Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 14, 2026

FINAL+2PHI

PHI

8-11-1

NYY

13-8

George M. Steinbrenner Field · Tampa, Florida

9,784 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.6%

ensemble · PHI favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYY win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYY win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYY win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

NYY vs PHI.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

123

projections · 90 high confidence

Strikeouts

Cristopher SanchezPHI
7.6± 3.3medium
Cam SchlittlerNYY
6.9± 3.3medium
Jesus LuzardoPHI
6.6± 3.4medium

Hits

Bryce HarperPHI
1.5± 1.3high
Brandon MarshPHI
1.4± 1.1high
Trea TurnerPHI
1.2± 0.8high

Total bases

Bryce HarperPHI
3.0± 3.2high
Brandon MarshPHI
2.7± 2.8high
Kyle SchwarberPHI
2.4± 4.1high

RBIs

Bryce HarperPHI
1.0± 1.2high
Kyle SchwarberPHI
1.0± 2.0high
Brandon MarshPHI
0.8± 1.1high

Earned runs

Aaron NolaPHI
3.5± 2.1medium
Ryan WeathersNYY
2.7± 2.5medium
Gerrit ColeNYY
2.4± 2.7low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

PHI

league avg

NYY

.704

OPS

.718

▶

.746

.302

OBP

.319

▶

.321

4.41

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.90

4.15

Team ERA

4.17

▶

3.30

1.30

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.19

9.7

K / 9

◀

8.5

8.8

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

PHI wins

PHI 6 · NYY 4 (by 2)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
PHI	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	1	2	6
NYY	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	4

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. CrawfordCF	.250	4	2	1	1	0	0	0
E. Sosa2B	.375	4	0	2	0	0	0	1
D. MooreCF	.208	4	0	1	1	0	0	1
B. MarshLF	.136	3	0	0	1	0	1	1
L. PegueroSS	.138	4	0	0	0	0	0	2
J. RodriguezSS	.222	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
F. ReyesLF	.280	4	1	1	2	1	0	0
R. PintoC	.176	3	1	1	0	0	0	1
C. CairoSS	.227	3	1	1	0	0	0	1
E. BritoSS	.400	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. Binelas1B	.333	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. DaySS	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. HerediaRF	.167	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
N. BiddisonRF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
P. LeonRF	.240	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
P. McIntoshC	.300	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
B. Ware2B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		36	6	7	5	1	1	9

Player

.250

.375

.208

.136

.138

.222

.280

.176

.227

.400

.333

.000

.167

.000

.240

.300

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. WilsonRP	3.0	0	0	0	2	1	34
J. BowlanRP	1.1	2	1	1	1	1	32
Z. McCambleyRP	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	6
K. BackhusRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	3	18
A. WallingRP	1.0	3	2	2	0	0	14
S. JohnsonRP	1.0	1	1	1	2	2	23
N. HoffmanRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	5
Team	9.0	7	4	4	5	7	132

Player

3.0

1.1

0.2

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

9.0

132

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. GrishamCF	.143	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. Rice1B	.286	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
C. BellingerLF	.320	3	1	1	0	0	0	1
G. StantonDH	.286	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
J. Chisholm Jr.2B	.286	1	0	0	0	0	2	1
J. DominguezRF	.371	2	1	2	1	0	1	0
R. McMahon3B	.100	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. CaballeroSS	.267	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
J.C. EscarraC	.200	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
K. CoronaCF	.158	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
Y. FernandezRF	.158	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. ShewmakeSS	.176	1	1	1	1	1	0	0
P. HenryC	.143	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
R. AriasSS	.333	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
M. PalmaC	.167	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
P. DeJong3B	.200	2	1	1	0	0	0	1
S. BrownLF	.200	2	0	0	1	0	0	0
M. LucianoOF	.040	2	0	1	1	0	0	0
Team		32	4	7	4	1	5	7

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. FriedSP	5.1	5	3	3	0	4	75
J. BirdRP	1.1	0	0	0	1	2	21
K. CastroRP	1.1	1	1	0	0	1	14
A. ChivilliRP	1.0	1	2	2	0	2	20
Team	9.0	7	6	5	1	9	130

Team

PHI

NYY

3 sub-models, blended.

NYY vs PHI.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

3 sub-models, blended.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

NYY vs PHI.