WNBA game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+11MIN

MIN

1-0

7766

WSH

0-1

WNBASat, Apr 25FinalSeriesWSH leads series 1-0

MIN · top performer

Saylor Poffenbarger

G · #9

13.1Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

WSH · top performer

Lauren Betts

C · #51

11.8Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
N. CoffeyF · #12	13	5	1-5	1-2	2-2	-2	4	1
R. KyleC · #28	13	5	1-1	—	3-3	+14	4	2
C. WilliamsG · #10	12	4	2-6	0-2	—	-2	2	3
R. RichardsonG · #4	11	3	1-2	1-1	—	-2	0	0
O. MilesG · #5	17	8	3-5	1-2	1-1	+2	3	2
Bench
A. GriffinF · #44	15	6	2-4	—	2-2	+8	2	0
L. KingF · #2	18	6	3-8	0-2	—	+6	4	1
A. DelaereF · #8	18	5	2-4	1-3	—	+17	3	2
J. MasogayoF · #15	8	6	3-4	—	—	-6	0	0
S. WalkerC · #35	13	4	2-4	—	—	+2	2	1
J. SherrodG · #00	14	9	4-5	—	1-2	+13	0	2
S. PoffenbargerG · #9	26	9	3-6	1-4	2-2	+11	13	1
A. BattleG · #20	1	0	0-1	—	0-2	-3	1	0
L. WhiteG · #3	8	1	0-3	0-2	1-2	-6	0	0
E. HamzovaG · #11	13	6	0-5	—	6-10	+3	1	2
Team		77	27-63	5-18	18-26		39	17
DNP: N. Howard, N. Collier, D. Juhasz, A. Kosu, E. Cechova, K. McBride

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
A. DugalicF · #32	20	2	0-7	0-2	2-2	-15	5	0
L. BettsC · #51	23	13	2-7	—	9-10	-9	5	1
S. CitronG · #22	20	12	4-11	2-6	2-3	-10	3	2
C. McMahonG · #23	23	11	4-10	1-4	2-5	-11	3	2
G. AmooreG · #8	13	3	1-4	1-3	—	-11	1	2
Bench
N. HarrisF · #2	11	4	2-2	—	—	+1	2	0
C. IwualaF · #7	7	3	1-4	—	1-2	+2	3	0
K. McDanielG · #9	8	1	0-2	0-1	1-4	+4	1	1
M. ScottG · #24	7	0	0-2	—	—	-1	1	0
R. HarmonG · #3	16	1	0-2	—	1-4	-1	1	1
L. OlsenG · #33	22	2	1-4	0-2	—	-1	4	2
D. Littlepage-BuggsG · #5	10	5	1-3	0-1	3-4	-2	3	0
C. ProsperG · #18	20	9	2-7	1-1	4-6	-1	5	2
Team		66	18-65	5-20	25-40		37	13
DNP: M. Hollingshed, M. Onyenwere, K. Iriafen, S. Austin, A. Wilson

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

MIN

Away

Stat

WSH

Home

27-63

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

18-65

FG %

5-18

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

5-20

18-26

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

25-40

Assists

Turnovers

Season series

WSH leads series 1-0

Jun 21

WSH84@

MIN79

Jun 24

MIN@

WSHupcoming

Aug 21

MIN@

WSHupcoming

How it ended

MIN beat WSH 77-66. S. Poffenbarger led with 9 PTS, 13 REB, 1 AST. MIN outscored the other side 26-7 in the 3rd quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Starters vs bench

production by unit

MINstarters 32% of pts

Starters(5)

25 PTS · 13 REB · 8 AST

GS 17

Bench(10)

52 PTS · 26 REB · 9 AST

GS 33

WSHstarters 62% of pts

Starters(5)

41 PTS · 17 REB · 7 AST

GS 25

Bench(8)

25 PTS · 20 REB · 6 AST

GS 14

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
MIN	12	24	26	15	77
WSH	21	19	7	19	66

