Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 16, 2026

FINAL+15MIL

MIL

10-12

249

LAD

16-8

Camelback Ranch - Glendale · Phoenix, Arizona

10,246 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.6%

ensemble · MIL favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAD win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAD win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAD win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

LAD vs MIL.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

130

projections · 93 high confidence

Strikeouts

Jacob MisiorowskiMIL
9.4± 2.9medium
Kyle HarrisonMIL
6.5± 3.8medium
Yoshinobu YamamotoLAD
6.1± 2.7medium

Hits

Freddie FreemanLAD
1.3± 1.2high
Mookie BettsLAD
1.3± 1.0high
Tommy EdmanLAD
1.2± 1.5low

Total bases

Mookie BettsLAD
2.4± 2.5high
Freddie FreemanLAD
2.0± 1.9high
Shohei OhtaniLAD
2.0± 1.8high

RBIs

Mookie BettsLAD
0.8± 1.0high
Max MuncyLAD
0.7± 0.9high
Shohei OhtaniLAD
0.7± 0.9high

Earned runs

Emmet SheehanLAD
2.7± 1.8medium
Roki SasakiLAD
2.7± 2.6low
Brandon SproatMIL
2.7± 2.0medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

MIL

league avg

LAD

.732

OPS

.718

▶

.787

.337

OBP

.319

▶

.346

5.16

Runs / G

4.50

▶

5.32

3.40

Team ERA

◀

4.17

3.44

1.18

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.12

9.9

K / 9

◀

8.5

8.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

MIL wins

MIL 24 · LAD 9 (by 15)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
MIL	0	0	0	0	10	0	9	0	5	24
LAD	0	1	5	1	0	0	1	1	0	9

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. Rengifo3B	.250	4	1	2	0	0	0	0
A. Vaughn1B	.364	3	1	0	0	0	0	2
T. BlackDH	.529	5	2	1	3	0	0	1
G. SanchezC	.237	4	1	1	1	0	0	1
J. OrtizSS	.435	2	2	1	0	0	1	1
B. LockridgeLF	.323	5	3	3	4	1	0	0
J. WilliamsSS	.417	3	1	2	1	0	1	1
B. Wilken3B	.190	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
L. LaraCF	.297	4	2	2	3	0	0	1
Jon Adams3B	.111	0	1	0	2	0	3	0
M. Boeve2B	.200	2	1	1	2	0	1	1
E. LeonardSS	.429	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. RodríguezC	.250	2	0	0	1	0	0	0
B. EbelSS	.222	2	3	1	1	1	1	1
J. RagsdaleOF	.400	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
E. MurraySS	.400	1	2	1	0	0	1	0
C. PrattSS	.250	1	2	0	2	0	2	0
B. PayneOF	.333	1	1	0	1	0	1	1
Team		43	24	16	21	2	12	11

Player

.250

.364

.529

.237

.435

.323

.417

.190

.297

.111

.200

.429

.250

.222

.400

.400

.250

.333

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. PatrickRP	3.1	5	6	6	4	2	83
P. AquinoSP	0.2	1	1	1	2	0	20
T. MegillRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	14
J. KoenigRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	3	23
G. AndersonRP	1.0	0	1	1	2	0	22
J. SeppingsRP	0.1	1	1	1	2	1	27
M. ChildersRP	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	10
J. CorbettRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	17
Team	9.0	8	9	9	10	13	216

Player

3.1

0.2

1.0

1.0

1.0

0.1

0.2

1.0

Team

9.0

216

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. RojasSS	.333	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
F. Freeman1B	.400	2	1	1	0	0	1	0
M. BettsSS	.286	2	1	0	0	0	1	0
M. Muncy3B	.345	3	1	1	1	1	0	0
T. HernándezLF	.459	3	1	1	3	1	0	1
H. KimSS	.421	2	2	1	0	0	1	0
J. Tibbs IIIRF	.326	1	1	0	0	0	2	1
Z. EhrhardOF	.327	3	0	1	1	0	0	1
E. AlfonzoC	.250	3	0	1	2	0	0	1
J. RhodesLF	1.000	1	1	1	0	0	1	0
J. Vetrano1B	.333	1	1	0	0	0	1	1
N. MillerSS	.270	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
N. Senzel3B	.267	1	0	0	0	0	1	1
Z. HopeCF	.184	2	0	1	1	0	0	1
R. Fitzgerald3B	.296	1	0	0	0	0	1	1
M. SianiCF	.143	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. NewellCF	.167	1	0	0	1	0	0	1
F. RodriguezC	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		34	9	8	9	2	10	13

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. GlasnowSP	4.1	3	3	3	1	6	79
J. RosarioSP	0.0	4	5	5	0	0	24
B. TreinenRP	0.2	2	2	2	1	1	18
K. MiddletonRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	9
J. DreyerRP	0.0	3	5	4	1	0	19
K. RamirezP	0.2	1	4	3	3	0	31
E. ShawRP	1.1	0	0	0	2	2	27
L. Wepf1B	0.0	2	5	5	3	0	27
R. PorcoRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	16
Team	9.0	16	24	22	12	11	250

Team

MIL

LAD

3 sub-models, blended.

LAD vs MIL.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

LAD vs MIL.