Matchup orbital

NYM

1

NYM

NYM

7-15

Final

Win prob

37/63

AWAY · HOME

CHC

2

CHC

CHC

12-9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

CHC wins

NYM 1 · CHC 2 (by 1)

Model verdict

✓ Hit

Picked CHC +13pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team12345678910R
NYM00001000001
CHC00000000112

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

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MLBGame · Sun, Apr 19Final
NYM

NYM7-15

NYM

@

12-9CHC

CHC

CHC
SeriesCHC win series 3-0VegasCHC -143

Recap · MLB

hicago Cubs held off New York Mets, 2–1. It came down to the final possession.

NYM +1.5 cashed (CHC won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 8.0 by 5.0.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FINALFinal/10
NYM
NYM7-151
FINAL
CHC
CHCWIN12-92

Current series

CHC win series 3-0

Apr 17NYMNYM4@CHCCHC12
Apr 18NYMNYM2@CHCCHC4
Apr 19NYMNYM1@CHCCHC2today

Season series

CHC lead series 3-0

Apr 17NYMNYM4@CHCCHC12
Apr 18NYMNYM2@CHCCHC4
Apr 19NYMNYM1@CHCCHC2today
Jun 22CHCCHC@NYMNYMupcoming
Jun 23CHCCHC@NYMNYMupcoming
Jun 24CHCCHC@NYMNYMupcoming
Jun 25CHCCHC@NYMNYMupcoming

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CHC -1.5

Total

8.0

Defensive · -0.5 vs avg

Moneyline

NYMNYM+11946%
CHCCHC-14359%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CHC -1.5↗SpreadBet CHC -1.5↗

Line movement · 3 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

8.0

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowNYM ↔ CHC

Biggest swing: 48pp · Bottom 9th Inning

NYMNYM
M. Semien

M. Semien

2B

Batter of the game

2-for-3 · 1.333 OPS

D. Peterson

D. Peterson

SP

Top reliever

3.2 IP · 1 K · 0 ER · 3 H

CHCCHC
M. Shaw

M. Shaw

RF

Batter of the gamePerfect day

1-for-1 · 2.000 OPS

J. Assad

J. Assad

SP

Starting pitcher

5.2 IP · 3 K · 1 ER · 3 H

How it ended

CHC beat NYM 2-1. Conforto's play in the bottom 9th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (48pp).

Win probability

CHC vs NYM

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9I10

Score progression

0 lead changes

NYM1
CHC2

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
NYMTop 5th Inning · 1-0
+18pp→ 57% WP

Melendez · homered to right center (387 feet).

CHCBottom 9th Inning · 1-1
+48pp→ 70% WP

Conforto · doubled to right, Kingery scored.

CHCBottom 10th Inning · 1-2
+16pp→ 100% WP

Hoerner · hit sacrifice fly to right, Crow-Armstrong scored.

Linescore (innings)

Team12345678910R
NYM00001000001
CHC00000000112

Period scoring

NYM won 1 · CHC won 2

0
0

Inn 1

0
0

Inn 2

0
0

Inn 3

0
0

Inn 4

1
0

Inn 5

Melendez 1

0
0

Inn 6

0
0

Inn 7

0
0

Inn 8

0
1

Inn 9

Conforto 1

0
1

Inn 10

Hoerner 1

NYM
CHC

Game flow · key plays

  1. B10

    Hoerner hit sacrifice fly to right, Crow-Armstrong scored.

    NYM 1·CHC 2

    +16pp

  2. B9

    Conforto doubled to right, Kingery scored.

    NYM 1·CHC 1

    +48pp

  3. B9

    Suzuki struck out swinging.

    NYM 1·CHC 0

    −13pp

  4. B6

    Suzuki struck out swinging.

    NYM 1·CHC 0

    −12pp

  5. T6

    Torrens doubled to left.

    NYM 1·CHC 0

    −12pp

  6. T5

    Melendez homered to right center (387 feet).

    NYM 1·CHC 0

    −18pp

Team stats

NYM

Away

Stat

CHC

Home

6

Hits

7

0

Errors

0

1

Runs

2

Player box score

NYM

NYM

7-15

1
C. Benge

C. Benge★

LF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

B. Bichette

B. Bichette★

3B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

F. Lindor

F. Lindor★

SS

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

L. Robert Jr.

L. Robert Jr.★

CF

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

M. Melendez

M. Melendez★

LF

OPS

1.250

H-AB

1-4

R

1

RBI

1

HR

1

M. Vientos

M. Vientos★

1B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

B. Baty

B. Baty★

RF

OPS

1.000

H-AB

1-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

M. Semien

M. Semien★

2B

OPS

1.333

H-AB

2-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

L. Torrens

L. Torrens★

C

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

F. Alvarez

F. Alvarez

C

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-1

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

T. Taylor

T. Taylor

RF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

Team total

H-AB

6-35

R

1

RBI

1

HR

1

T. Myers

T. Myers★

RP

IP

2.0

H

1

ER

0

K

2

D. Peterson

D. Peterson

SP

IP

3.2

H

3

ER

0

K

1

H. Brazoban

H. Brazoban

RP

IP

0.1

H

0

ER

0

K

1

B. Raley

B. Raley

RP

IP

0.2

H

1

ER

0

K

0

L. Weaver

L. Weaver

RP

IP

1.1

H

0

ER

0

K

0

D. Williams

D. Williams

RP

IP

1.0

H

2

ER

1

K

3

C. Kimbrel

C. Kimbrel

RP

IP

0.2

H

0

ER

0

K

1

Team total

IP

9.2

H

7

ER

1

K

8

Betting line

CHC -1.5·O/U 8·NYM +119/CHC -143

DraftKings · via ESPN