
2
Runs
6
Player box score
MIN
12-14
B. Buxton★
CF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-5
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
T. Larnach★
LF
OPS
0.400
H-AB
1-5
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
A. Martin★
LF
OPS
0.833
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
V. Caratini★
C
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
K. Clemens★
1B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
R. Lewis★
3B
OPS
1.250
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1
M. Wallner★
RF
OPS
0.833
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
B. Lee★
SS
OPS
2.250
H-AB
3-4
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1
T. Gray★
3B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
9-36
R
2
RBI
2
HR
2
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
B. Buxton★CF | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
T. Larnach★LF | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 |
A. Martin★LF | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.833 |
V. Caratini★C | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
K. Clemens★1B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
R. Lewis★3B | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.250 |
M. Wallner★RF | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.833 |
B. Lee★SS | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2.250 |
T. Gray★3B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
| Team | 9-36 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
T. Bradley★
SP
IP
6.1
H
7
ER
6
K
3
A. Banda
RP
IP
0.2
H
0
ER
0
K
0
E. Orze
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
2
IP
8.0
H
7
ER
6
K
5
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
T. Bradley★SP | 6.1 | 7 | 6 | 3 |
A. BandaRP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
E. OrzeRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Team | 8.0 | 7 | 6 | 5 |
TB
14-11
C. Simpson★
LF
OPS
0.250
H-AB
0-3
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0
J. Caminero★
3B
OPS
2.500
H-AB
2-4
R
2
RBI
3
HR
2
J. Aranda★
1B
OPS
2.500
H-AB
2-4
R
2
RBI
2
HR
2
Y. Diaz★
1B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
J. DeLuca★
RF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
C. Mullins★
CF
OPS
0.250
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
B. Williamson★
2B
OPS
0.250
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
N. Fortes★
C
OPS
0.667
H-AB
1-3
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
T. Walls★
SS
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
7-30
R
6
RBI
6
HR
4
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
C. Simpson★LF | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
J. Caminero★3B | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2.500 |
J. Aranda★1B | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2.500 |
Y. Diaz★1B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
J. DeLuca★RF | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
C. Mullins★CF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
B. Williamson★2B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
N. Fortes★C | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.667 |
T. Walls★SS | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 7-30 | 6 | 6 | 4 | — |
D. Rasmussen★
SP
IP
6.0
H
5
ER
1
K
6
C. Sulser
RP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
0
K
0
T. Martin
RP
IP
1.0
H
3
ER
1
K
1
B. Baker
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
1
IP
9.0
H
9
ER
2
K
8
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
D. Rasmussen★SP | 6.0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
C. SulserRP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
T. MartinRP | 1.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
B. BakerRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | 9.0 | 9 | 2 | 8 |
Betting line
TB -1.5·O/U 7.5·MIN +119/TB -143