Matchup orbital

4
NYY
NYY
16-9
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME

2
BOS
BOS
9-16
Postgame · final
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
NYY wins
NYY 4 · BOS 2 (by 2)
Model verdict
✓ Hit
Picked NYY +4pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| BOS | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Final play
“End of the 9th inning”
What's next
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
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NYY16-9
NYY
9-16BOS
BOS

Recap · MLB
ew York Yankees went into Boston Red Sox and beat them, 4–2.
NYY -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total stayed UNDER 7.5 by 1.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page


Current series
NYY win series 3-0
NYY4@
BOS0
NYY4@
BOS1
NYY4@
BOS2todaySeason series
NYY lead series 3-0
NYY4@
BOS0
NYY4@
BOS1
NYY4@
BOS2today
BOS@
NYYupcoming
BOS@
NYYupcoming
BOS@
NYYupcoming
NYY@
BOSupcoming
NYY@
BOSupcoming
NYY@
BOSupcoming
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NYYupcoming
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NYYupcoming
BOS@
NYYupcomingVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
NYY -1.5
Total
7.5
Defensive · -1.0 vs avg
Moneyline
NYY-15661%
BOS+12944%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 3 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
7.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 32pp · Top 7th Inning
NYY
R. McMahon
3BBatter of the gamePerfect day
1-for-1 · 2.000 OPS

C. Schlittler
SPStarting pitcherQuality start
8.0 IP · 5 K · 1 ER · 4 H · 1 BB
BOS
C. Narvaez
CBatter of the game
1-for-3 · 1 HR · 1.667 OPS

P. Tolle
SPStarting pitcherQuality start
6.0 IP · 11 K · 1 ER · 3 H · 1 BB
How it ended
NYY beat BOS 4-2. Bellinger's play in the top 7th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (32pp).
Last play
End of the 9th inning
Win probability
BOS vs NYY
Score progression
1 lead change
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactChisholm Jr. · homered to right (333 feet).
Narv · áez homered to left center (383 feet).
Bellinger · singled to left, Chisholm Jr. scored and Grisham scored, Caballero to second.
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| BOS | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Period scoring
NYY won 1 · BOS won 1
Inn 1
Inn 2
Mayer 1
Inn 3
Inn 4
Inn 5
Jr. 1
Narv 1
Inn 6
Inn 7
Bellinger 2
Inn 8
Inn 9
Game flow · key plays
Story grounded into double play, shortstop to first, Abreu out at second.
NYY 4·BOS 2
−13pp
Judge singled to right, Caballero scored on error, Judge safe at second on fielding error by right fielder Abreu, Bellinger safe at third on error.
NYY 4·BOS 2
−14pp
Bellinger singled to left, Chisholm Jr. scored and Grisham scored, Caballero to second.
NYY 3·BOS 2
−32pp
Narváez homered to left center (383 feet).
NYY 1·BOS 2
+17pp
Chisholm Jr. homered to right (333 feet).
NYY 1·BOS 1
−15pp
Mayer doubled to center, Story scored.
NYY 0·BOS 1
+13pp
Team stats
NYY
Away
Stat
BOS
Home
10
Hits
4
1
Errors
1
4
Runs
2
Player box score

NYY
16-9

A. Rosario★
3B
OPS
0.667
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

A. Judge★
RF
OPS
0.650
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0

B. Rice★
1B
OPS
0.650
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

G. Stanton★
DH
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

R. Grichuk★
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

T. Grisham★
CF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Chisholm Jr.★
2B
OPS
1.750
H-AB
2-4
R
2
RBI
1
HR
1

J. Caballero★
SS
OPS
1.000
H-AB
2-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

A. Wells★
C
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

C. Bellinger
LF
OPS
1.000
H-AB
1-2
R
0
RBI
2
HR
0

R. McMahon
3B
OPS
2.000
H-AB
1-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
10-37
R
4
RBI
4
HR
1
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() A. Rosario★3B | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.667 |
![]() A. Judge★RF | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.650 |
![]() B. Rice★1B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.650 |
![]() G. Stanton★DH | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() R. Grichuk★LF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() T. Grisham★CF | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() J. Chisholm Jr.★2B | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.750 |
![]() J. Caballero★SS | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
![]() A. Wells★C | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() C. BellingerLF | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1.000 |
![]() R. McMahon3B | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.000 |
| Team | 10-37 | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |

C. Schlittler★
SP
IP
8.0
H
4
ER
1
K
5

D. Bednar
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
0
IP
9.0
H
4
ER
1
K
5
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() C. Schlittler★SP | 8.0 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
![]() D. BednarRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | 9.0 | 4 | 1 | 5 |

BOS
9-16

J. Duran★
LF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

C. Rafaela★
CF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

M. Yoshida★
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

W. Contreras★
1B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

W. Abreu★
RF
OPS
1.167
H-AB
1-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

T. Story★
SS
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

M. Mayer★
2B
OPS
0.667
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0

C. Durbin★
3B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

C. Narvaez★
C
OPS
1.667
H-AB
1-3
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1
H-AB
4-30
R
2
RBI
2
HR
1
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() J. Duran★LF | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() C. Rafaela★CF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() M. Yoshida★LF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() W. Contreras★1B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() W. Abreu★RF | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.167 |
![]() T. Story★SS | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() M. Mayer★2B | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.667 |
![]() C. Durbin★3B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() C. Narvaez★C | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.667 |
| Team | 4-30 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |

P. Tolle★
SP
IP
6.0
H
3
ER
1
K
11

D. Coulombe
RP
IP
0.2
H
3
ER
3
K
2

G. Weissert
RP
IP
0.1
H
2
ER
0
K
1

T. Samaniego
RP
IP
1.1
H
2
ER
0
K
1

R. Watson
RP
IP
0.2
H
0
ER
0
K
2
IP
9.0
H
10
ER
4
K
17
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() P. Tolle★SP | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 11 |
![]() D. CoulombeRP | 0.2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
![]() G. WeissertRP | 0.1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
![]() T. SamaniegoRP | 1.1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
![]() R. WatsonRP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Team | 9.0 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
Betting line
NYY -1.5·O/U 7.5·NYY -156/BOS +129