Seattle Mariners vs Athletics: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 19, 2026

FINAL+2SEA

SEA

9-17-1

ATH

12-15

Hohokam Stadium · Mesa, Arizona

10,876 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.6%

ensemble · SEA favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATH win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATH win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATH win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

ATH vs SEA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

125

projections · 87 high confidence

Strikeouts

Bryce MillerSEA
6.7± 3.4low
Logan GilbertSEA
6.6± 2.2medium
Bryan WooSEA
6.2± 3.1medium

Hits

Alika WilliamsATH
1.1± 1.0high
Julio RodriguezSEA
1.1± 0.7high
Cole YoungSEA
1.0± 0.9high

Total bases

Cole YoungSEA
1.8± 2.8high
Alika WilliamsATH
1.5± 1.6high
Shea LangeliersATH
1.5± 1.3high

RBIs

Nick KurtzATH
0.7± 1.1high
Jonah HeimATH
0.6± 0.7high
Shea LangeliersATH
0.6± 1.1high

Earned runs

Jeffrey SpringsATH
3.5± 2.0medium
Aaron CivaleATH
2.9± 3.3low
Bryan WooSEA
2.8± 3.2medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

SEA

league avg

ATH

.696

OPS

.718

▶

.736

.312

OBP

.319

▶

.327

4.05

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.60

3.70

Team ERA

◀

4.17

4.97

1.19

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.44

8.9

K / 9

◀

8.5

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

SEA wins

SEA 6 · ATH 4 (by 2)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
SEA	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	0	0	6
ATH	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	1	0	4

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. RaleyRF	.286	4	1	0	0	0	0	1
C. RaleighC	.227	5	0	1	3	0	0	4
R. RefsnyderDH	.167	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. Naylor1B	.120	4	0	1	0	0	0	1
M. GarverC	.182	3	1	2	0	0	0	1
C. JoeRF	.366	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
L. Rivas3B	.200	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
R. Bliss2B	.286	3	1	1	2	0	0	1
B. Rodden2B	.361	4	1	2	0	0	0	2
J. Hood2B	.250	2	1	0	0	0	0	1
C. Cali3B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. KniznerC	.120	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. ArozarenaLF	.292	2	1	2	1	0	0	0
C. Emerson3B	.268	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
A. St. Laurent3B	.500	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. TaurekOF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		37	6	10	6	0	1	15

Player

.286

.227

.167

.120

.182

.366

.200

.286

.361

.250

.000

.120

.292

.268

.500

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. DobnakRP	3.2	4	3	3	0	2	60
D. DunningRP	3.0	1	1	1	1	3	45
J. RuffcornRP	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	15
R. LumpkinRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	19
Team	9.0	6	4	4	1	7	139

Player

3.2

3.0

1.1

1.0

Team

9.0

139

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. Kurtz1B	.213	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
S. LangeliersC	.357	3	1	1	1	0	0	0
T. SoderstromLF	.350	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
B. RookerDH	.325	2	0	1	1	0	0	0
J. WilsonSS	.211	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
L. ButlerRF	.200	2	0	1	0	0	1	1
J. McNeil2B	.243	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. Muncy3B	.386	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
D. ClarkeCF	.053	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
L. Mann3B	.333	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
A. WynnsC	.273	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. CortesRF	.214	2	0	0	1	0	0	0
D. HernaizSS	.375	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
D. Swift3B	.667	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
B. ServenC	.174	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. Halter2B	.333	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. Ibanez2B	.298	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. ThomasRF	.244	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		33	4	6	3	0	1	7

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. CivaleSP	6.0	2	0	0	0	11	81
J.T. GinnSP	0.2	5	6	6	0	1	28
B. KriskeRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	6
E. AlvaradoRP	1.0	2	0	0	1	0	18
J. PerkinsRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	3	22
Team	9.0	10	6	6	1	15	155

Team

SEA

ATH

3 sub-models, blended.

ATH vs SEA.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

ATH vs SEA.