Los Angeles Angels vs Athletics: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 16, 2026

FINAL+3ATH

LAA

12-13

ATH

12-13

Hohokam Stadium · Mesa, Arizona

6,115 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.6%

ensemble · LAA favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATH win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATH win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATH win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

ATH vs LAA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

125

projections · 91 high confidence

Strikeouts

Reid DetmersLAA
6.7± 3.8medium
Gage JumpATH
5.7± 2.5low
Jose SorianoLAA
5.6± 1.9medium

Hits

Donovan WaltonLAA
1.3± 1.0high
Alika WilliamsATH
1.1± 1.0high
Nolan SchanuelLAA
1.1± 0.6high

Total bases

Donovan WaltonLAA
2.4± 1.7high
Zach NetoLAA
2.0± 2.1high
Denzer GuzmanLAA
1.9± 2.2medium

RBIs

Donovan WaltonLAA
0.9± 1.0high
Denzer GuzmanLAA
0.8± 1.2medium
Nick KurtzATH
0.7± 1.1high

Earned runs

Jeffrey SpringsATH
3.5± 2.0medium
Aaron CivaleATH
2.9± 3.3low
Ryan JohnsonLAA
2.9± 3.4low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

LAA

league avg

ATH

.716

OPS

.718

▶

.736

.318

OBP

.319

▶

.327

4.51

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.60

4.58

Team ERA

◀

4.17

4.97

1.40

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.44

8.9

K / 9

◀

8.5

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

ATH wins

LAA 0 · ATH 3 (by 3)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
LAA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
ATH	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
O. Peraza2B	.341	4	0	1	0	0	0	1
M. TroutCF	.219	3	0	1	0	0	1	1
Y. Moncada3B	.125	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
J. AdellRF	.359	3	0	2	0	0	0	1
N. Schanuel1B	.241	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
L. O'HoppeC	.270	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. TaylorCF	.235	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
A. Frazier2B	.346	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
J. Candelario3B	.243	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
Y. Sanchez3B	.292	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
E. Alfonso2B	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
D. Walton3B	.318	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. De JesusRF	.667	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
T. Mancini1B	.125	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
Z. HumphreysC	.667	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. SiriCF	.161	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
H. AlvarezOF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. Mccroskey2B	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		33	0	7	0	0	5	7

Player

.341

.219

.125

.359

.241

.270

.235

.346

.243

.292

.000

.318

.667

.125

.667

.161

.000

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
G. KlassenSP	3.2	4	3	3	2	1	72
T. SaucedoRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	12
R. ZeferjahnRP	2.1	0	0	0	0	1	31
S. AndersonRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	10
Team	8.0	4	3	3	2	5	125

Player

3.2

1.0

2.1

1.0

Team

8.0

125

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. Kurtz1B	.171	2	1	0	0	0	0	1
S. LangeliersC	.359	2	0	1	0	0	1	0
T. SoderstromLF	.359	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
B. RookerDH	.316	3	1	1	1	0	0	0
J. WilsonSS	.229	3	0	1	1	0	0	0
J. McNeil2B	.265	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. Muncy3B	.405	3	1	1	1	1	0	1
Z. Gelof3B	.294	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
D. ClarkeCF	.071	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
J. Meneses1B	.444	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. ServenC	.190	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
R. LaskoCF	.167	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. ThomasRF	.243	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Kuroda-GrauerSS	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. Ibanez2B	.310	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. Swift3B	.714	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. GuedezOF	.571	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
P. PinedaCF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		28	3	4	3	1	2	5

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. SpringsSP	4.2	3	0	0	3	4	84
N. AndersonRP	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	26
M. Leiter Jr.RP	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	24
M. KellyRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	13
A. CauseySP	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	26
Team	9.0	7	0	0	5	7	173

Team

LAA

ATH

—

3 sub-models, blended.

ATH vs LAA.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

3 sub-models, blended.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

ATH vs LAA.