WNBA game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+4PHX

CHI

0-1

104108

PHX

1-0

WNBASat, Apr 25FinalSeriesPHX leads series 1-0

CHI · top performer

Hailey Van Lith

G · #2

20.2Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

PHX · top performer

Kahleah Copper

G · #2

13.5Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
R. JacksonF · #5	21	15	3-8	0-1	9-9	-4	3	2
K. CardosoC · #10	17	10	3-4	—	4-7	-13	4	1
S. DigginsG · #4	14	7	2-5	0-2	3-6	-5	1	4
J. SheldonG · #0	17	3	1-5	0-2	1-1	+2	1	2
A. CoulibalyG · #35	15	7	1-3	—	5-5	-2	1	0
Bench
L. LattimoreF · #8	11	4	1-1	1-1	1-2	+8	0	0
M. NestorF · #20	10	4	1-3	—	2-2	+6	3	0
S. CooksC · #13	10	2	1-2	0-1	—	0	1	0
R. BanhamG · #24	16	12	3-4	3-4	3-4	-4	0	1
H. Van LithG · #2	17	20	8-8	1-1	3-4	-7	1	3
T. MorganG · #6	10	2	1-2	—	—	0	2	0
S. TaylorG · #12	11	6	2-5	1-2	1-2	-1	2	5
G. JaquezG · #11	19	12	3-8	0-2	6-6	-4	3	0
J. HobbsG · #26	12	0	0-1	—	—	+4	3	0
Team		104	30-59	6-16	38-48		25	18

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
D. BonnerF · #24	12	6	2-6	0-2	2-2	+10	3	0
A. ThomasF · #25	14	4	0-1	—	4-4	+10	3	8
N. MackF · #4	13	5	2-4	—	1-2	+9	6	0
S. WhitcombG · #33	13	3	1-2	1-1	—	+9	3	2
K. CopperG · #2	13	19	7-12	4-6	1-2	+11	1	0
Bench
J. AlleyneF · #28	11	8	3-3	—	2-2	+4	2	3
A. PrechtelF · #10	16	9	2-5	2-5	3-6	-9	5	1
M. DooganF · #44	8	2	—	—	2-2	+1	0	0
A. SheppardG · #17	6	3	1-2	0-1	1-1	-8	1	0
K. WilliamsG · #23	23	16	5-12	4-9	2-3	+2	1	1
L. JensenG · #15	16	6	1-4	0-2	4-4	-9	1	3
M. MalyG · #30	17	2	0-3	0-2	2-2	0	1	1
S. CiezkiG · #5	8	2	1-2	0-1	—	-4	0	4
K. DunnG · #12	12	13	4-4	3-3	2-2	+1	3	1
Q. CarterG · #20	19	10	2-3	1-2	5-6	-7	3	0
Team		108	31-63	15-34	31-38		33	24
DNP: J. Nared, Y. Garzon

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

CHI

Away

Stat

PHX

Home

30-59

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

31-63

FG %

6-16

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

15-34

38-48

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

31-38

Assists

Turnovers

Season series

PHX leads series 1-0

May 16

CHI83@

PHX91

Jul 8

CHI@

PHXupcoming

Aug 4

PHX@

CHIupcoming

How it ended

PHX beat CHI 108-104. K. Copper led with 19 PTS, 1 REB, 0 AST.

Last play

End of Game

Starters vs bench

production by unit

CHIstarters 40% of pts

Starters(5)

42 PTS · 10 REB · 9 AST

GS 25

Bench(9)

62 PTS · 15 REB · 9 AST

GS 51

PHXstarters 34% of pts

Starters(5)

37 PTS · 16 REB · 10 AST

GS 31

Bench(10)

71 PTS · 17 REB · 14 AST

GS 54

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
CHI	22	27	28	27	104
PHX	29	25	27	27	108

