WNBA game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+2GS

SEA

0-1

7678

1-0

WNBASat, Apr 25FinalSeriesGS leads series 2-0

SEA · top performer

Flau'jae Johnson

G · #4

8.4Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

GS · top performer

Veronica Burton

G · #22

11.7Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
S. DolsonC · #31	18	0	0-3	0-1	—	-8	2	0
D. MalongaC · #14	21	10	3-10	1-3	3-6	-13	5	1
L. BrownG · #8	25	9	3-6	2-3	1-2	-12	3	0
F. JohnsonG · #4	23	12	5-10	1-2	1-1	-8	4	0
J. MelbourneG · #5	18	9	4-6	1-1	—	-11	0	2
Bench
M. HolmesF · #54	13	3	1-2	1-1	—	+3	3	0
G. VanSlootenF · #40	22	3	0-2	—	3-4	+9	3	1
Jae. BrownG · #18	12	8	2-5	1-1	3-4	+10	2	1
R. DavisG · #0	6	7	3-5	—	1-1	+5	4	0
Z. CookeG · #7	20	12	3-9	0-2	6-6	-3	2	3
E. LadineG · #24	6	1	0-2	0-1	1-2	+3	0	0
T. MairG · #22	17	2	1-4	0-3	—	+15	2	4
Team		76	25-64	7-18	19-26		30	12
DNP: B. Mompremier, K. Samuelson, E. Magbegor, J. Horston, A. Fam, N. Hiedeman, Jal. Brown

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
K. ThorntonF · #5	15	7	3-8	1-5	—	-4	1	0
K. StokesC · #41	10	0	0-1	0-1	—	-6	5	0
T. HayesG · #15	10	5	2-4	1-2	—	-7	0	1
K. MartinG · #20	23	8	2-6	2-5	2-4	0	7	2
V. BurtonG · #22	14	14	4-7	4-7	2-2	-1	1	3
Bench
C. ReeseF · #35	11	2	0-1	—	2-2	+4	2	0
L. AmihereF · #3	15	3	1-5	0-1	1-4	+4	4	1
M. SuarezF · #77	14	5	2-5	1-3	—	+2	3	1
M. FasoulaC · #34	6	5	2-3	1-1	—	-3	1	0
M. SowahG · #7	14	14	5-6	4-4	—	+1	2	1
C. DucharmeG · #33	7	3	1-2	1-1	—	+5	1	1
K. ChenG · #2	29	11	5-9	0-1	1-2	+7	2	3
N. MwenentandaG · #32	7	0	0-1	0-1	—	-6	1	1
A. JacksonG · #9	26	1	0-1	0-1	1-2	+14	5	2
K. TanakaG · #0	--	0	—	—	—	0	0	0
Team		78	27-59	15-33	9-16		35	16
DNP: G. Williams, C. Zandalasini, J. Salaun, I. Rupert, K. Charles, J. Jocyte

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

SEA

Away

Stat

Home

25-64

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

27-59

FG %

7-18

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

15-33

19-26

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

9-16

Assists

Turnovers

Season series

GS leads series 2-0

May 9

GS91@

SEA80

Jun 13

GS76@

SEA72

Sep 20

SEA@

GSupcoming

How it ended

GS beat SEA 78-76. V. Burton led with 14 PTS, 1 REB, 3 AST. SEA outscored the other side 24-12 in the 2nd quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Starters vs bench

production by unit

SEAstarters 53% of pts

Starters(5)

40 PTS · 14 REB · 3 AST

GS 19

Bench(7)

36 PTS · 16 REB · 9 AST

GS 25

GSstarters 44% of pts

Starters(5)

34 PTS · 14 REB · 6 AST

GS 24

Bench(10)

44 PTS · 21 REB · 10 AST

GS 30

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
SEA	18	24	14	20	76
GS	21	12	21	24	78

