Matchup orbital

7
ATL
ATL
18-8
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME

2
WSH
WSH
11-15
Postgame · final
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
ATL wins
ATL 7 · WSH 2 (by 5)
Model verdict
✓ Hit
Picked ATL +8pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
| WSH | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Final play
“End of the 9th inning”
What's next
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
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ATL18-8
ATL
11-15WSH
WSH

Recap · MLB
tlanta Braves went into Washington Nationals and beat them, 7–2.
ATL -1.5 cashed (won by 5). Total pushed exactly on 9.0.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page


Current series
ATL wins series 3-1
ATL9@
WSH4
ATL4@
WSH11
ATL8@
WSH6
ATL7@
WSH2todaySeason series
ATL leads series 3-1
ATL9@
WSH4
ATL4@
WSH11
ATL8@
WSH6
ATL7@
WSH2today
WSH@
ATLupcoming
WSH@
ATLupcoming
WSH@
ATLupcoming
WSH@
ATLupcoming
WSH@
ATLupcoming
WSH@
ATLupcoming
WSH@
ATLupcoming
ATL@
WSHupcoming
ATL@
WSHupcomingVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
ATL -1.5
Total
9.0
High-scoring · +0.5 vs avg
Moneyline
ATL-13658%
WSH+11347%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 3 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
9.0
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 23pp · Top 7th Inning
ATL
O. Albies
2BBatter of the gamePerfect day
3-for-4 · 1 HR · 2.250 OPS

J. Ritchie
SPStarting pitcher
7.0 IP · 7 K · 2 ER · 5 H · 2 BB
WSH
D. Lile
LFBatter of the gamePerfect day
2-for-2 · 2.000 OPS

C. Cavalli
SPStarting pitcher10-K game
5.0 IP · 10 K · 2 ER · 7 H
How it ended
ATL beat WSH 7-2. Albies's play in the top 7th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (23pp).
Last play
End of the 9th inning
Win probability
WSH vs ATL
Score progression
0 lead changes
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactAbrams · homered to center (426 feet).
Dub · ón grounded into fielder's choice to first, Albies out at home.
Albies · singled to right, Olson scored and Riley scored.
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
| WSH | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Period scoring
ATL won 3 · WSH won 1
Inn 1
Wood 1
Inn 2
Inn 3
Inn 4
Albies 1
Abrams 1
Inn 5
Inn 6
Inn 7
Albies 3
Inn 8
Inn 9
Albies 1
Game flow · key plays
Albies singled to right, Olson scored and Riley scored.
ATL 5·WSH 2
−23pp
Olson singled to center, Baldwin to third.
ATL 2·WSH 2
−9pp
Dubón grounded into fielder's choice to first, Albies out at home.
ATL 2·WSH 2
+13pp
Abrams homered to center (426 feet).
ATL 2·WSH 2
+13pp
Riley doubled to right, Olson to third.
ATL 0·WSH 1
−9pp
Wood homered to right (387 feet).
ATL 0·WSH 1
+9pp
Team stats
ATL
Away
Stat
WSH
Home
14
Hits
5
0
Errors
0
7
Runs
2
Player box score

ATL
18-8

R. Acuna Jr.★
RF
OPS
0.400
H-AB
1-5
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

D. Baldwin★
C
OPS
0.650
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

M. Olson★
1B
OPS
1.200
H-AB
3-5
R
2
RBI
0
HR
0

A. Riley★
3B
OPS
0.650
H-AB
1-4
R
2
RBI
0
HR
0

O. Albies★
2B
OPS
2.250
H-AB
3-4
R
2
RBI
4
HR
1

M. Harris II★
CF
OPS
1.500
H-AB
3-4
R
0
RBI
2
HR
0

D. Smith★
1B
OPS
1.333
H-AB
2-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

M. Dubon★
SS
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-5
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

M. Yastrzemski★
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Mateo
SS
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

E. White
CF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
14-39
R
7
RBI
6
HR
1
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() R. Acuna Jr.★RF | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 |
![]() D. Baldwin★C | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.650 |
![]() M. Olson★1B | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1.200 |
![]() A. Riley★3B | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.650 |
![]() O. Albies★2B | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2.250 |
![]() M. Harris II★CF | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1.500 |
![]() D. Smith★1B | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.333 |
![]() M. Dubon★SS | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() M. Yastrzemski★LF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() J. MateoSS | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() E. WhiteCF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 14-39 | 7 | 6 | 1 | — |

J. Ritchie★
SP
IP
7.0
H
5
ER
2
K
7

D. Lee
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
2

C. Carrasco
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
1
IP
9.0
H
5
ER
2
K
10
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() J. Ritchie★SP | 7.0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
![]() D. LeeRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
![]() C. CarrascoRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | 9.0 | 5 | 2 | 10 |

WSH
11-15

J. Wood★
RF
OPS
1.250
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1

L. Garcia Jr.★
1B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Tena★
2B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

C. Abrams★
SS
OPS
1.833
H-AB
1-3
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1

J. Young★
CF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

D. Lile★
LF
OPS
2.000
H-AB
2-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

N. Nunez★
2B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Vivas★
3B
OPS
0.667
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

K. Ruiz★
C
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

C. Mead
1B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Wiemer
RF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
5-30
R
2
RBI
2
HR
2
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() J. Wood★RF | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.250 |
![]() L. Garcia Jr.★1B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() J. Tena★2B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() C. Abrams★SS | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.833 |
![]() J. Young★CF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() D. Lile★LF | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.000 |
![]() N. Nunez★2B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() J. Vivas★3B | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.667 |
![]() K. Ruiz★C | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() C. Mead1B | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() J. WiemerRF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 5-30 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |

C. Cavalli★
SP
IP
5.0
H
7
ER
2
K
10

R. Lovelady
RP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
0
K
1

C. Perez
RP
IP
0.1
H
1
ER
3
K
1

G. Varland
RP
IP
0.2
H
3
ER
1
K
1

J. Fernandez
RP
IP
2.0
H
2
ER
1
K
2
IP
9.0
H
14
ER
7
K
15
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() C. Cavalli★SP | 5.0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
![]() R. LoveladyRP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
![]() C. PerezRP | 0.1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
![]() G. VarlandRP | 0.2 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
![]() J. FernandezRP | 2.0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Team | 9.0 | 14 | 7 | 15 |
Betting line
ATL -1.5·O/U 9·ATL -136/WSH +113