NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+3COL

16-13-9

COL

29-2-7

Historical comparables

No comparable NHL games in the historical pool yet.

NHLMon, Dec 29FinalSeriesCOL leads series 2-0VegasCOL -225

Recap · NHL

olorado Avalanche held off Los Angeles Kings, 5–2.

COL -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

LA · top performer

Joel Armia

RW · #40

1Points

—

SOG

COL · top performer

Nathan MacKinnon

C · #29

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

LA16-13-9

COL29-2-7

LA16-13-9COL29-2-7

16-13-9

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

COL

29-2-7

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Playoff series

Apr 19

LA1@

COL2

Apr 22

LA1@

COL2

Apr 24

COL4@

LA2

Apr 26

COL5@

LA1

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

COL -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

LA+18535%

COL-22569%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet COL -1.5↗SpreadBet COL -1.5↗

Line movement · 9 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

COL beat LA 5-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
LA	0	1	1	2
COL	1	2	2	5

Period scoring

LA won 0 · COL won 3

COL

Play-by-play · 308 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
LA 2·COL 5
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
LA 2·COL 5
3rd·19:44
Samuel Helenius hit Jack Drury
·
LA 2·COL 5
3rd·19:15
Jack Drury faceoff won against Samuel Helenius
·
LA 2·COL 5
3rd·19:15
Cale Makar Goal (12) Snap Shot, assists: Valeri Nichushkin (15), Brock Nelson (13)
· ·
LA 2·COL 5
3rd·19:13
Valeri Nichushkin Snap Shot saved by Anton Forsberg
·
LA 2·COL 4
3rd·19:12
Joel Armia hit Artturi Lehkonen
·
LA 2·COL 4
3rd·18:43
Brock Nelson faceoff won against Alex Turcotte
·
LA 2·COL 4
3rd·18:43
Off-side
LA 2·COL 4
3rd·18:23
Nathan MacKinnon faceoff won against Alex Turcotte
·
LA 2·COL 4
3rd·18:23
Nathan MacKinnon Goal (32) Wrist Shot, assists: Artturi Lehkonen (17)
·
LA 2·COL 4
3rd·18:13
Quinton Byfield Wrist Shot saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
·
LA 2·COL 3
3rd·17:48
Quinton Byfield Tip-In Wide Left
·
LA 2·COL 3
3rd·17:34
Anze Kopitar faceoff won against Brock Nelson
·
LA 2·COL 3
3rd·17:34
Icing
LA 2·COL 3
3rd·16:43
Ross Colton Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
LA 2·COL 3
3rd·16:41
Victor Olofsson Wrist Shot saved by Anton Forsberg
·
LA 2·COL 3
3rd·15:58
Quinton Byfield Tip-In saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
·
LA 2·COL 3
3rd·15:42
Cale Makar hit Alex Laferriere
·
LA 2·COL 3
3rd·15:23
Alex Laferriere hit Cale Makar
·
LA 2·COL 3
3rd·15:20
Valeri Nichushkin shot blocked by Adrian Kempe
·
LA 2·COL 3
3rd·14:37
Josh Manson hit Trevor Moore
·
LA 2·COL 3
3rd·14:34
Brent Burns hit Warren Foegele
·
LA 2·COL 3
3rd·14:31
Josh Manson hit Alex Turcotte
·
LA 2·COL 3
3rd·14:28
Warren Foegele Wrist Shot saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
·
LA 2·COL 3
3rd·13:52
Giveaway by Kevin Fiala
LA 2·COL 3
3rd·13:47
Nathan MacKinnon Wrist Shot saved by Anton Forsberg
·
LA 2·COL 3
3rd·13:26
Corey Perry Tip-In Wide Right
·
LA 2·COL 3
3rd·13:16
Quinton Byfield faceoff won against Nathan MacKinnon
·
LA 2·COL 3
3rd·13:16
Off-side
LA 2·COL 3

Team stats

Away

Stat

COL

Home

Shots

33.3

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

COL -1.5·O/U 5.5·LA +185/COL -225

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 14 skaters with EDGE

Ross ColtonCOL · C
SKATE MPH23.799+
Nathan MacKinnonCOL · C
BURSTS8799+
Cale MakarCOL · D
SKATE MPH23.999+
Gabriel LandeskogCOL · LW
SHOT MPH92.897
Parker KellyCOL · C
SHOT MPH91.895

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · COL favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(COL win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(COL win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(COL win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-225

Close price

-225

Open no-vig

66.4%

Close no-vig

66.4%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit