Detroit Tigers vs Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 24, 2026

FINAL+3DET

DET

9-13-6

118

COL

15-15-1

Salt River Fields at Talking Stick · Scottsdale, Arizona

6,591 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.6%

ensemble · DET favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(COL win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(COL win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(COL win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

COL vs DET.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

128

projections · 96 high confidence

Strikeouts

Tarik SkubalDET
6.6± 2.9low
Jack FlahertyDET
5.7± 3.5medium
Casey MizeDET
5.0± 2.1low

Hits

TJ RumfieldCOL
1.4± 0.5high
Jake McCarthyCOL
1.3± 0.8high
Dillon DinglerDET
1.1± 1.2high

Total bases

Jake McCarthyCOL
2.3± 2.3high
TJ RumfieldCOL
2.2± 1.4high
Hunter GoodmanCOL
2.1± 3.8high

RBIs

Hunter GoodmanCOL
0.8± 1.8high
TJ RumfieldCOL
0.8± 0.9high
Dillon DinglerDET
0.7± 0.8high

Earned runs

Kyle FreelandCOL
4.7± 2.2medium
Michael LorenzenCOL
3.7± 2.9medium
Sean SullivanCOL
3.7± 5.5low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

DET

league avg

COL

.709

OPS

.718

▶

.741

.315

OBP

.319

▶

.325

4.13

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.64

3.78

Team ERA

◀

4.17

5.53

1.24

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.51

8.4

K / 9

◀

8.5

7.2

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

DET wins

DET 11 · COL 8 (by 3)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
DET	2	0	0	0	4	2	2	1	0	11
COL	0	0	3	1	2	0	0	1	1	8

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
K. CarpenterRF	.167	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
G. Torres2B	.348	2	1	1	0	0	1	1
R. GreeneLF	.283	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
D. DinglerC	.314	3	2	2	3	2	0	0
C. Keith3B	.250	2	1	2	0	0	1	0
Z. McKinstry2B	.222	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
M. VierlingCF	.292	2	1	0	0	0	1	0
W. PerezRF	.190	4	2	2	5	2	1	1
J. Jung3B	.325	5	0	3	0	0	0	0
J. PeckSS	.333	2	1	1	0	0	0	0
J. JonesDH	.190	2	1	1	0	0	0	0
R. HadeenSS	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. NidoC	.222	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. RogersC	.241	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
M. Anderson2B	.333	2	1	2	3	1	0	0
T. CruzCF	.250	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
E. ValenciaC	.346	2	1	1	0	0	0	0
Team		41	11	16	11	5	4	5

Player

.167

.348

.283

.314

.250

.222

.292

.190

.325

.333

.190

.333

.222

.241

.333

.250

.346

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. VerlanderSP	4.2	8	6	5	1	4	70
B. HurterRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. MizeSP	4.0	6	2	2	0	3	52
Team	9.0	14	8	7	1	7	123

Player

J. VerlanderSP

4.2

B. HurterRP

0.1

C. MizeSP

4.0

Team

9.0

123

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. McCarthyCF	.321	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
W. Castro2B	.520	2	1	1	0	0	0	1
H. GoodmanC	.231	3	1	2	0	0	0	1
E. TovarSS	.241	2	2	1	2	1	1	0
J. BeckLF	.298	3	0	1	3	0	0	1
B. DoyleCF	.366	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
B. SullivanC	.410	2	1	2	1	1	0	0
R. Ritter2B	.362	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
K. Karros3B	.372	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. JohnstonRF	.375	3	0	2	1	0	0	0
N. Kent2B	.143	2	1	0	0	0	0	0
E. Julien2B	.300	2	0	2	0	0	0	0
K. FitzerUN	.500	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
T. Tucker2B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. CordovaC	.400	2	0	0	1	0	0	0
G. HillRF	.273	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
Z. Kokoska1B	.250	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
T. Hopfe1B	.167	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
T. Rumfield1B	.286	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		40	8	14	8	2	1	7

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. SuganoSP	4.1	6	2	2	3	4	82
J. HergetRP	0.1	2	3	3	1	0	18
V. JuarezRP	0.1	1	1	1	0	0	6
B. BernardinoRP	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	16
Z. AgnosRP	1.0	3	2	2	0	0	11
C. DentonP	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	15
F. UlloaRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	13
Team	9.0	16	11	11	4	5	161

Team

DET

COL

3 sub-models, blended.

COL vs DET.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

COL vs DET.