Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago Cubs: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 15, 2026

FINAL+6LAD

LAD

16-7

148

CHC

9-13

Sloan Park · Mesa, Arizona

13,888 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.6%

ensemble · LAD favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHC win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHC win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHC win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

CHC vs LAD.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

128

projections · 84 high confidence

Strikeouts

Yoshinobu YamamotoLAD
6.1± 2.7medium
Matthew BoydCHC
5.8± 3.1low
Roki SasakiLAD
5.4± 3.1low

Hits

Freddie FreemanLAD
1.3± 1.2high
Mookie BettsLAD
1.3± 1.0high
Nico HoernerCHC
1.2± 1.2high

Total bases

Mookie BettsLAD
2.4± 2.5high
Dansby SwansonCHC
2.1± 2.9high
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHC
2.0± 1.8high

RBIs

Dansby SwansonCHC
1.2± 2.5high
Justin DeanCHC
1.0± 2.3low
Seiya SuzukiCHC
0.9± 1.0high

Earned runs

Jordan WicksCHC
3.7± 5.5low
Shota ImanagaCHC
3.3± 3.2medium
Colin ReaCHC
2.8± 2.5medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

LAD

league avg

CHC

.787

OPS

◀

.718

.736

.346

OBP

◀

.319

.336

5.32

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.89

3.44

Team ERA

◀

4.17

4.21

1.12

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.25

8.9

K / 9

◀

8.5

8.0

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

LAD wins

LAD 14 · CHC 8 (by 6)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
LAD	4	1	4	1	0	0	0	0	4	14
CHC	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	5	8

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
H. KimSS	.412	4	1	1	0	0	0	1
A. CallLF	.455	3	1	1	0	0	1	0
M. BettsSS	.316	3	1	1	1	1	0	0
D. RushingC	.176	3	1	0	0	0	1	0
S. Espinal3B	.452	2	2	1	1	0	1	0
J. SuwinskiRF	.500	2	2	1	3	1	1	0
Z. EhrhardOF	.326	3	1	1	2	0	0	1
J. Tibbs IIIRF	.333	3	1	2	1	0	0	1
M. SianiCF	.154	4	0	1	0	0	0	0
J. Gelof3B	.250	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
S. ZavalaC	.200	0	1	0	0	0	1	0
S. MunozCF	.000	0	1	0	0	0	1	0
E. MoralesSS	.500	1	0	0	0	0	1	1
R. Fitzgerald3B	.308	2	1	1	1	0	0	1
L. VidourekOF	.333	2	1	1	1	0	0	0
D. KeithRF	.333	2	0	1	2	0	0	1
E. GuerreroSS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		36	14	12	12	2	7	7

Player

.412

.455

.316

.176

.452

.500

.326

.333

.154

.250

.200

.000

.500

.308

.333

.333

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
E. SheehanSP	3.2	3	2	2	1	4	66
K. HurtRP	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	19
W. KleinRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	21
A. KnowlesRP	1.0	1	1	1	1	2	24
A. KellyRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	26
A. MakarewichRP	0.0	0	4	3	3	0	18
M. CabaRP	1.0	2	1	1	1	3	29
Team	9.0	8	8	7	9	12	203

Player

3.2

1.1

1.0

1.0

1.0

0.0

1.0

Team

9.0

203

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. Busch1B	.250	2	1	0	0	0	1	0
N. Hoerner2B	.292	2	1	1	2	1	1	1
I. HappLF	.185	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
D. SwansonSS	.318	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. KellyC	.333	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
M. ConfortoDH	.261	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
M. ShawRF	.333	2	0	1	0	0	1	1
M. AmayaC	.231	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
P. Ramirez2B	.320	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Long1B	.375	0	1	0	0	0	2	0
C. Bethancourt1B	.250	3	0	1	0	0	0	2
S. Kingery3B	.176	1	1	0	0	0	2	1
O. Miller2B	.250	1	1	1	1	0	1	0
D. De LeonCF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. LugoOF	.000	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
D. AlcantaraOF	.333	1	1	0	1	0	1	0
D. Ortiz3B	.300	2	1	1	4	1	0	0
O. AyersC	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
J. DelgadoLF	.250	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
Team		37	8	8	8	2	9	12

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. TaillonSP	3.1	8	10	10	4	2	70
T. RasSP	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	9
H. MilnerRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12
C. ThielbarRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	12
P. MatonRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	15
J. WebbRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	14
C. MartinRP	0.2	3	4	4	2	2	29
V. ReillyP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	3
Team	9.0	12	14	14	7	7	164

Team

LAD

CHC

3 sub-models, blended.

CHC vs LAD.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

CHC vs LAD.