Period scoring

SEA won 1 · GS won 3

SEA

Shooting comparison

SEA

39%

25-64

46%

27-59

39%

7-18

3PT

45%

15-33

73%

19-26

56%

9-16

Play-by-play · 408 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
SEA 76·GS 78
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
SEA 76·GS 78
Q4·0.1
Grace VanSlooten vs. Mariella Fasoula (Taina Mair gains possession)
· ·
SEA 76·GS 78
Q4·4.9
Grace VanSlooten offensive rebound
SEA 76·GS 78
Q4·4.9
Elle Ladine misses free throw 2 of 2
SEA 76·GS 78
Q4·4.9
Cate Reese enters the game for Miela Sowah
·
SEA 76·GS 78
Q4·4.9
Elle Ladine makes free throw 1 of 2
SEA 76·GS 78
Q4·4.9
Kaitlyn Chen personal foul
SEA 75·GS 78
Q4·7.7
Taina Mair offensive rebound
SEA 75·GS 78
Q4·12.1
Elle Ladine misses 25-foot three point jumper
SEA 75·GS 78
Q4·15.2
Storm Full timeout
SEA 75·GS 78
Q4·15.2
Ashlon Jackson makes free throw 2 of 2
SEA 75·GS 78
Q4·15.2
Golden State Valkyries offensive team rebound
SEA 75·GS 77
Q4·15.2
Ashlon Jackson misses free throw 1 of 2
SEA 75·GS 77
Q4·15.2
Elle Ladine personal foul
SEA 75·GS 77
Q4·16.0
Golden State Valkyries Full timeout
SEA 75·GS 77
Q4·16.0
Taina Mair personal foul
SEA 75·GS 77
Q4·18.2
Golden State Valkyries Full timeout
SEA 75·GS 77
Q4·18.9
Ndjakalenga Mwenentanda defensive rebound
SEA 75·GS 77
Q4·23.1
Jaelyn Brown misses 12-foot two point shot
· ·
SEA 75·GS 77
Q4·32.0
Storm Full timeout
SEA 75·GS 77
Q4·32.0
Mariella Fasoula makes layup (Miela Sowah assists)
·
SEA 75·GS 77
Q4·33.9
Miela Sowah offensive rebound
SEA 75·GS 75
Q4·37.0
Ndjakalenga Mwenentanda misses 22-foot three point jumper
SEA 75·GS 75
Q4·54.6
Rennia Davis offensive foul turnover
SEA 75·GS 75
Q4·54.6
Rennia Davis offensive charge
SEA 75·GS 75
Q4·58.9
Rennia Davis defensive rebound
SEA 75·GS 75
Q4·1:03
Mariella Fasoula misses layup
SEA 75·GS 75
Q4·1:19
Jaelyn Brown makes 15-foot jumper
· ·
SEA 75·GS 75
Q4·1:27
Rennia Davis offensive rebound
SEA 73·GS 75

Recap · WNBA

olden State Valkyries held off Seattle Storm, 78–76. Decided by 2.

ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Four factors · this game

Who won the possession battle

Dean Oliver’s four factors from this game’s box score — shooting, turnovers, offensive rebounding, free throws.

SEA

eFG%

shooting

44.5%

58.5%

TOV%

ball control

15.7%

21.4%

OREB%

offensive glass

32.4%

35.7%

FT rate

free throws / FGA

29.7%

15.3%

WNBA · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 14 players in cohort

Kiah StokesGS · C
AST/TO3.899+
Veronica BurtonGS · G
AST/TO3.797
Stefanie DolsonSEA · C
TS%.64588
Flau'jae JohnsonSEA · G
USG%.25283
Kayla ThorntonGS · F
ORB%.07379

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

48.2%

ensemble · SEA favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(GS win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(GS win)
32%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(GS win)
35%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

GS vs SEA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

115

projections · 15 high confidence

Points

Dominique MalongaSEA
16.8± 13.5low
Gabby WilliamsGS
16.6± 8.7medium
Natisha HiedemanSEA
16.5± 4.8medium

Rebounds

Dominique MalongaSEA
7.1± 4.2low
Kayla ThorntonGS
5.6± 3.1medium
Awa FamSEA
5.6± 2.5low

Assists

Veronica BurtonGS
5.1± 3.0medium
Natisha HiedemanSEA
5.1± 2.7medium
Flau'jae JohnsonSEA
3.1± 3.1high

Blocks

Kiah StokesGS
1.3± 1.3medium
Dominique MalongaSEA
1.2± 1.7low
Awa FamSEA
0.8± 1.5low

Steals

Gabby WilliamsGS
1.5± 0.6medium
Jordan HorstonSEA
1.3± 1.7medium
Natisha HiedemanSEA
1.2± 1.3medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

wehoop

SEA

league avg

41.2%

FG%

◀

44.6

40.2%

33.1%

3PT %

33.3

▶

34.9%

78.2

PPG

85.9

▶

83.1

18.8

Assists / G

◀

18.0

17.9

13.8

Turnovers / G

13.0

▶

10.3

Data via ESPN · wehoop