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FINAL+3NJ
ANA

ANA

19-12-1

14
NJ

NJ

18-13-1

Historical comparables

Historical comparables

No comparable NHL games in the historical pool yet.

NHLSat, Dec 13FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasNJ -110

Recap · NHL

ew Jersey Devils held off Anaheim Ducks, 4–1.

NJ -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

ANA · top performer

ANA
Leo Carlsson

Leo Carlsson

C · #91

1Points

0

G

1

A

—

SOG

NJ · top performer

NJ
Juho Lammikko

Juho Lammikko

C · #83

2Points

0

G

2

A

—

SOG

NHL · Anaheim Ducks at New Jersey Devils · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
1
4
ANA19-12-1NJ18-13-1
ANA

ANA

19-12-1

1
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
NJ

NJ

18-13-1

4
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

4

PIM

6

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Nov 3NJNJ1@ANAANA4
Dec 13ANAANA1@NJNJ4today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NJ -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

ANAANA-11052%
NJNJ-11052%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NJ -1.5↗SpreadBet NJ -1.5↗

Line movement · 7 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NJ beat ANA 4-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
ANA1001
NJ1214

Period scoring

ANA won 0 · NJ won 2

1
1

1

0
2

2

0
1

3

ANA
NJ

Play-by-play · 315 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    ANA 1·NJ 4

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    ANA 1·NJ 4

  3. 3rd·19:24

    Colton White shot blocked by Ian Moore

    ·

    ANA 1·NJ 4

  4. 3rd·19:15

    Juho Lammikko faceoff won against Ryan Poehling

    ·

    ANA 1·NJ 4

  5. 3rd·19:15

    Goalie Stopped

    ANA 1·NJ 4

  6. 3rd·19:13

    Dennis Cholowski Snap Shot saved by Lukas Dostal

    ·

    ANA 1·NJ 4

  7. 3rd·19:12

    Frank Vatrano hit Xavier Parent

    ·

    ANA 1·NJ 4

  8. 3rd·18:56

    Frank Vatrano Wrist Shot saved by Jake Allen

    ·

    ANA 1·NJ 4

  9. 3rd·18:53

    Olen Zellweger shot blocked by Angus Crookshank

    ·

    ANA 1·NJ 4

  10. 3rd·18:51

    Cutter Gauthier faceoff won against Luke Glendening

    ·

    ANA 1·NJ 4

  11. 3rd·18:51

    Goalie Stopped

    ANA 1·NJ 4

  12. 3rd·18:49

    Frank Vatrano Snap Shot saved by Jake Allen

    ·

    ANA 1·NJ 4

  13. 3rd·18:48

    Ryan Strome faceoff won against Luke Glendening

    ·

    ANA 1·NJ 4

  14. 3rd·18:48

    Goalie Stopped

    ANA 1·NJ 4

  15. 3rd·18:45

    Ryan Poehling Wrist Shot saved by Jake Allen

    ·

    ANA 1·NJ 4

  16. 3rd·18:20

    Juho Lammikko faceoff won against Ryan Poehling

    ·

    ANA 1·NJ 4

  17. 3rd·18:20

    Icing

    ANA 1·NJ 4

  18. 3rd·18:00

    Ryan Poehling faceoff won against Juho Lammikko

    ·

    ANA 1·NJ 4

  19. 3rd·18:00

    Connor Brown Goal (7) Backhand, assists: Ondrej Palat (5)

    ·

    ANA 1·NJ 4

  20. 3rd·17:53

    Giveaway by Luke Hughes

    ANA 1·NJ 3

  21. 3rd·17:46

    Chris Kreider Tip-In Wide Right

    ·

    ANA 1·NJ 3

  22. 3rd·17:43

    Giveaway by Luke Hughes

    ANA 1·NJ 3

  23. 3rd·17:40

    Cody Glass faceoff won against Leo Carlsson

    ·

    ANA 1·NJ 3

  24. 3rd·17:40

    Timeout - Visitor

    ANA 1·NJ 3

  25. 3rd·17:40

    Icing

    ANA 1·NJ 3

  26. 3rd·17:16

    Cody Glass faceoff won against Mason McTavish

    ·

    ANA 1·NJ 3

  27. 3rd·17:16

    Icing

    ANA 1·NJ 3

  28. 3rd·17:11

    Ondrej Palat Snap Shot Wide Right

    ANA 1·NJ 3

  29. 3rd·16:58

    Dawson Mercer hit Beckett Sennecke

    ·

    ANA 1·NJ 3

  30. 3rd·16:17

    Dawson Mercer shot blocked by Troy Terry

    ·

    ANA 1·NJ 3

Team stats

ANA

Away

Stat

NJ

Home

31

Shots

22

0.0

PCT

0.0

4

PIM

6

17

Faceoffs W

42

21

Blocks

12

16

Giveaways

14

3

Takeaways

5

Betting line

NJ -1.5·O/U 6.5·ANA -110/NJ -110

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 15 skaters with EDGE
  • Ryan PoehlingANA · C
    SKATE MPH23.498
  • Leo CarlssonANA · C
    BURSTS4996
  • Jackson LaCombeANA · D
    DIST MI47.993
  • Cutter GauthierANA · LW
    SHOT MPH89.691
  • Alex KillornANA · LW
    SHOT MPH88.385

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · NJ favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NJ win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NJ win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NJ win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-110

Close price

-110

Open no-vig

50.0%

Close no-vig

50.0%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR