WNBA game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+15DAL

DAL

1-0

9580

IND

1-1

WNBAThu, Apr 30FinalSeriesDAL leads series 1-0VegasIND -5.5

DAL · top performer

Maddy Siegrist

F · #20

14.9Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

IND · top performer

Caitlin Clark

G · #22

18.2Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowDAL ↔ IND

Biggest swing: 7pp · 1st Quarter · 1:55

WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
A. SmithF · #8	19	5	1-2	1-1	2-2	+10	4	5
M. SiegristF · #20	29	18	7-13	2-5	2-2	+12	11	0
O. SimsG · #1	15	9	4-4	—	1-2	+18	3	4
P. BueckersG · #5	20	20	8-12	4-6	—	+15	2	3
A. FuddG · #35	16	4	2-7	0-2	—	-3	0	1
Bench
A. ClarkF · #7	7	0	—	—	—	+5	3	1
A. OkonkwoF · #0	10	0	0-2	0-1	—	-6	2	0
D. Fankam MendjiadeuF · #12	12	8	4-7	—	—	+6	3	1
L. YueruC · #28	12	8	3-5	0-1	2-3	-2	8	2
L. AllenG · #15	14	3	1-2	—	1-1	-5	0	2
G. BergerG · #9	14	3	1-3	1-2	—	+6	2	3
A. JamesG · #10	31	17	5-13	0-5	7-7	+19	7	3
Team		95	36-70	8-23	15-17		45	25

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
M. Hines-AllenF · #2	17	7	2-3	0-1	3-4	-8	7	1
M. BillingsF · #25	22	2	1-5	0-1	—	-11	3	0
K. MitchellG · #0	17	10	4-12	0-4	2-2	-18	0	0
S. CunninghamG · #8	14	1	—	—	1-3	-16	1	0
C. ClarkG · #22	16	21	4-6	2-3	11-13	-7	2	4
Bench
M. TimpsonF · #21	23	11	3-4	—	5-7	-6	2	0
D. DantasC · #12	18	7	2-11	0-8	3-4	-5	5	1
S. Walker-KimbroughG · #32	20	7	3-7	—	1-4	-1	2	4
K. TraylorG · #4	11	8	3-5	2-3	—	+8	0	0
M. McConnellG · #16	9	0	0-1	—	—	-3	2	0
R. JohnsonG · #3	21	3	1-3	0-1	1-3	-2	1	5
J. TimmonsG · #23	11	3	1-3	0-2	1-2	-6	1	0
Team		80	24-60	4-23	28-42		26	15

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

DAL

Away

Stat

IND

Home

36-70

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

24-60

FG %

8-23

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

4-23

15-17

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

28-42

Assists

Turnovers

Season series

DAL leads series 1-0

May 9

DAL107@

IND104

Aug 14

DAL@

INDupcoming

Aug 21

IND@

DALupcoming

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

IND -5.5

Half-pt above key 5

Total

173.5

High-scoring · +8.5 vs avg

Moneyline

DAL+19534%

IND-23870%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet IND -5.5↗SpreadBet IND -5.5↗

Line movement · 78 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

5.5

0.0 since open

Total

173.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

DAL beat IND 95-80. M. Siegrist led with 18 PTS, 11 REB, 0 AST. DAL outscored the other side 36-17 in the 2nd quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

IND vs DAL

Starters vs bench

production by unit

DALstarters 59% of pts

Starters(5)

56 PTS · 20 REB · 13 AST

GS 44

Bench(7)

39 PTS · 25 REB · 12 AST

GS 28

INDstarters 51% of pts

Starters(5)

41 PTS · 13 REB · 5 AST

GS 22

Bench(7)

39 PTS · 13 REB · 10 AST

GS 27

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact

IND1st Quarter · 7:47 · 5-6

+6pp→ 52% WP

Caitlin Clark · makes 24-foot three point jumper (Myisha Hines-Allen assists)

IND1st Quarter · 1:55 · 18-20

+7pp→ 62% WP

Lindsay Allen · shooting foul

DAL1st Quarter · 38.6 · 25-26

+6pp→ 46% WP

Maddy Siegrist · makes 24-foot three point jumper

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
DAL	25	36	17	17	95
IND	29	17	20	14	80

Period scoring

DAL won 2 · IND won 2

Siegrist 9

Clark 14

Bueckers 12

Clark 5

Siegrist 4

Mitchell 4

James 6

Traylor 6

DAL

IND

Shooting comparison

DAL

IND

51%

36-70

40%

24-60

35%

8-23

3PT

17%

4-23

88%

15-17

67%

28-42

Play-by-play · 451 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
DAL 95·IND 80
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
DAL 95·IND 80
Q4·20.5
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough makes 15-foot pullup jump shot
DAL 95·IND 80
Q4·37.8
Dulcy Fankam Mendjiadeu makes 3-foot layup (Aziaha James assists)
·
DAL 95·IND 78
Q4·48.6
Aziaha James defensive rebound
DAL 93·IND 78
Q4·52.0
Damiris Dantas misses 26-foot three point jumper
DAL 93·IND 78
Q4·57.0
Amy Okonkwo lost ball turnover (Makayla Timpson steals)
·
DAL 93·IND 78
Q4·57.5
Amy Okonkwo defensive rebound
DAL 93·IND 78
Q4·1:00
Damiris Dantas misses 27-foot three point jumper
DAL 93·IND 78
Q4·1:12
Maddy Siegrist makes driving layup (Grace Berger assists)
·
DAL 93·IND 78
Q4·1:27
Damiris Dantas makes 14-foot two point shot (Shatori Walker-Kimbrough assists)
·
DAL 91·IND 78
Q4·1:38
Damiris Dantas defensive rebound
DAL 91·IND 76
Q4·1:42
Dulcy Fankam Mendjiadeu misses 19-foot jumper
DAL 91·IND 76
Q4·1:52
Dulcy Fankam Mendjiadeu offensive rebound
DAL 91·IND 76
Q4·1:55
Amy Okonkwo misses 25-foot three point jumper
DAL 91·IND 76
Q4·1:57
Damiris Dantas lost ball turnover (Aziaha James steals)
·
DAL 91·IND 76
Q4·1:58
Damiris Dantas defensive rebound
DAL 91·IND 76
Q4·2:03
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough blocks Aziaha James 's 3-foot layup
·
DAL 91·IND 76
Q4·2:10
Aziaha James defensive rebound
DAL 91·IND 76
Q4·2:13
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough misses 17-foot pullup jump shot
DAL 91·IND 76
Q4·2:29
Dulcy Fankam Mendjiadeu personal foul
DAL 91·IND 76
Q4·2:36
Aziaha James out of bounds bad pass turnover
DAL 91·IND 76
Q4·2:41
Megan McConnell lost ball turnover (Maddy Siegrist steals)
·
DAL 91·IND 76
Q4·2:41
Maddy Siegrist vs. Megan McConnell (Grace Berger gains possession)
· ·
DAL 91·IND 76
Q4·2:43
Amy Okonkwo enters the game for Lindsay Allen
·
DAL 91·IND 76
Q4·2:43
Jessica Timmons enters the game for Kayana Traylor
·
DAL 91·IND 76
Q4·2:44
Megan McConnell offensive rebound
DAL 91·IND 76
Q4·2:47
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough misses 16-foot pullup jump shot
DAL 91·IND 76
Q4·3:01
Dulcy Fankam Mendjiadeu makes running layup (Lindsay Allen assists)
·
DAL 91·IND 76
Q4·3:08
Maddy Siegrist defensive rebound
DAL 89·IND 76

Betting line

IND -5.5·O/U 173.5·DAL +195/IND -238

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · WNBA

allas Wings went into Indiana Fever and beat them, 95–80.

DAL +5.5 cashed (IND lost outright). Total cleared the 173.5 OVER by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Four factors · this game

Who won the possession battle

Dean Oliver’s four factors from this game’s box score — shooting, turnovers, offensive rebounding, free throws.

DAL

IND

eFG%

shooting

57.1%

43.3%

TOV%

ball control

22.1%

17.8%

OREB%

offensive glass

36.4%

13.2%

FT rate

free throws / FGA

21.4%

46.7%

WNBA · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 14 players in cohort

Caitlin ClarkIND · G
USG%.30497
Paige BueckersDAL · G
AST/TO2.893
Sophie CunninghamIND · G
eFG%.59688
Kelsey MitchellIND · G
USG%.26287
Azzi FuddDAL · G
eFG%.58680

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

48.2%

ensemble · DAL favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(IND win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(IND win)
32%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(IND win)
35%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

IND vs DAL.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

125

projections · 20 high confidence

Points

Caitlin ClarkIND
20.4± 9.1medium
Kelsey MitchellIND
20.4± 4.2high
Paige BueckersDAL
19.4± 7.9medium

Rebounds

Jessica ShepardDAL
11.4± 4.6medium
Aliyah BostonIND
8.9± 2.0medium
Monique BillingsIND
4.8± 3.8medium

Assists

Caitlin ClarkIND
7.8± 3.1medium
Paige BueckersDAL
6.3± 4.0medium
Jessica ShepardDAL
5.3± 3.5medium

Blocks

Aliyah BostonIND
1.5± 1.4medium
Awak KuierDAL
1.2± 1.1low
Azzi FuddDAL
1.1± 1.6medium

Steals

Azzi FuddDAL
1.7± 1.8medium
Aziaha JamesDAL
1.3± 1.3medium
Arike OgunbowaleDAL
1.0± 1.2medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

wehoop

DAL

league avg

IND

45.7%

FG%

44.7

▶

46.4%

34.4%

3PT %

33.5

▶

34.8%

87.9

PPG

85.9

▶

92.4

22.7

Assists / G

◀

18.0

20.9

10.5

Turnovers / G

◀

13.0

15.5

Data via ESPN · wehoop