Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 20, 2026

FINAL+2NYY

BAL

10-13-3

NYY

17-10

George M. Steinbrenner Field · Tampa, Florida

9,989 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.6%

ensemble · BAL favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYY win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYY win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYY win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

NYY vs BAL.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

125

projections · 93 high confidence

Strikeouts

Cam SchlittlerNYY
6.9± 3.3medium
Kyle BradishBAL
5.9± 3.9medium
Ryan WeathersNYY
5.9± 3.1medium

Hits

Gunnar HendersonBAL
1.0± 1.1high
Taylor WardBAL
1.0± 1.1high
Blaze AlexanderBAL
0.9± 1.2high

Total bases

Pete AlonsoBAL
1.9± 2.0high
Paul GoldschmidtNYY
1.8± 2.6high
Gunnar HendersonBAL
1.7± 1.9high

RBIs

Pete AlonsoBAL
0.9± 1.1high
Adley RutschmanBAL
0.7± 1.1high
Samuel BasalloBAL
0.6± 1.3high

Earned runs

Trevor RogersBAL
3.0± 2.6medium
Trey GibsonBAL
2.7± 2.3low
Ryan WeathersNYY
2.7± 2.5medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

BAL

league avg

NYY

.715

OPS

.718

▶

.746

.318

OBP

.319

.321

4.58

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.90

4.38

Team ERA

4.17

▶

3.30

1.38

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.19

8.1

K / 9

8.5

▶

8.8

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

NYY wins

BAL 1 · NYY 3 (by 2)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
BAL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1
NYY	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	3

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. WardLF	.281	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
S. BasalloC	.371	3	0	1	1	0	1	0
P. Alonso1B	.271	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
C. Mayo3B	.412	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
L. TaverasCF	.200	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
B. Ramos3B	.286	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
L. VazquezSS	.211	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. BarreroSS	.111	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
D. HodoCF	.333	3	1	1	0	0	0	1
T. JosenbergerLF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
M. HandleyC	.125	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
A. De Los Santos3B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
T. Bowens1B	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
L. Arias2B	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		28	1	3	1	0	3	11

Player

.281

.371

.271

.412

.200

.286

.211

.111

.333

.000

.125

.000

.000

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Z. EflinSP	5.1	1	0	0	0	7	70
D. EnnsRP	0.2	0	0	0	2	1	21
R. GarciaRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16
C. AchenRP	1.0	5	3	3	0	1	31
Team	8.0	6	3	3	2	10	138

Player

5.1

0.2

1.0

1.0

Team

8.0

138

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. GrishamCF	.162	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
A. JudgeRF	.214	3	0	0	0	0	0	3
C. BellingerLF	.258	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. Rice1B	.231	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
G. StantonDH	.250	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. Chisholm Jr.2B	.227	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
R. McMahon3B	.143	3	1	1	0	0	0	1
O. Cabrera3B	.143	3	1	1	1	0	0	1
J.C. EscarraC	.242	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
A. SanchezC	.182	1	1	1	1	0	0	0
D. Pastore3B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
K. WestOF	1.000	1	0	1	1	0	0	0
D. GladneyLF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
L. GabrielsonCF	.167	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. JacksonOF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. Martin-GrudzielanekSS	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
O. CobbSS	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Vivas3B	.227	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team		29	3	6	3	0	2	10

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. GilSP	5.0	1	0	0	1	7	69
D. BednarRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13
T. HillRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	14
P. BlackburnRP	2.0	2	1	1	1	2	29
Team	9.0	3	1	1	3	11	125

Team

BAL

NYY

—

3 sub-models, blended.

NYY vs BAL.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

NYY vs BAL.