Chicago White Sox vs Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 20, 2026

FINAL+1LAA

CHW

15-13-1

LAA

16-14

Tempe Diablo Stadium · Tempe, Arizona

6,310 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.6%

ensemble · CHW favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAA win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAA win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAA win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

LAA vs CHW.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

130

projections · 90 high confidence

Strikeouts

Reid DetmersLAA
6.7± 3.8medium
Sean BurkeCHW
6.0± 1.6medium
Davis MartinCHW
5.7± 3.0medium

Hits

Donovan WaltonLAA
1.3± 1.0high
Sam AntonacciCHW
1.2± 0.9high
Miguel VargasCHW
1.1± 0.9high

Total bases

Donovan WaltonLAA
2.4± 1.7high
Miguel VargasCHW
2.2± 2.5high
Zach NetoLAA
2.0± 2.1high

RBIs

Kyle TeelCHW
1.0± 1.7low
Donovan WaltonLAA
0.9± 1.0high
Jacob GonzalezCHW
0.8± 1.7high

Earned runs

Ryan JohnsonLAA
2.9± 3.4low
Jose SorianoLAA
2.7± 2.2medium
Sean BurkeCHW
2.5± 1.9medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

CHW

league avg

LAA

.739

OPS

◀

.718

.716

.323

OBP

◀

.319

.318

4.82

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.51

4.22

Team ERA

◀

4.17

4.58

1.32

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.40

8.5

K / 9

8.5

▶

8.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

LAA wins

CHW 3 · LAA 4 (by 1)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
CHW	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3
LAA	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. AntonacciLF	.333	2	0	1	0	0	1	0
L. Sosa2B	.238	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. KelenicRF	.179	1	0	0	0	0	2	0
C. Mead3B	.214	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
T. PetersCF	.273	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
D. HillRF	.295	3	0	0	0	0	0	3
D. RomoC	.300	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
T. MurrayLF	.238	2	0	1	0	0	1	0
R. Galanie1B	.154	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
Da. Baker2B	.400	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. BurkeCF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. Makarewicz3B	1.000	1	1	1	1	1	0	0
A. Weber2B	.143	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. LoganRF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
M. TurnerC	.286	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
B. Eblin2B	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
K. LodiseSS	.200	1	1	1	1	0	0	0
A. Depino3B	.500	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team		30	3	7	2	1	6	9

Player

.333

.238

.179

.214

.273

.295

.300

.238

.154

.400

.000

1.000

.143

.000

.286

.000

.200

.500

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. SmithSP	3.1	2	4	4	3	5	73
G. SchoenleRP	0.2	1	0	0	1	0	14
J. LeasureRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11
J. HicksRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	10
C. MurphyRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	14
T. GilbertRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	7
Team	8.0	4	4	4	5	7	129

Player

3.1

0.2

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

8.0

129

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Z. NetoSS	.235	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
M. TroutCF	.257	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
N. Schanuel1B	.250	1	1	0	0	0	1	1
Y. Moncada3B	.143	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
J. LoweLF	.235	3	1	1	1	0	0	1
A. Frazier2B	.300	1	0	0	1	0	1	1
S. RiveroC	.240	2	0	1	2	0	0	0
B. TeodosioLF	.244	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
L. McCollumRF	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
Y. Sanchez3B	.303	2	0	1	0	0	1	0
G. DavalilloC	.143	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
T. Mancini1B	.129	1	0	1	0	0	1	0
J. Munroe3B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. McgillLF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. Walton3B	.300	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. D'OrazioC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
K. CastilloCF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. Martinez3B	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		27	4	4	4	0	5	7

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. SorianoSP	3.0	1	0	0	3	3	52
J. RomanoRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	15
C. SilsethRP	1.2	0	0	0	1	1	17
R. ZeferjahnRP	1.1	0	0	0	1	2	25
S. Natera Jr.RP	0.2	2	1	0	0	1	25
C. HardingSP	0.1	2	2	2	1	0	15
J. GuardadoUN	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	12
Team	9.0	7	3	2	6	9	161

Team

CHW

LAA

—

3 sub-models, blended.

LAA vs CHW.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

LAA vs CHW.