Chicago White Sox vs Athletics: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 23, 2026

FINAL+1ATH

CHW

15-16-1

910

ATH

14-16-1

Hohokam Stadium · Mesa, Arizona

4,076 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.6%

ensemble · CHW favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATH win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATH win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATH win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

ATH vs CHW.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

125

projections · 85 high confidence

Strikeouts

Sean BurkeCHW
6.0± 1.6medium
Gage JumpATH
5.8± 2.8low
Davis MartinCHW
5.7± 3.0medium

Hits

Sam AntonacciCHW
1.2± 0.9high
Alika WilliamsATH
1.0± 1.0high
Chase MeidrothCHW
1.0± 1.3high

Total bases

Miguel VargasCHW
2.0± 2.6high
Sam AntonacciCHW
1.7± 1.6high
Alika WilliamsATH
1.6± 1.9high

RBIs

Kyle TeelCHW
1.0± 1.9low
Nick KurtzATH
0.7± 1.1high
Miguel VargasCHW
0.7± 1.6high

Earned runs

Jeffrey SpringsATH
3.5± 2.0medium
Aaron CivaleATH
2.9± 3.3low
Erick FeddeCHW
2.3± 2.8medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

CHW

league avg

ATH

.739

OPS

.718

.736

.323

OBP

.319

▶

.327

4.82

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.60

4.22

Team ERA

◀

4.17

4.97

1.32

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.44

8.5

K / 9

8.5

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

ATH wins

CHW 9 · ATH 10 (by 1)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
CHW	3	0	0	4	0	1	0	0	1	9
ATH	0	0	0	5	4	0	0	1	10

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. Meidroth2B	.278	2	1	1	2	0	1	0
C. MontgomerySS	.182	2	0	1	0	0	1	0
M. Vargas3B	.259	2	0	0	1	0	0	1
M. Murakami1B	.276	2	1	0	0	0	1	0
D. HillRF	.289	1	1	0	0	0	2	1
L. Sosa2B	.261	4	0	2	4	0	0	0
E. QueroC	.283	3	0	0	0	0	1	0
T. PetersCF	.270	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
L. AcunaCF	.409	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
N. ArcherOF	.000	2	1	0	0	0	1	1
Da. Baker2B	.444	3	1	2	1	0	0	0
C. Mead3B	.233	2	1	1	0	0	0	0
J. SprinkleSS	.143	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
R. Galanie1B	.188	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
S. AntonacciLF	.368	1	0	1	0	0	1	0
K. LodiseSS	.167	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. McGuireC	.667	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
D. LoganRF	.000	3	1	0	0	0	0	1
J. Matthews2B	.000	1	2	0	0	0	2	1
Team		37	9	11	8	0	10	7

Player

.278

.182

.259

.276

.289

.261

.283

.270

.409

.000

.444

.233

.143

.188

.368

.167

.667

.000

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. KaySP	3.2	7	7	7	4	4	81
J. HeatherlySP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	2
M. AustinP	1.0	2	2	2	2	1	23
J. HicksRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	27
J. LeasureRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	12
G. TaylorRP	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19
Team	8.0	12	10	10	7	8	164

Player

3.2

0.1

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

8.0

164

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. WilsonSS	.222	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
N. Kurtz1B	.208	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
B. RookerDH	.340	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. SoderstromLF	.348	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
M. Muncy3B	.380	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. McNeil2B	.233	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
D. HernaizSS	.409	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
D. ClarkeCF	.074	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
B. ServenC	.143	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. Ibanez2B	.308	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. Meneses1B	.364	2	0	0	2	0	0	0
T. White3B	.421	2	1	1	0	0	2	0
D. Swift3B	.692	4	1	3	5	1	0	0
J. Kuroda-GrauerSS	.304	4	1	1	0	0	0	2
C. MarloweOF	.306	3	1	0	0	0	1	1
M. Stefanic2B	.500	3	2	3	1	0	1	0
H. BolteCF	.348	3	2	1	2	0	0	1
C. ElliottLF	.222	1	2	0	0	0	1	1
B. LavastidaC	.100	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
Team		33	10	12	10	1	7	8

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. MoralesSP	2.2	1	3	3	4	2	61
B. KriskeRP	0.1	0	0	0	1	0	11
J. GossSP	2.0	4	4	3	2	0	46
N. AndersonRP	1.0	3	1	1	1	0	19
W. SueroRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	15
J. KuhnelRP	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	21
M. KrookRP	0.2	0	1	1	2	1	16
G. HartliebRP	0.1	1	0	0	0	1	7
Team	9.0	11	9	8	10	7	196

Team

CHW

ATH

—

3 sub-models, blended.

ATH vs CHW.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

ATH vs CHW.