Matchup orbital

PHI

7

PHI

PHI

8-17

Final

Win prob

38/62

AWAY · HOME

CHC

8

CHC

CHC

16-9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

CHC wins

PHI 7 · CHC 8 (by 1)

Model verdict

✓ Hit

Picked CHC +12pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team12345678910R
PHI01010031107
CHC01310101018

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

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MLBGame · Thu, Apr 23Final
PHI

PHI8-17

PHI

@

16-9CHC

CHC

CHC
SeriesCHC win series 4-0VegasPHI -115

Recap · MLB

hicago Cubs held off Philadelphia Phillies, 8–7. It came down to the final possession.

CHC +1.5 cashed (PHI lost outright). Total cleared the 9.5 OVER by 5.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FINALFinal/10
PHI
PHI8-177
FINAL
CHC
CHCWIN16-98

Current series

CHC win series 4-0

Apr 20PHIPHI1@CHCCHC5
Apr 21PHIPHI4@CHCCHC7
Apr 22PHIPHI2@CHCCHC7
Apr 23PHIPHI7@CHCCHC8today

Season series

CHC win series 6-1

Apr 13CHCCHC7@PHIPHI13
Apr 14CHCCHC10@PHIPHI4
Apr 15CHCCHC11@PHIPHI2
Apr 20PHIPHI1@CHCCHC5
Apr 21PHIPHI4@CHCCHC7
Apr 22PHIPHI2@CHCCHC7
Apr 23PHIPHI7@CHCCHC8today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

PHI -1.5

Total

9.5

High-scoring · +1.0 vs avg

Moneyline

PHIPHI-11553%
CHCCHC-10551%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet PHI -1.5↗SpreadBet PHI -1.5↗

Line movement · 2 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

9.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowPHI ↔ CHC

Biggest swing: 34pp · Top 9th Inning

PHIPHI
A. Garcia

A. Garcia

RF

Batter of the gamePerfect day

1-for-1 · 1 HR · 5.000 OPS

C. Sanchez

C. Sanchez

SP

Starting pitcher

5.1 IP · 4 K · 6 ER · 12 H · 2 BB

CHCCHC
S. Suzuki

S. Suzuki

RF

Batter of the gamePerfect day

3-for-4 · 1 HR · 2.333 OPS

E. Cabrera

E. Cabrera

SP

Starting pitcher

7.0 IP · 5 K · 3 ER · 6 H

How it ended

CHC beat PHI 8-7. Garc's play in the top 9th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (34pp).

Win probability

CHC vs PHI

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9I10

Score progression

0 lead changes

PHI7
CHC8

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
CHCBottom 3rd Inning · 1-4
+23pp→ 86% WP

Busch · homered to center (421 feet), Suzuki scored and Kelly scored.

CHCBottom 8th Inning · 6-7
+22pp→ 91% WP

Suzuki · homered to left center (393 feet).

PHITop 9th Inning · 7-7
+34pp→ 46% WP

Garc · ía homered to left (378 feet).

Linescore (innings)

Team12345678910R
PHI01010031107
CHC01310101018

Period scoring

PHI won 2 · CHC won 3

0
0

Inn 1

1
1

Inn 2

Marsh 1

Swanson 1

0
3

Inn 3

Busch 3

1
1

Inn 4

Marsh 1

Happ 1

0
0

Inn 5

0
1

Inn 6

Busch 1

3
0

Inn 7

Marsh 1

1
1

Inn 8

Sosa 1

Suzuki 1

1
0

Inn 9

Garc 1

0
1

Inn 10

Swanson 1

PHI
CHC

Game flow · key plays

  1. B10

    Swanson singled to right, Happ scored, Kelly to second, Suzuki to third.

    PHI 7·CHC 8

    +18pp

  2. T9

    Moore popped out to second.

    PHI 7·CHC 7

    +18pp

  3. T9

    García homered to left (378 feet).

    PHI 7·CHC 7

    −34pp

  4. B8

    Suzuki homered to left center (393 feet).

    PHI 6·CHC 7

    +22pp

  5. T8

    Sosa singled to center, Moore scored, Marsh to third.

    PHI 6·CHC 6

    −22pp

  6. B3

    Busch homered to center (421 feet), Suzuki scored and Kelly scored.

    PHI 1·CHC 4

    +23pp

Team stats

PHI

Away

Stat

CHC

Home

8

Hits

18

0

Errors

1

7

Runs

8

Player box score

PHI

PHI

8-17

7
T. Turner

T. Turner★

SS

OPS

0.200

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

K. Schwarber

K. Schwarber★

LF

OPS

0.200

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

B. Harper

B. Harper★

1B

OPS

0.650

H-AB

1-4

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

F. Reyes

F. Reyes★

LF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

B. Marsh

B. Marsh★

LF

OPS

3.050

H-AB

3-4

R

2

RBI

3

HR

2

B. Stott

B. Stott★

2B

OPS

0.667

H-AB

1-3

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

A. Bohm

A. Bohm★

3B

OPS

0.650

H-AB

1-4

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

J. Crawford

J. Crawford★

CF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-5

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

G. Stubbs

G. Stubbs★

C

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-2

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

D. Moore

D. Moore

CF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-1

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

E. Sosa

E. Sosa

2B

OPS

1.000

H-AB

1-2

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

A. Garcia

A. Garcia

RF

OPS

5.000

H-AB

1-1

R

1

RBI

1

HR

1

Team total

H-AB

8-38

R

7

RBI

6

HR

3

C. Sanchez

C. Sanchez★

SP

IP

5.1

H

12

ER

6

K

4

C. Shugart

C. Shugart

RP

IP

0.2

H

1

ER

0

K

0

O. Kerkering

O. Kerkering

RP

IP

1.0

H

1

ER

0

K

1

B. Keller

B. Keller

RP

IP

1.0

H

1

ER

1

K

0

J. Alvarado

J. Alvarado

RP

IP

1.0

H

1

ER

0

K

1

T. Banks

T. Banks

RP

IP

0.1

H

2

ER

0

K

1

Team total

IP

9.1

H

18

ER

7

K

7

Betting line

PHI -1.5·O/U 9.5·PHI -115/CHC -105

DraftKings · via ESPN