Period scoring

MIN won 2 · WSH won 2

MIN

WSH

Shooting comparison

MIN

WSH

43%

27-63

28%

18-65

28%

5-18

3PT

25%

5-20

69%

18-26

63%

25-40

Play-by-play · 477 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
MIN 77·WSH 66
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
MIN 77·WSH 66
Q4·0.4
shot clock turnover
MIN 77·WSH 66
Q4·24.5
Eliska Hamzova enters the game for Jaylyn Sherrod
·
MIN 77·WSH 66
Q4·24.5
Lynx defensive team rebound
MIN 77·WSH 66
Q4·24.5
Christeen Iwuala misses layup
MIN 77·WSH 66
Q4·35.3
Christeen Iwuala defensive rebound
MIN 77·WSH 66
Q4·37.1
Lani White misses driving floating jump shot
MIN 77·WSH 66
Q4·1:01
Christeen Iwuala makes 2-foot floating jump shot (Kamaria McDaniel assists)
·
MIN 77·WSH 66
Q4·1:13
Jaylyn Sherrod makes driving layup (Sakima Walker assists)
·
MIN 77·WSH 64
Q4·1:26
Nyla Harris makes two point shot
MIN 75·WSH 64
Q4·1:26
Nyla Harris offensive rebound
MIN 75·WSH 62
Q4·1:28
Christeen Iwuala misses free throw 2 of 2
MIN 75·WSH 62
Q4·1:28
Christeen Iwuala makes free throw 1 of 2
MIN 75·WSH 62
Q4·1:28
Sakima Walker shooting foul
MIN 75·WSH 61
Q4·1:38
Jaylyn Sherrod makes running layup
MIN 75·WSH 61
Q4·1:40
Darianna Littlepage-Buggs bad pass turnover (Jaylyn Sherrod steals)
·
MIN 73·WSH 61
Q4·1:55
Lani White makes free throw 2 of 2
MIN 73·WSH 61
Q4·1:55
Lynx offensive team rebound
MIN 72·WSH 61
Q4·1:55
Lani White misses free throw 1 of 2
MIN 72·WSH 61
Q4·1:55
Nyla Harris shooting foul
MIN 72·WSH 61
Q4·2:03
Christeen Iwuala personal foul
MIN 72·WSH 61
Q4·2:17
Saylor Poffenbarger defensive rebound
MIN 72·WSH 61
Q4·2:20
Kamaria McDaniel misses 21-foot pullup jump shot
MIN 72·WSH 61
Q4·2:26
Nyla Harris offensive rebound
MIN 72·WSH 61
Q4·2:30
Kamaria McDaniel misses free throw 2 of 2
MIN 72·WSH 61
Q4·2:30
Mystics offensive team rebound
MIN 72·WSH 61
Q4·2:30
Kamaria McDaniel misses free throw 1 of 2
MIN 72·WSH 61
Q4·2:30
Jaylyn Sherrod shooting foul
MIN 72·WSH 61
Q4·2:38
Jaylyn Sherrod makes driving layup
MIN 72·WSH 61

Recap · WNBA

innesota Lynx went into Washington Mystics and beat them, 77–66.

ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Four factors · this game

Who won the possession battle

Dean Oliver’s four factors from this game’s box score — shooting, turnovers, offensive rebounding, free throws.

MIN

WSH

eFG%

shooting

46.8%

31.5%

TOV%

ball control

22.0%

14.5%

OREB%

offensive glass

24.2%

27.9%

FT rate

free throws / FGA

28.6%

38.5%

WNBA · Tonight’s standouts

4 of 11 players in cohort

Nia CoffeyMIN · F
eFG%.60991
Olivia MilesMIN · G
TS%.65191
Courtney WilliamsMIN · G
AST/TO2.286
Sonia CitronWSH · G
TS%.63984

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

48.2%

ensemble · MIN favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WSH win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WSH win)
32%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WSH win)
35%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

WSH vs MIN.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

115

projections · 20 high confidence

Points

Olivia MilesMIN
19.4± 7.6high
Natasha HowardMIN
16.7± 6.3medium
Sonia CitronWSH
16.6± 6.2medium

Rebounds

Shakira AustinWSH
8.1± 3.7low
Kiki IriafenWSH
7.7± 4.9low
Natasha HowardMIN
6.9± 2.5medium

Assists

Olivia MilesMIN
5.4± 2.3high
Courtney WilliamsMIN
4.0± 1.6high
Sonia CitronWSH
4.0± 2.7medium

Blocks

Nia CoffeyMIN
1.6± 1.3high
Shakira AustinWSH
1.2± 1.2low
Liatu KingMIN
0.8± 1.6low

Steals

Natasha HowardMIN
2.2± 2.0medium
Kayla McBrideMIN
1.5± 1.2medium
Sonia CitronWSH
1.4± 1.6medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

wehoop

MIN

league avg

WSH

50.1%

FG%

◀

44.6

45.1%

38.8%

3PT %

◀

33.3

30.7%

91.5

PPG

◀

85.9

81.6

21.6

Assists / G

◀

18.0

18.6

13.9

Turnovers / G

◀

13.0

15.9

Data via ESPN · wehoop