Period scoring

CHI won 2 · PHX won 1

CHI

PHX

Shooting comparison

CHI

PHX

51%

30-59

49%

31-63

38%

6-16

3PT

44%

15-34

79%

38-48

82%

31-38

Play-by-play · 464 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
CHI 104·PHX 108
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
CHI 104·PHX 108
Q4·1.6
Tonie Morgan makes layup
CHI 104·PHX 108
Q4·8.0
Morgan Maly makes free throw 2 of 2
·
CHI 102·PHX 108
Q4·8.0
Morgan Maly makes free throw 1 of 2
·
CHI 102·PHX 107
Q4·8.0
Gabriela Jaquez personal foul
CHI 102·PHX 106
Q4·8.1
Kiana Williams enters the game for Jillian Alleyne
·
CHI 102·PHX 106
Q4·8.1
Mercury Full timeout
CHI 102·PHX 106
Q4·8.1
Gabriela Jaquez makes free throw 2 of 2
CHI 102·PHX 106
Q4·8.1
Gabriela Jaquez makes free throw 1 of 2
CHI 101·PHX 106
Q4·8.1
Morgan Maly personal foul
·
CHI 100·PHX 106
Q4·12.5
Sky timeout
CHI 100·PHX 106
Q4·12.5
Megan Nestor defensive rebound
CHI 100·PHX 106
Q4·13.2
Quionche Carter misses free throw 2 of 2
CHI 100·PHX 106
Q4·13.2
Quionche Carter makes free throw 1 of 2
CHI 100·PHX 106
Q4·13.2
Megan Nestor personal foul
CHI 100·PHX 105
Q4·17.1
Mercury timeout
CHI 100·PHX 105
Q4·17.1
Mercury Full timeout
CHI 100·PHX 105
Q4·17.1
Kara Dunn defensive rebound
CHI 100·PHX 105
Q4·22.5
Megan Nestor misses 16-foot jumper
CHI 100·PHX 105
Q4·25.3
Megan Nestor offensive rebound
CHI 100·PHX 105
Q4·29.2
Gabriela Jaquez misses 7-foot jumper
CHI 100·PHX 105
Q4·32.0
Morgan Maly enters the game for Kiana Williams
· ·
CHI 100·PHX 105
Q4·32.0
Sky Full timeout
CHI 100·PHX 105
Q4·32.0
Tonie Morgan defensive rebound
CHI 100·PHX 105
Q4·32.6
Kiana Williams misses free throw 2 of 2
CHI 100·PHX 105
Q4·32.6
Kiana Williams makes free throw 1 of 2
CHI 100·PHX 105
Q4·32.6
Jordan Hobbs shooting foul
CHI 100·PHX 104
Q4·48.9
Jillian Alleyne defensive rebound
CHI 100·PHX 104
Q4·54.2
Jillian Alleyne blocks Gabriela Jaquez 's 7-foot layup
·
CHI 100·PHX 104

Recap · WNBA

hoenix Mercury held off Chicago Sky, 108–104. Decided by 4.

ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Four factors · this game

Who won the possession battle

Dean Oliver’s four factors from this game’s box score — shooting, turnovers, offensive rebounding, free throws.

CHI

PHX

eFG%

shooting

55.9%

61.1%

TOV%

ball control

14.9%

16.7%

OREB%

offensive glass

20.0%

32.1%

FT rate

free throws / FGA

64.4%

49.2%

WNBA · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 10 players in cohort

Natasha MackPHX · F
TS%.70899+
Kahleah CopperPHX · G
USG%.30599
Skylar DigginsCHI · G
AST/TO2.792
Kamilla CardosoCHI · C
ORB%.10789
Alyssa ThomasPHX · F
AST/TO2.389

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

48.2%

ensemble · CHI favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHX win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHX win)
32%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHX win)
35%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

PHX vs CHI.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

115

projections · 10 high confidence

Points

Kahleah CopperPHX
19.3± 10.1medium
Rickea JacksonCHI
16.0± 11.0low
Skylar DigginsCHI
14.9± 7.8medium

Rebounds

Natasha MackPHX
8.3± 3.0high
Kamilla CardosoCHI
8.1± 4.9medium
Azura StevensCHI
6.1± 5.3low

Assists

Alyssa ThomasPHX
8.6± 2.6medium
Skylar DigginsCHI
4.3± 3.1medium
Natasha CloudCHI
4.1± 2.8medium

Blocks

Kamilla CardosoCHI
1.9± 2.1medium
Elizabeth WilliamsCHI
1.2± 1.1medium
Rickea JacksonCHI
1.2± 1.6low

Steals

Monique Akoa MakaniPHX
1.6± 1.0low
Alyssa ThomasPHX
1.4± 1.3medium
Aicha CoulibalyCHI
1.1± 1.2low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

wehoop

CHI

league avg

PHX

41.4%

FG%

44.6

▶

42.3%

30.2%

3PT %

33.3

▶

30.6%

82.4

PPG

85.9

82.4

18.9

Assists / G

18.0

▶

19.3

12.7

Turnovers / G

◀

13.0

13.1

Data via ESPN · wehoop